Ryan Noda

1B Norfolk Tides

Age 31 L/L 6'1" / 217 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

Overview

AAAArb-2FA 2029

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	28	MLBOakland Athle…	111	.137/.255/.211	1	0	39	-1.6
2025	29	MLBBAL	59	.106/.276/.170	1	1	22	-1.1
2026	30	AAABAL	352	.222/.365/.387	11	7	62	—	.179/.290/.299
2027PROJ10% MLB	31	MLBBAL	35	.191/.307/.335	1	1	82	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	32	MLBBAL	99	.185/.299/.319	3	1	76	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -2.7 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service4.000First FA2029

2027Arb-2$0.4M2028Arb-3$0.7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Chase%90

Barrel%71

Avg EV66

Bat Spd60

xwOBA54

Speed17

CompsYoshi Tsutsugo (age 31) · Daniel Palka (age 31) · Matt Skole (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .307 / .335

PA35

HR1

K%34

BB%11

BABIP270

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1614.8%

xAVG

100.193

POWER45

Barrel%

7111.3

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE60

Chase%

9022.3%

SPEED40

Sprint

1725.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	214	78	18	3	7	59	60	3	7	4	364	507	575	1.082	210	483	22	21	475	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	403	103	24	4	20	109	135	10	14	4	256	425	484	909	228	328	26	21	402	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	378	90	27	1	13	74	138	10	14	2	238	377	418	795	180	330	29	16	355	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	384	96	15	1	29	74	127	12	3	1	250	387	521	908	271	288	27	16	395	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	464	120	23	1	25	92	162	15	20	4	259	398	474	872	216	339	28	16	388	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	495	406	93	22	1	16	77	170	10	3	1	229	365	406	772	177	347	34	16	350	125	+15	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.1
2023	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	18	10	4	2	0	2	8	3	0	0	0	400	667	1.200	1.867	800	400	17	44	684	275	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	111	95	13	4	0	1	14	37	1	0	0	137	255	211	465	74	211	33	13	225	39	-8	+0	-0	-10	+2	-1.6
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	447	348	78	21	2	22	89	134	8	5	1	224	393	486	879	261	289	30	20	389	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	59	47	5	0	0	1	11	25	0	1	0	106	276	170	446	64	190	42	19	227	22	-5	+0	-0	-6	+1	-1.1
2025	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	291	208	39	6	0	10	66	94	14	6	1	188	413	361	774	173	271	32	23	363	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	352	284	63	12	1	11	53	108	11	7	1	222	365	387	752	165	313	31	15	342	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	665	548	111	26	1	18	102	232	11	4	1	203	339	352	691	150	310	35	15	318	101	+1	+0	-7	-25	+14	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	238	65	14	2	6	35	85	3	7	4	273	373	424	798	151	401	31	13	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	439	83	18	3	15	73	186	10	14	4	189	318	346	664	157	274	35	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	399	65	21	1	8	53	203	10	14	2	163	277	281	558	118	282	43	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	411	82	12	1	24	47	161	12	3	1	200	300	409	709	209	246	34	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	497	105	20	1	18	59	193	15	20	4	211	313	364	678	153	299	34	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	495	407	94	21	1	18	76	170	10	3	1	231	365	420	785	189	347	34	15	354	125	+15	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.1
2023	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	18	13	4	2	0	2	5	4	0	0	0	308	500	923	1.423	615	265	22	28	574	275	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	111	95	13	4	0	1	14	37	1	0	0	137	255	211	465	74	211	33	13	226	39	-8	+0	-0	-10	+2	-1.6
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	447	374	66	16	2	16	63	157	8	5	1	176	308	358	666	182	240	35	14	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	59	49	5	0	0	1	9	25	0	1	0	102	241	163	405	61	190	42	15	201	22	-5	+0	-0	-6	+1	-1.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	291	233	35	5	0	8	41	117	14	6	1	150	312	275	587	124	238	40	14	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	352	301	54	10	1	8	36	130	11	7	1	179	290	299	589	120	268	37	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	238	65	14	2	6	35	85	3	7	4	273	373	424	798	151	401	31	13	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	214	78	18	3	7	59	60	3	7	4	364	507	575	1.082	210	483	22	21	475	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	439	83	18	3	15	73	186	10	14	4	189	318	346	664	157	280	35	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	403	103	24	4	20	109	135	10	14	4	256	425	484	909	228	328	26	21	402	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	399	65	21	1	8	53	203	10	14	2	163	277	281	558	118	294	43	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	378	90	27	1	13	74	138	10	14	2	238	377	418	795	180	330	29	16	355	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	411	82	12	1	24	47	161	12	3	1	200	300	409	709	209	251	34	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	384	96	15	1	29	74	127	12	3	1	250	387	521	908	271	288	27	16	395	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	497	105	20	1	18	59	193	15	20	4	211	313	364	678	153	301	34	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	464	120	23	1	25	92	162	15	20	4	259	398	474	872	216	339	28	16	388	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	513	420	98	23	1	20	81	174	10	3	1	233	370	436	806	202	342	34	16	361	131	+19	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.5
2023	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	513	416	97	24	1	18	85	173	10	3	1	233	376	425	801	192	348	34	17	361	131	+19	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.5
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	469	79	20	2	17	77	194	9	5	1	168	297	328	626	160	238	35	14	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	443	91	25	2	23	103	171	9	5	1	205	366	427	792	221	271	31	18	356	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	282	40	5	0	9	50	142	14	7	1	142	301	255	556	113	231	41	14	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	350	255	44	6	0	11	77	119	14	7	1	173	390	325	716	153	258	34	22	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	352	301	54	10	1	8	36	130	11	7	1	179	290	299	589	120	280	37	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	352	284	63	12	1	11	53	108	11	7	1	222	365	387	752	165	313	31	15	342	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	236	65	14	2	6	35	85	3	7	4	275	373	428	801	153	401	31	13	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	439	83	18	3	15	73	186	10	14	4	189	318	346	664	157	274	35	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	403	65	21	1	8	53	203	10	14	2	161	277	278	555	117	282	43	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	413	82	12	1	24	47	161	12	3	1	199	300	407	707	208	246	34	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	495	105	20	1	18	59	193	15	20	4	212	313	366	679	154	299	34	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	513	417	98	23	1	20	81	174	10	3	1	235	370	439	809	204	344	34	16	361	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	467	79	20	2	17	77	194	9	5	1	169	297	330	627	161	234	35	14	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	283	40	5	0	9	50	142	14	7	1	141	301	254	555	113	230	41	14	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	352	302	54	10	1	8	36	130	11	7	1	179	290	298	588	119	268	37	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	467	79	20	2	17	77	194	9	5	1	169	297	330	627	161	234	35	14	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	283	40	5	0	9	50	142	14	7	1	141	301	254	555	113	230	41	14	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	352	302	54	10	1	8	36	130	11	7	1	179	290	298	588	119	268	37	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	380	323	60	11	1	10	45	126	9	6	2	188	304	326	630	138	266	33	12	290	82	-8	+0	+1	-7	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	31	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	35	30	6	1	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	191	307	335	641	143	270	34	11	294	82	-1	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	BAL	27%	361	307	55	10	1	9	42	122	9	3	1	181	297	310	607	129	259	34	12	281	76	-10	+0	-3	-6	+8	-1.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	BAL	27%	99	86	16	3	0	3	11	33	2	1	0	185	299	319	618	134	263	33	11	285	76	-3	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	764	634	127	29	1	21	113	265	13	5	1	200	333	349	681	148	303	35	15	314	87	-2	+1	-8	-27	+17	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	539	109	25	1	18	96	225	11	4	1	202	334	353	687	150	305	35	15	314	87	-2	+1	-7	-23	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4805	4061	781	163	14	143	594	1706	111	88	22	192	312	345	657	153	284	36	12	297	87	-17	+1	-9	-38	+30	-3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	549	105	22	2	19	80	231	15	12	3	191	310	342	653	151	284	36	12	297	87	-8	+0	-4	-18	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3
#3Norm Miller'65-'74 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	24	16	238*	325*	391*	-14	-3	2.4	2.7
/162	664	10	7	-6.1	-1.3	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Dave Nicholson'60-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,661 PA	2.5	1,661	61	6	213*	321*	402*	-16	-6	2.5	2.5
/162	664	24	2	-6.6	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Connor Joelast yr '25 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	35	13	241	335	387	-21	-16	1.9	1.9
/162	664	14	5	-8.3	-6.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Herbie Moran'08-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,518 PA	3.8	2,518	2	103	236*	329*	348*	-18	-17	1.0	1.0
/162	664	1	27	-4.7	-4.5	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	799	21	5	201	330	348	-14	-11	0.5	0.6
/162	664	18	4	-11.9	-9.0	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Noda (OGILVIE)	31	20	45	40	60	186/301/323	137	266	9	5	33%	12%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	42→41	49→50	39→30	52	216/299/359	143	271	18	2	27%	10%	87	+0.4	224/310/364	140	307	16	7	30%	11%	93	+0.8	208/312/349	140	296	16	5	32%	12%	87	+0.2
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	42→43	51→55	44→50	45	219/280/375	156	275	20	4	28%	8%	84	+0.1	211/266/349	138	275	17	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	185/238/306	121	238	16	4	29%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Matt Skole 2019 · AAA	30	37→40	47→50	46→40	44	194/259/328	134	252	15	4	29%	8%	65	-1.2	204/280/343	139	282	16	5	32%	9%	77	-0.3	186/273/327	141	252	19	0	33%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Michael Pérez 2024 · MLB	31	33	47→50	45→40	46	180/252/303	123	227	16	4	29%	8%	57	-1.8	205/274/328	123	274	14	5	29%	7%	71	-0.8	182/256/298	116	243	13	0	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jon Singleton 2023 · AAA	31	36→46	50	47→45	53	188/290/338	150	264	18	5	34%	13%	80	-0.2	207/295/364	157	266	20	3	29%	11%	87	+0.4	197/286/348	151	245	20	1	28%	11%	79	-0.2
✕Jason Conti 2006 · MLB	31	42→40	45	44→50	40	210/259/331	121	279	13	6	29%	6%	65	-1.2	217/267/328	111	286	11	8	27%	6%	68	-1.0	205/249/275	71	267	7	5	25%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Ryan Langerhans 2013 · MLB	33	40→41	48→50	45→50	50	202/294/346	144	291	16	11	34%	11%	83	+0.1	209/286/357	148	299	17	8	33%	9%	82	-0.0	184/263/338	154	248	20	2	34%	9%	66	-0.5
✕Graham Koonce 2006 · AAA	31	42→40	53→55	43→30	45	224/287/395	171	272	22	3	27%	7%	91	+0.7	208/281/381	173	260	22	4	29%	8%	86	+0.3	183/264/359	175	222	23	2	29%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Baltazar Lopez 2015 · AAA	31	46	50	42→45	40	231/283/380	149	305	18	5	30%	6%	86	+0.3	218/279/314	96	342	9	7	36%	7%	69	-0.9	201/270/244	43	352	4	2	40%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Carlos Ibarra 2015 · AAA	31	43	44→50	38→40	39	217/255/329	112	275	13	4	26%	4%	63	-1.4	212/251/299	87	264	8	5	22%	5%	54	-2.0	203/236/260	56	248	4	0	19%	3%	38	-0.9
✕Mike Costanzo 2014 · MLB	30	41→50	46→50	40	43	208/268/341	133	284	14	4	31%	7%	71	-0.8	207/265/334	127	304	14	7	34%	7%	68	-1.0	151/205/242	91	238	13	0	41%	6%	25	-1.0
✕Brad Nelson 2014 · AAA	31	41→50	50	45→50	46	217/275/364	147	262	18	4	25%	7%	80	-0.2	210/264/329	119	254	13	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	180/229/262	82	212	9	0	20%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Joe Borchard 2010 · MLB	31	39→43	49→55	45	40	205/254/353	148	266	17	6	30%	6%	69	-0.9	214/265/357	143	286	15	5	30%	6%	74	-0.6	209/260/353	144	278	15	2	30%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Valentino Pascucci 2010 · AAA	31	40→42	51→55	48→45	48	211/290/369	159	273	20	5	30%	9%	86	+0.3	208/288/370	162	288	20	3	33%	10%	86	+0.3	194/280/355	161	272	21	0	35%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Cody Ransom 2007 · MLB	31	38→39	49→55	46→50	41	200/260/342	142	271	17	7	32%	7%	69	-0.9	204/268/369	165	259	20	12	29%	7%	78	-0.3	206/286/402	196	277	25	6	34%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2024 · AAA	30	38→48	48→50	46→45	42	198/260/344	146	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.9	216/277/347	131	281	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	227/285/352	125	285	12	9	24%	6%	78	-0.2
●Mike Ford 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	46→55	47→30	50	196/279/322	126	246	14	3	26%	10%	72	-0.7	223/302/392	169	270	22	4	25%	9%	96	+1.0	216/297/392	177	256	24	2	26%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Cory Aldridge 2009 · AAA	30	44→47	45→55	43→45	45	220/280/351	131	291	12	7	28%	8%	78	-0.3	233/280/395	162	307	19	4	30%	6%	88	+0.5	205/268/370	165	274	26	5	35%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Josh Lester 2024 · MLB	30	37→44	51→55	47→40	38	203/247/362	159	257	20	5	30%	5%	69	-0.9	210/258/360	150	259	19	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	195/243/346	151	226	20	2	24%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Chris Parmelee 2019 · AAA	31	40→50	48→55	44→45	47	207/276/347	141	270	17	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	209/280/370	161	295	21	6	34%	9%	83	+0.1	174/254/338	164	231	24	0	36%	9%	66	-0.6

Ryan Noda

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps