Skyler Messinger

3B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 28 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	A+COL	462	.239/.304/.366	10	12	34	—	.177/.231/.274
2026	27	AACOL	111	.186/.262/.247	0	4	18	—	.163/.234/.214
2026	27	ROKCOL	15	.333/.467/.917	2	0	129	—	.231/.333/.538
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBCOL	3	.192/.242/.296	0	0	43	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	29	MLBCOL	44	.193/.243/.296	1	1	43	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%43

Speed37

Z-Con%19

K%15

Whiff%15

ISO9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChandler Seagle (age 28) · Matt Whatley (age 28) · Ali Solis (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .242 / .296

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%4

BABIP282

ISO87

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	9	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	1	375	423	375	798		429	11	4	355	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	364	94	19	3	18	54	113	10	7	1	258	369	475	844	217	318	26	12	369	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	94	88	21	5	0	2	4	25	0	3	0	239	272	364	635	125	302	27	4	277	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	109	93	21	6	1	1	11	29	4	4	1	226	333	344	677	118	312	27	10	310	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	73	67	20	1	0	1	5	22	0	2	1	299	347	358	705	60	422	30	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	Spokane Indians	—	462	415	99	21	1	10	27	107	12	12	8	239	304	366	670	128	291	23	6	298	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	111	97	18	6	0	0	4	36	6	4	1	186	262	247	509	62	286	32	4	232	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	15	12	4	1	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	333	467	917	1.383	583	333	27	20	563	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	292	346	292	638		324	15	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	380	75	15	3	11	38	156	10	7	1	197	287	339	627	142	277	36	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	94	90	16	3	0	1	2	34	0	3	0	178	196	244	440	67	256	36	2	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	109	98	14	3	1	1	6	42	4	4	1	143	222	224	447	82	221	39	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	424	75	15	1	8	18	144	12	12	8	177	231	274	505	97	230	31	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	111	98	16	5	0	0	3	44	6	4	1	163	234	214	448	51	260	40	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	15	13	3	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	231	333	538	872	308	222	40	13	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	292	346	292	638		350	15	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	9	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	1	375	423	375	798		429	11	4	355	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	380	75	15	3	11	38	156	10	7	1	197	287	339	627	142	292	36	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	364	94	19	3	18	54	113	10	7	1	258	369	475	844	217	318	26	12	369	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	276	256	41	9	1	3	12	103	4	9	2	160	210	238	448	78	247	37	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	276	248	62	12	1	4	20	76	4	9	2	250	316	355	671	105	337	28	7	301	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	424	75	15	1	8	18	144	12	12	8	177	231	274	505	97	239	31	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	462	415	99	21	1	10	27	107	12	12	8	239	304	366	670	128	291	23	6	298	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	126	112	19	6	0	1	4	50	6	4	1	170	238	250	488	80	286	40	3	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	126	109	22	7	0	2	7	40	6	4	1	202	287	321	608	119	290	32	6	272	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	27	25	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	280	346	280	626		324	15	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	384	75	15	3	11	38	156	10	7	1	195	287	336	623	141	277	36	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	276	258	41	9	1	3	12	103	4	9	2	159	210	236	446	78	237	37	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	429	75	15	1	8	18	144	12	12	8	175	231	270	502	96	230	31	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	126	115	19	6	0	1	4	50	6	4	1	165	238	243	481	78	255	40	3	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	276	258	41	9	1	3	12	103	4	9	2	159	210	236	446	78	237	37	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	429	75	15	1	8	18	144	12	12	8	175	231	270	502	96	230	31	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	126	115	19	6	0	1	4	50	6	4	1	165	238	243	481	78	255	40	3	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	2%	200	186	34	8	0	3	8	69	4	4	2	184	234	278	511	94	270	34	4	232	43	-14	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	192	242	296	538	104	282	33	0	242	43	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	23%	194	180	33	7	0	3	8	67	4	3	1	184	235	278	513	94	270	35	4	232	43	-13	+0	-1	+1	+4	-1.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	23%	44	41	8	2	0	1	2	15	1	1	0	193	243	296	539	103	281	34	5	243	43	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	41	8	2	0	1	2	15	1	1	0	195	250	317	567	122	280	34	5	243	43	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	119	30	0	15	30	222	15	15	0	196	252	320	572	124	282	34	5	243	43	-44	+3	-5	+2	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1656	1503	273	57	5	28	86	571	40	38	15	182	245	282	527	100	265	34	5	232	43	-22	+0	-1	+1	+7	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	107	22	2	11	34	224	16	15	6	181	246	281	527	100	264	34	5	232	43	-44	+1	-3	+2	+14	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Skyler Messinger (OGILVIE)	28	40	40	45	25	182/232/275	93	270	2	3	35%	4%	43	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chandler Seagle 2024 · AAA	28	39	38→40	43→45	35	189/240/267	78	288	6	7	35%	5%	43	-2.8	179/223/255	76	296	5	7	39%	4%	34	-3.5	131/167/182	51	232	1	2	42%	3%	-7	-1.5
✕Matt Whatley 2024 · AAA	28	38→37	41→40	42→50	40	189/250/277	88	263	9	9	31%	6%	50	-2.3	203/266/314	111	269	13	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	167/233/256	89	203	14	12	26%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	199/228/283	84	274	7	5	30%	3%	41	-3.0	178/210/253	75	248	6	4	30%	3%	28	-3.9	187/222/301	114	244	14	2	30%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Scott Burcham 2021 · AA	28	41	39→30	46→50	41	198/253/281	83	282	7	11	31%	6%	51	-2.2	205/249/297	92	329	7	8	38%	5%	53	-2.1	174/198/228	55	305	2	0	43%	3%	15	-1.1
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	42→43	39→40	52→55	41	202/253/287	85	276	6	14	28%	6%	52	-2.2	211/265/320	109	324	10	16	35%	6%	65	-1.2	163/209/244	81	278	5	25	41%	5%	24	-0.8
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	299	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/299	104	302	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/269	94	266	7	6	34%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→45	46→50	39	192/245/267	75	277	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	219/257/323	104	313	12	17	33%	5%	62	-1.4	225/250/332	107	324	14	23	34%	3%	58	-1.1
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	221/278/305	84	288	5	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	212/268/277	65	275	2	2	22%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	41	42→45	49→40	37	203/246/309	106	282	9	5	31%	5%	55	-1.9	226/265/323	97	306	7	5	27%	4%	65	-1.2	228/262/312	84	294	7	2	24%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	42	37→30	45→40	38	200/256/267	67	283	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	226/298/333	107	315	10	10	29%	7%	81	-0.1	251/336/377	127	319	13	6	24%	8%	103	+0.4
✕Brandon Bantz 2015 · AAA	28	44	40	42→30	39	215/260/304	88	287	7	6	27%	5%	59	-1.7	220/272/324	104	282	10	7	24%	6%	68	-1.0	206/257/292	86	257	9	0	23%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	39→32	43→45	47→45	34	198/237/299	100	268	12	7	31%	3%	49	-2.4	219/258/337	118	278	14	8	26%	4%	66	-1.1	220/249/333	113	265	15	4	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Joseph Odom 2020 · AAA	28	42	41→45	44→30	37	204/248/299	95	296	9	3	33%	5%	53	-2.1	200/257/304	104	330	10	5	40%	6%	58	-1.7	180/247/305	125	335	13	3	47%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Alberto Rosario 2015 · AAA	28	43	40→30	45→50	39	212/258/295	83	277	8	7	26%	5%	56	-1.9	207/247/276	69	254	4	5	20%	4%	47	-2.5	217/249/252	36	269	2	3	19%	3%	40	-0.9
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	35→25	44→50	49→50	35	182/236/299	117	270	12	9	36%	5%	50	-2.3	212/272/323	111	293	10	10	30%	5%	69	-0.9	212/282/301	88	289	5	9	26%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Anderson De La Rosa 2013 · AAA	28	39	41→40	44→40	36	195/231/292	97	256	9	3	28%	4%	45	-2.7	202/236/294	92	272	7	5	27%	4%	47	-2.5	198/226/275	78	268	4	3	27%	3%	37	-1.2
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	197/257/295	98	265	8	14	28%	7%	56	-1.9	193/260/278	85	288	7	11	33%	7%	53	-2.1	162/233/221	59	250	5	8	35%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jeff Arnold 2017 · AA	29	41	40→45	44→40	37	198/252/294	96	304	7	6	36%	6%	54	-2.0	173/237/273	100	299	10	4	42%	7%	44	-2.8	133/204/223	89	235	10	0	45%	7%	20	-1.9
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	44→45	44→30	30	179/208/287	108	270	13	4	39%	3%	35	-3.4	186/245/318	132	281	17	6	38%	7%	58	-1.7	104/201/204	100	148	15	0	41%	10%	15	-1.2