David Bañuelos
C St. Paul Saints| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 106 | .209/.321/.319 | 2 | 1 | 51 | — | .173/.279/.240 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA/AABAL | 80 | .139/.225/.222 | 1 | 0 | -7 | — | .120/.175/.187 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAAMIN | 185 | .193/.268/.343 | 7 | 0 | 22 | — | .146/.202/.234 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBMIN | 10 | .181/.242/.287 | 0 | 0 | 49 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBMIN | 26 | .180/.241/.284 | 1 | 0 | 47 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 277 | 259 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 77 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 220 | 252 | 297 | 549 | 77 | 297 | 28 | 4 | 242 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 160 | 153 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 200 | 203 | 403 | 39 | 275 | 39 | 2 | 187 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 64 | 56 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 312 | 429 | 741 | 214 | 286 | 30 | 12 | 328 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 96 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 253 | 411 | 664 | 200 | 296 | 35 | 5 | 287 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 59 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 222 | 464 | 37 | 278 | 32 | 5 | 214 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 199 | 181 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 273 | 376 | 648 | 171 | 259 | 31 | 8 | 289 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 78 | 71 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 269 | 282 | 551 | 85 | 264 | 23 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 178 | 152 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 369 | 526 | 896 | 257 | 419 | 38 | 12 | 388 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 86 | 71 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 360 | 352 | 713 | 127 | 318 | 29 | 15 | 331 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 20 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 200 | 350 | 50 | 273 | 45 | 0 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 63 | 56 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 206 | 214 | 421 | 107 | 147 | 33 | 11 | 200 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 250 | 544 | 400 | 35 | 6 | 254 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 185 | 166 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 268 | 343 | 611 | 151 | 263 | 36 | 8 | 274 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 277 | 262 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 168 | 193 | 218 | 410 | 50 | 259 | 39 | 3 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 160 | 154 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 94 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 138 | 136 | 274 | 32 | 250 | 59 | 1 | 118 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 64 | 58 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 234 | 293 | 527 | 138 | 247 | 42 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 96 | 92 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 189 | 315 | 505 | 152 | 258 | 43 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 59 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 207 | 200 | 407 | 36 | 257 | 39 | 3 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 199 | 186 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 217 | 290 | 507 | 124 | 233 | 38 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 178 | 158 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 284 | 367 | 651 | 165 | 355 | 46 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 86 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 279 | 240 | 519 | 67 | 283 | 33 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 63 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 143 | 169 | 312 | 85 | 129 | 41 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 250 | 544 | 388 | 41 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 185 | 171 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 202 | 234 | 436 | 88 | 225 | 43 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 277 | 262 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 168 | 193 | 218 | 410 | 50 | 270 | 39 | 3 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 277 | 259 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 77 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 220 | 252 | 297 | 549 | 77 | 297 | 28 | 4 | 242 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 224 | 212 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 113 | 161 | 165 | 326 | 52 | 253 | 54 | 4 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 224 | 209 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 232 | 263 | 495 | 86 | 278 | 36 | 5 | 227 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 146 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 196 | 260 | 456 | 103 | 259 | 42 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 155 | 144 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 248 | 340 | 589 | 139 | 289 | 34 | 5 | 259 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 277 | 260 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 104 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 162 | 210 | 281 | 491 | 119 | 230 | 38 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 277 | 252 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 147 | 261 | 29 | 8 | 279 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 178 | 158 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 284 | 367 | 651 | 165 | 371 | 46 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 178 | 152 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 369 | 526 | 896 | 257 | 419 | 38 | 12 | 388 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 106 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 292 | 290 | 583 | 97 | 286 | 33 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 106 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 321 | 319 | 639 | 110 | 309 | 32 | 12 | 298 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 80 | 75 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 163 | 173 | 336 | 67 | 171 | 41 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 80 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 225 | 222 | 447 | 83 | 205 | 34 | 10 | 212 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 185 | 171 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 202 | 234 | 436 | 88 | 233 | 43 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | St. Paul Saints | — | 185 | 166 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 268 | 343 | 611 | 151 | 263 | 36 | 8 | 274 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 277 | 267 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 193 | 213 | 406 | 49 | 259 | 39 | 3 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 224 | 210 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 114 | 161 | 167 | 327 | 52 | 249 | 54 | 4 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 147 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 196 | 259 | 455 | 102 | 258 | 42 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 277 | 259 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 104 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 162 | 210 | 282 | 492 | 120 | 233 | 38 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 178 | 158 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 284 | 367 | 651 | 165 | 355 | 46 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 106 | 92 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 292 | 293 | 586 | 98 | 283 | 33 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 80 | 75 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 163 | 173 | 336 | 67 | 184 | 41 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 185 | 171 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 202 | 234 | 436 | 88 | 225 | 43 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 106 | 92 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 292 | 293 | 586 | 98 | 283 | 33 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 80 | 75 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 163 | 173 | 336 | 67 | 184 | 41 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 185 | 171 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 202 | 234 | 436 | 88 | 225 | 43 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 10% | 200 | 183 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 63 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 180 | 242 | 287 | 529 | 107 | 247 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 49 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 10% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 242 | 287 | 530 | 107 | 247 | 30 | 10 | 240 | 49 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIN | 27% | 94 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 241 | 283 | 525 | 104 | 246 | 32 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIN | 27% | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 241 | 284 | 525 | 104 | 246 | 31 | 8 | 238 | 47 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 167 | 267 | 31 | 8 | 238 | 27 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 125 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 167 | 267 | 31 | 8 | 238 | 27 | -41 | +0 | -19 | +12 | +14 | -3.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1681 | 1560 | 248 | 48 | 4 | 29 | 88 | 688 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 159 | 212 | 251 | 463 | 92 | 257 | 41 | 5 | 209 | 27 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +4 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 266 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 161 | 214 | 254 | 468 | 93 | 261 | 41 | 5 | 209 | 27 | -40 | +1 | -9 | +12 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 185 PAwOBA .269 → .200 (−70)K% 35.7% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×0.972 | 18.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.972 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .269 → .200; ISO .151 → .099; BABIP .263 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 63 PAwOBA .196 → .141 (−55)K% 33.3% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.063 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.959 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 5.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.08% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .196 → .141; ISO .107 → .078; BABIP .147 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 17 PAwOBA .248 → .215 (−33)K% 35.3% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 4.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.958 | 38.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.248 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .248 → .215; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANorfolk Tides · 86 PAwOBA .324 → .264 (−60)K% 29.1% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.07% | ÷1.070 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.12% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 10.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷0.962 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | 22.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.03% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 92, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 114, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .324 → .264; ISO .127 → .095; BABIP .318 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAWichita Wind Surge · 178 PAwOBA .378 → .279 (−98)K% 38.2% → 45.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.20% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.80% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.38% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.978 | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.931 | ×0.840 | ×0.997 | ×0.978 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×0.978 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.231 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 7.57% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .378 → .279; ISO .257 → .169; BABIP .419 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASt. Paul Saints · 199 PAwOBA .281 → .222 (−58)K% 30.7% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.65% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.54% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.079 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.881 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.39% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .281 → .222; ISO .171 → .129; BABIP .259 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASt. Paul Saints · 96 PAwOBA .282 → .211 (−71)K% 35.4% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.42% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.21% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.07% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 14.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.93% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 3.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.121 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.46% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .282 → .211; ISO .200 → .142; BABIP .296 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAWichita Wind Surge · 59 PAwOBA .212 → .177 (−35)K% 32.2% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.20% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.08% | ÷0.950 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 21.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.040 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 82, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .212 → .177; ISO .037 → .029; BABIP .278 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .