Tyler Hardman

3B Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 228 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AANYY	453	.228/.294/.458	20	12	50	—	.177/.228/.340
2026	27	AAAScranton/Wilk…	366	.216/.302/.392	15	8	49	—	.176/.242/.296
2026	27	AANYY	167	.300/.371/.613	13	3	102	—	.232/.287/.445
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBNYY	25	.199/.257/.357	1	0	68	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	29	MLBNYY	88	.199/.257/.353	3	1	67	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed49

K%48

Max EV46

BB%35

Chase%28

Whiff%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrett Carroll (age 28) · CJ Alexander (age 28) · Taylor Snyder (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .257 / .357

PA25

HR1

K%32

BB%8

BABIP265

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	101	24	5	0	4	9	45	2	4	1	238	312	406	718	168	370	39	8	316	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	16	15	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		100	38	0	57	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	397	104	16	2	22	40	136	3	14	4	262	334	479	813	217	333	30	9	353	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	83	77	25	6	1	6	6	22	0	1	0	325	373	662	1.036	338	388	27	7	444	187	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	331	283	67	9	2	26	40	110	3	9	3	237	337	558	896	322	270	33	12	381	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	309	269	47	6	1	8	33	120	2	12	2	175	269	294	563	119	269	39	11	257	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	65	59	14	3	0	1	5	26	0	1	0	237	297	339	636	102	394	40	8	284	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	17	17	4	1	0	1	0	7	0	0	1	235	235	471	706	235	333	41	0	304	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	453	413	94	25	5	20	38	143	1	12	3	228	294	458	752	230	295	32	8	329	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	366	324	70	12	0	15	34	85	6	8	1	216	302	392	694	176	243	23	9	311	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	167	150	45	8	0	13	15	45	2	3	0	300	371	613	985	313	348	27	9	425	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	104	17	3	0	3	6	61	2	4	1	163	223	279	502	115	308	54	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	16	15	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		101	44	0	57	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	412	80	13	2	18	25	176	3	14	4	194	245	367	612	172	265	39	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	294	55	7	2	19	29	133	3	9	3	187	267	418	685	231	241	40	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	309	279	39	5	1	6	24	144	2	12	2	140	213	229	443	90	243	47	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	65	61	10	2	0	1	3	36	0	1	0	164	203	246	449	82	312	55	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	17	17	3	1	0	1	0	10	0	0	1	176	176	412	588	235	272	59	0	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	424	75	19	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	177	228	340	567	163	261	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	366	335	59	10	0	10	23	102	6	8	1	176	242	296	537	119	216	28	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	167	155	36	6	0	9	10	55	2	3	0	232	287	445	733	213	297	33	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	104	17	3	0	3	6	61	2	4	1	163	223	279	502	115	333	54	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	101	24	5	0	4	9	45	2	4	1	238	312	406	718	168	370	39	8	316	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	546	506	95	15	2	21	29	216	3	15	4	188	236	350	586	162	267	40	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	546	489	130	22	3	28	46	164	3	15	4	266	333	495	828	229	334	30	8	358	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	294	55	7	2	19	29	133	3	9	3	187	267	418	685	231	245	40	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	331	283	67	9	2	26	40	110	3	9	3	237	337	558	896	322	270	33	12	381	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	391	358	51	8	1	7	26	190	2	13	3	142	205	229	434	87	265	49	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	391	345	65	10	1	10	38	153	2	13	3	188	272	310	582	122	294	39	10	264	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	424	75	19	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	177	228	340	567	163	264	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	453	413	94	25	5	20	38	143	1	12	3	228	294	458	752	230	295	32	8	329	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	490	96	16	0	20	33	157	8	11	1	196	258	351	609	155	241	29	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	474	115	20	0	28	49	130	8	11	1	243	324	462	786	219	274	24	9	346	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	105	17	3	0	3	6	61	2	4	1	162	223	276	499	114	308	54	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	546	509	95	15	2	21	29	216	3	15	4	187	236	348	584	161	259	40	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	296	55	7	2	19	29	133	3	9	3	186	267	416	682	230	241	40	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	391	360	51	8	1	7	26	190	2	13	3	142	205	228	432	86	256	49	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	422	75	19	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	178	228	341	569	164	261	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	487	96	16	0	20	33	157	8	11	1	197	258	353	611	156	241	29	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	391	360	51	8	1	7	26	190	2	13	3	142	205	228	432	86	256	49	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	422	75	19	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	178	228	341	569	164	261	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	487	96	16	0	20	33	157	8	11	1	197	258	353	611	156	241	29	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	10%	380	350	68	13	1	12	24	127	3	7	1	197	255	349	604	152	264	33	6	268	68	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	199	257	357	614	159	265	32	8	272	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	27%	323	297	58	11	1	10	20	107	3	5	1	197	255	345	600	148	264	33	6	267	67	-13	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	27%	88	81	16	3	0	3	6	29	1	1	0	199	257	353	610	155	264	33	7	271	67	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	88	81	16	3	0	3	6	29	1	1	0	198	261	346	607	148	265	33	7	271	57	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	118	22	0	22	44	214	7	7	0	197	260	344	604	147	265	33	7	271	57	-26	+1	-3	+2	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2941	2703	493	88	11	102	186	1127	24	74	17	182	241	336	578	154	261	38	6	252	57	-22	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	109	19	2	23	41	249	5	16	4	183	241	337	577	154	260	38	6	252	57	-25	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Hardman (OGILVIE)	28	35	60	50	40	195/253/346	150	264	8	5	33%	6%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	48→55	45→50	43	206/277/346	140	257	15	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	210/274/349	139	266	16	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/265/338	137	255	17	11	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕CJ Alexander 2024 · AAA	28	36→46	53→55	51→50	37	202/244/368	167	261	22	13	32%	5%	69	-0.9	216/266/374	158	288	18	7	30%	6%	78	-0.3	209/262/367	158	279	18	4	31%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2023 · AAA	28	35→33	52→50	52→50	35	192/238/352	160	280	21	11	39%	6%	63	-1.4	186/249/303	117	293	13	15	39%	7%	55	-1.9	136/214/222	86	208	11	21	38%	8%	22	-2.0
✕Kent Matthes 2015 · AAA	28	37→47	49→60	50	37	200/244/350	150	263	17	11	31%	5%	64	-1.3	206/255/326	120	272	11	10	27%	5%	62	-1.4	188/235/282	94	241	5	9	23%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Melky Mesa 2015 · AAA	28	43→46	50→55	52→55	33	220/259/371	151	309	18	14	35%	4%	75	-0.5	205/242/315	110	313	9	8	36%	4%	55	-2.0	193/227/290	97	299	7	5	37%	3%	39	-1.8
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	47→55	51→55	40	207/262/334	128	287	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	211/282/367	156	280	20	23	31%	9%	82	+0.0	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	46→40	41	196/269/346	151	286	19	5	37%	8%	74	-0.6	186/251/323	137	309	16	6	42%	7%	61	-1.5	116/174/233	116	201	14	0	49%	6%	9	-2.1
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	38→45	52→55	47→50	42	204/258/381	178	252	19	8	28%	6%	77	-0.3	219/265/380	161	254	17	8	21%	5%	79	-0.2	229/273/404	176	255	22	11	20%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	36→43	48→50	55	35	191/246/331	141	277	17	19	37%	5%	61	-1.5	207/262/325	118	285	12	21	30%	5%	65	-1.2	203/259/309	106	275	10	24	29%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	40→42	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/333	129	267	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	211/260/333	122	287	14	8	30%	6%	66	-1.1	209/246/322	114	273	15	6	29%	4%	55	-1.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	41→36	48→50	51→50	37	212/251/355	143	272	16	13	29%	4%	68	-1.0	228/285/350	122	286	12	10	24%	6%	80	-0.2	232/297/331	98	288	9	6	21%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Ray Sadler 2009 · AAA	28	40→44	52→55	46→50	40	212/263/378	166	262	20	9	28%	6%	78	-0.3	201/253/341	140	256	17	8	28%	5%	65	-1.2	163/218/279	116	203	16	6	29%	5%	36	-2.3
✕Josh Lester 2022 · AAA	28	37→44	55	46→40	38	206/254/392	186	269	24	4	33%	6%	78	-0.3	203/249/365	162	255	20	5	29%	5%	70	-0.8	194/241/345	151	238	19	3	27%	5%	61	-1.3
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	204/250/362	158	273	18	3	32%	5%	70	-0.9	209/255/351	142	283	15	6	31%	5%	68	-1.0	194/239/336	142	254	16	4	30%	5%	55	-1.4
✕Narciso Crook 2023 · AAA	28	44→43	50	48→50	39	216/285/370	154	316	17	14	36%	7%	85	+0.2	208/286/343	135	332	14	15	39%	8%	79	-0.2	169/264/285	115	292	12	17	42%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA	28	35→40	53→55	45→40	38	193/259/360	167	273	22	2	37%	7%	74	-0.6	190/255/333	143	318	16	5	43%	6%	65	-1.2	156/224/290	134	280	14	2	47%	6%	41	-2.0
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→55	48→50	42	205/272/373	168	253	23	7	29%	7%	81	-0.1	224/300/395	171	301	21	11	31%	8%	97	+1.1	213/306/399	185	288	23	11	32%	10%	96	+0.4
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	38	48→50	48→45	42	202/257/341	139	258	16	10	29%	7%	68	-1.0	217/272/358	141	276	17	8	27%	6%	76	-0.4	214/269/360	145	260	20	3	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Kyle Jensen 2016 · AAA	28	37→47	52→55	46→40	38	204/256/370	167	269	21	3	33%	6%	74	-0.5	202/252/357	155	297	19	3	37%	6%	70	-0.9	183/235/327	144	277	19	1	40%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA	28	41	45→55	48→45	40	208/259/330	122	281	14	10	31%	6%	65	-1.2	212/255/354	142	313	16	9	36%	5%	70	-0.9	198/234/353	155	298	18	6	39%	3%	59	-1.0