Matthew Clayton — OGILVIE

Matthew ClaytonC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .250 / .256

PA76

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	25	A	2 teams	—	135	111	21	4	0	2	10	43	13	0	2	189	328	279	608	90	284	32	7	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	2 teams	—	135	108	29	5	0	3	13	30	13	0	2	269	410	398	809	130	342	22	10	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	MIN	—	76	68	11	2	0	1	5	23	3	1	0	162	250	235	485	74	222	30	7	238	40	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIN	26%	116	102	17	3	0	2	9	34	4	1	0	167	261	255	516	88	229	29	8	246	46	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	MIN	26%	30	27	5	1	0	1	2	9	1	0	0	185	267	333	600	148	229	30	7	223	29	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	30	27	5	1	0	1	2	9	1	0	0	185	267	333	600	148	235	30	7	223	29	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	109	22	0	22	43	195	22	0	0	186	268	337	604	150	236	30	7	223	29	-52	+0	-4	+12	+18	-2.7
Career	—			—	327	281	49	9	0	5	24	100	20	2	2	174	286	260	546	85	247	31	7	262	58	-15	-0	-1	+6	+9	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	559	98	18	0	10	48	199	40	4	4	175	288	261	549	86	249	31	7	262	58	-30	-1	-1	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	25	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	16	15	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	1	200	250	400	650	200	250	38	6	287	78	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	119	93	26	5	0	2	12	24	13	0	1	280	432	398	830	118	353	20	10	384	152	+7	-0	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Clayton (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	162/250/256	93	222	1	1	30%	7%	40	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Joe Hudson 2018 · AA	27	36	38→45	46→40	43	176/238/256	80	243	5	3	29%	7%	33	-2.9	198/252/310	112	281	12	4	32%	6%	53	-1.5	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	44→45	47→30	43	185/254/299	114	263	11	5	33%	8%	51	-1.7	195/267/300	105	315	10	6	38%	9%	56	-1.3	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	37→36	40→45	38→40	43	186/256/272	86	260	8	2	30%	8%	45	-2.1	211/273/354	143	292	17	4	32%	7%	73	-0.1	201/257/381	180	262	26	2	34%	6%	69	-0.1
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	40→42	42→45	48→50	39	199/256/305	106	274	9	10	30%	5%	53	-1.5	194/257/286	92	291	7	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	177/244/255	79	279	5	7	36%	7%	32	-1.6
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	40→45	46→30	33	200/229/288	88	275	7	5	30%	3%	35	-2.8	182/214/260	78	254	7	4	30%	3%	21	-3.7	193/228/318	126	252	17	2	31%	4%	41	-0.8
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→36	41→40	42→50	40	201/255/292	91	279	10	9	31%	6%	49	-1.8	189/252/290	101	263	12	11	31%	6%	47	-1.9	154/225/240	86	212	12	11	33%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	39→35	41→40	47→30	36	198/236/293	95	281	9	2	33%	5%	40	-2.4	218/253/309	91	312	8	3	31%	4%	52	-1.6	234/266/323	89	329	7	1	30%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→43	41→45	51→50	43	191/245/290	98	255	9	12	28%	7%	43	-2.2	201/251/308	107	284	12	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	178/220/273	94	244	15	13	33%	5%	26	-1.0
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	39→50	48→50	39	196/264/283	86	269	7	6	29%	5%	52	-1.6	206/275/335	129	269	13	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3	170/246/316	147	208	17	10	27%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Grant Koch 2023 · AA	26	36	42→45	44→30	41	181/250/278	97	261	10	4	33%	7%	44	-2.1	201/256/297	96	313	10	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	187/235/273	85	292	10	0	38%	5%	31	-0.8