Cole Elvis — OGILVIE

Cole ElvisC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.1 · 2027

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .263 / .299

PA76

HR1

K%33

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$-11M	-$12M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	FCL Twins	21	17	3	1	0	0	2	4	1	0	1	.176	.300	.235	.535	.059	.214	19	10	.218	25	-2	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2024	24	A	2 teams	87	79	5	1	0	0	7	53	0	2	1	.063	.140	.076	.215	.013	.185	61	8	.120	-50	-15	+0	+0	+2	+2	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIN	76	70	14	2	1	1	5	25	1	1	0	.200	.263	.300	.563	.100	.290	33	7	.257	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 10%	MIN	117	106	22	4	1	2	9	37	1	2	0	.208	.276	.321	.597	.113	.291	32	8	.264	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	28	MLB 20%	MIN	208	188	39	7	1	4	16	65	2	3	1	.207	.277	.319	.596	.112	.291	31	8	.267	63	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2029	29	MLB 33%	MIN	264	240	50	9	2	5	20	82	2	3	1	.208	.275	.325	.600	.117	.290	31	8	.268	63	-11	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.0
2030	30	MLB 43%	MIN	303	274	56	10	2	5	23	95	3	3	0	.204	.273	.310	.584	.106	.288	31	8	.266	62	-13	+1	-2	+5	+9	-0.1
2031	31	MLB 57%	MIN	302	273	56	10	2	5	23	96	3	2	0	.205	.274	.311	.586	.106	.287	32	8	.263	59	-14	+0	-3	+5	+9	-0.2
2032	32	MLB 75%	MIN	289	262	53	9	2	5	22	93	3	0	0	.202	.272	.309	.581	.107	.285	32	8	.258	56	-15	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.5
2033	33	MLB 92%	MIN	261	237	46	8	1	4	20	86	2	0	0	.194	.263	.287	.549	.093	.284	33	8	.253	52	-14	+0	-4	+5	+7	-0.7
2034	34	MLB	MIN	220	199	38	7	1	3	17	74	2	0	0	.191	.261	.281	.543	.090	.282	34	8	.247	47	-13	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2148	1945	382	68	13	34	164	710	20	16	4	.196	.266	.297	.563	.101	.287	33	8	.254	53	-114	+2	-20	+38	+61	-3.4
/ 162G	—			650	589	116	21	4	10	50	215	6	5	1	.197	.267	.297	.564	.100	.288	33	8	.254	53	-35	+1	-6	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	FCL Twins	21	16	3	1	3	3	1	0	1	.188	.350	.250	.600	.062	.214	14	14	.282	74	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	24	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	61	53	6	1	8	29	0	2	1	.113	.230	.132	.362	.019	.250	48	13	.187	1	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	24	ROK	FCL Twins	26	23	4	1	2	8	0	0	0	.174	.240	.217	.457	.043	.250	31	8	.207	17	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Elvis (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	.199/.263/.299	.100	.290	1	1	33%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	33	42→40	49→45	41	.172/.233/.267	.095	.245	10	6	33%	7%	33	-2.9	.188/.255/.278	.090	.259	8	8	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.175/.250/.252	.077	.233	6	7	26%	8%	33	-1.1
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	39	41→45	48→30	44	.192/.259/.283	.091	.263	8	6	29%	8%	49	-1.8	.208/.276/.329	.121	.293	14	3	32%	8%	68	-0.5	.201/.273/.323	.122	.280	15	1	32%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	47→50	39	.184/.244/.304	.120	.244	14	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	.203/.249/.336	.133	.277	16	10	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.254/.334	.129	.270	15	10	29%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A	26	39→32	45→55	49→50	33	.193/.242/.314	.120	.303	13	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	.191/.242/.353	.162	.284	21	12	39%	6%	60	-1.0	.165/.222/.322	.157	.239	22	14	40%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	41	40→50	48→50	40	.198/.268/.290	.091	.265	8	6	27%	5%	55	-1.4	.206/.275/.334	.128	.266	13	10	27%	4%	69	-0.4	.174/.249/.322	.148	.213	16	10	26%	3%	56	-0.5
✕Jake Washer 2022 · A	26	37	39→60	49→30	35	.179/.233/.257	.078	.295	7	8	40%	6%	30	-3.1	.200/.246/.346	.146	.295	19	6	38%	5%	59	-1.1	.203/.247/.400	.197	.280	32	2	40%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	39	44→50	52→40	37	.199/.253/.310	.111	.281	12	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.218/.267/.360	.142	.278	18	5	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.215/.261/.361	.146	.264	20	2	27%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	43→40	50	47	.190/.271/.298	.108	.259	11	13	30%	9%	59	-1.1	.198/.292/.298	.100	.275	9	11	29%	10%	68	-0.5	.183/.296/.269	.086	.255	8	11	28%	12%	59	-0.7
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	40→34	42→45	47→30	36	.200/.237/.300	.100	.278	10	2	32%	4%	43	-2.2	.221/.257/.316	.095	.311	8	3	30%	4%	55	-1.4	.241/.276/.333	.091	.335	8	1	29%	4%	62	-0.4
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→43	44→45	48→50	36	.203/.250/.319	.116	.288	12	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.216/.261/.332	.116	.297	11	10	30%	5%	62	-0.9	.216/.262/.331	.115	.289	11	10	28%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Duke Sardinha 2007 · A	26	38→34	45→55	45	37	.196/.247/.317	.121	.281	13	8	34%	6%	52	-1.6	.208/.257/.339	.131	.284	15	6	31%	5%	63	-0.9	.219/.270/.383	.164	.267	21	2	27%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	40	.188/.263/.297	.108	.296	12	13	38%	8%	55	-1.4	.201/.277/.307	.106	.299	10	14	34%	8%	63	-0.9	.196/.298/.302	.106	.259	11	24	26%	10%	67	-0.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	40	48→45	42	.184/.254/.272	.089	.273	9	6	34%	8%	44	-2.1	.197/.271/.286	.089	.298	7	8	33%	9%	55	-1.4	.163/.258/.219	.057	.257	4	7	34%	11%	30	-0.5
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→33	44→45	48→45	42	.196/.263/.315	.118	.271	12	9	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.204/.262/.318	.114	.295	12	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.242/.316	.121	.282	13	0	35%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Wade Kirkland 2015 · A	26	37	42→45	47→45	33	.187/.232/.295	.108	.279	9	6	35%	4%	40	-2.4	.186/.217/.267	.081	.316	7	8	42%	3%	25	-3.5	.167/.190/.226	.059	.293	6	6	44%	2%	-1	-2.3
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	42→55	45→50	35	.173/.235/.271	.098	.281	10	6	40%	6%	36	-2.7	.198/.254/.317	.119	.290	12	10	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.201/.254/.332	.131	.279	12	11	31%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→37	43→55	51→45	41	.206/.260/.322	.117	.290	9	6	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.198/.265/.350	.152	.297	18	6	37%	8%	69	-0.4	.189/.258/.354	.165	.275	22	5	38%	8%	64	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)