Luke Raley

RF Seattle Mariners
Age 32 L/R 6'3" / 235 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 3.616 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
Overview
MLBD6040-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202429MLBSEA455.243/.322/.46322111221.2
202530MLBSEA219.202/.321/.3114286-0.4
202631MLBSEA287.225/.285/.4391511010.2
2027PROJ32MLBSEA194.237/.313/.444991150.7
2028PROJ33MLBSEA292.229/.303/.4251391070.2
2029PROJ34MLBSEA249.218/.292/.40311497-0.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.616First FA2030
2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Bat Spd89
Speed79
Barrel%78
Avg EV65
xwOBA64
CompsSeth Brown (age 32) · Brandon Dixon (age 31) · Curtis Granderson (age 32)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 84115vR 126
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .313 / .444
PA194
HR9
SB9
K%29
BB%6
BABIP294
ISO208
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.60.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
Whiff%
3412.7%
xAVG
200.227
POWER55
Barrel%
7812.3
Avg EV
6590.2
Bat Spd
8975.5
EYE50
Chase%
9023.1%
SPEED60
Sprint
7928.6
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 754 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
118
636
—
wRC+
41
125
▶▶R
wOBA
229
353
▶▶R
ISO
094
215
▶▶R
BABIP
219
327
▶▶R
K%
29.7%
30.5%
—
BB%
7.6%
6.6%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.616 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$1M+0.6$2M+$1M
2028Arb-2$1M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Arb-3$3M———
Totals $1M $2M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201621 AGreat Lakes Loons — 231200 491142 15479 44 245326370696 125301 206 306 63 — — — — — —
201621 ROKOgden Raptors — 4440 20322 331 00 5005458251.370 325514 77 587 174 — — — — — —
201722 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 541478 141211114 4312419 91 295376473849 178372 238 377 80 — — — — — —
201823 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 551484 13319820 3613724 40 275355471826 196338 257 362 86 — — — — — —
201823 INTLSalt River Rafters — 1814 3010 340 10 214353357710 143273 2217 307 94 — — — — — —
201924 AAARochester Red Wings — 138126 38607 7425 40 302362516878 214403 305 387 100 — — — — — —
201924 ROKGCL Twins — 2019 7001 020 00 368368526895 158353 100 376 86 — — — — — —
201924 INTLSalt River Rafters — 9382 20513 4215 00 244319439758 195283 234 330 110 — — — — — —
202126 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 7266 12102 2254 00 182250288538 106256 353 249 48 -4 +0 -1 -4 +2 -0.8
202126 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers — 318272 8014219 277418 83 294394570964 276339 238 420 115 — — — — — —
202227 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 7261 12201 7243 00 197310279589 82297 3310 276 73 -2 +0 +0 -4 +2 -0.4
202227 AAADurham Bulls — 268227 688114 277312 72 300402529931 229383 2710 408 101 — — — — — —
202328 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 406357 8923319 2812818 143 249335490825 241330 327 361 132 +15 +2 -2 -4 +9 1.9
202429 MLBSeattle Mariners — 455404 9819222 2713520 112 243322463784 220305 306 344 122 +12 +1 -7 -5 +10 1.2
202530 MLBSeattle Mariners — 219183 37804 196413 21 202321311632 109284 299 292 86 -4 +0 -3 -3 +5 -0.4
202530 AAATacoma Rainiers — 3835 11103 2121 00 314368600968 286400 325 421 80 — — — — — —
202631 MLBSeattle Mariners — 287262 599115 15937 12 225285439724 214284 325 316 101 +0 -1 -1 -3 +6 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 15111333 30762663 9846965 288 230314428742 197302 316 328 108 +15 +2 -13 -23 +33 1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201621 A MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 231205 45942 10649 44 220286332617 112281 284 262 63 — — — — — —
201621 ROK MLEOgden Raptors — 4441 14211 241 00 341386512899 171391 95 426 174 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 541494 11616711 2716819 91 235300362662 128326 315 286 80 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 551497 11518816 2317424 40 231298396694 165304 324 296 86 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 138129 32406 4515 40 248297419716 171368 373 316 100 — — — — — —
201924 ROK MLEGCL Twins — 2019 6001 030 00 316316474789 158269 150 295 86 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 7267 12102 1254 00 179236284520 104256 351 240 48 -4 +0 -1 -4 +2 -0.8
202126 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 318281 7012213 188918 83 249334445779 196317 286 338 115 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 7261 12201 7243 00 197310279589 82297 3310 276 73 -2 +0 +0 -4 +2 -0.4
202227 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 268237 58619 178812 72 245327392719 148344 336 318 101 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 406357 9024320 2812818 143 252337504842 252330 327 363 132 +15 +2 -2 -4 +9 1.9
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 455404 9919223 2713520 112 245324473796 228305 306 349 122 +12 +1 -7 -5 +10 1.2
202530 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 219183 37804 196413 21 202321311632 109284 299 295 86 -4 +0 -3 -3 +5 -0.4
202530 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 3836 9102 1141 00 250289444734 194326 373 286 80 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 287263 599115 14937 12 224282437719 213284 325 318 101 +0 -1 -1 -3 +6 0.2
201621 A MLE2 teams — 275246 591153 126910 44 240302362664 122313 254 288 81 — — — — — —
201621 A RAW2 teams — 275240 691464 185010 44 287362446808 158340 187 351 81 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 541494 11616711 2716819 91 235300362662 128332 315 286 80 — — — — — —
201722 A+ RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 541478 141211114 4312419 91 295376473849 178372 238 377 80 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE2 teams — 569514 11918817 2318024 50 232296397693 165314 324 296 86 — — — — — —
201823 AA RAW2 teams — 569498 13619920 3914124 50 273355468823 195336 257 360 86 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE3 teams — 251232 617011 68510 40 263310435746 172360 342 313 98 — — — — — —
201924 AAA RAW3 teams — 251227 6511111 116510 40 286347489836 203351 264 365 98 — — — — — —
202126 AAA MLE2 teams — 390348 8213215 1911422 83 236316414730 178305 295 320 103 — — — — — —
202126 AAA RAW2 teams — 390338 9215221 299922 83 272368515882 243324 257 388 103 — — — — — —
202227 AAA MLE2 teams — 340298 708110 2411215 72 235323369693 134337 337 309 95 — — — — — —
202227 AAA RAW2 teams — 340288 8010115 349715 72 278383476858 198365 2910 380 95 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 406357 9024320 2812818 143 252337504842 252332 327 363 132 +15 +2 -2 -4 +9 1.9
202328 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 406357 8923319 2812818 143 249335490825 241330 327 361 132 +15 +2 -2 -4 +9 1.9
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 455404 9919223 2713520 112 245324473796 228306 306 349 122 +12 +1 -7 -5 +10 1.2
202429 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 455404 9819222 2713520 112 243322463784 220305 306 344 122 +12 +1 -7 -5 +10 1.2
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 257219 46906 207814 21 210316333650 123294 308 293 85 -5 +0 -3 -3 +6 -0.5
202530 MLB RAW2 teams — 257218 48907 217614 21 220328358686 138301 308 311 85 -5 +0 -3 -3 +6 -0.5
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 287263 599115 14937 12 224282437719 213282 325 318 101 +0 -1 -1 -3 +6 0.2
202631 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 287262 599115 15937 12 225285439724 214284 325 316 101 +0 -1 -1 -3 +6 0.2
201621 A MLE2 teams — 275251 591153 126910 44 235302355657 120299 254 288 81 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 541490 11616711 2716819 91 237300365665 129326 315 286 80 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE2 teams — 569517 11918817 2318024 50 230296395690 164304 324 296 86 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE3 teams — 251233 617011 68510 40 262310433744 172355 342 313 98 — — — — — —
202126 AAA MLE2 teams — 390346 8213215 1911422 83 237316416732 179306 295 320 103 — — — — — —
202227 AAA MLE2 teams — 340298 708110 2411215 72 235323369693 134334 337 309 95 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 406357 9024320 2812818 143 252337504842 252330 327 363 132 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 455405 9919223 2713520 112 244324472795 227305 306 349 122 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 257221 46906 207814 21 208316330647 122291 308 293 85 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 287264 599115 14937 12 223282436717 212284 325 318 101 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 455405 9919223 2713520 112 244324472795 227305 306 349 122 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 257221 46906 207814 21 208316330647 122291 308 293 85 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 287264 599115 14937 12 223282436717 212284 325 318 101 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLESEA 100% 290259 6210114 198510 133 240315452767 212297 297 337 115 +5 +1 -0 -3 +6 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXSEA 100% 194173 41719 12577 92 237313444757 207294 296 333 115 +3 +1 -0 -2 +4 0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLESEA 100% 292262 6110114 188810 92 231306433739 201288 306 326 107 +2 +1 -4 -3 +6 0.2
202934 MLB MLESEA 100% 249224 497111 15778 41 221294410704 189278 316 312 97 -1 +0 -5 -3 +5 -0.3
202833 MLB CTXSEA 100% 292262 599113 188810 92 229303425729 197285 306 322 107 +2 +1 -4 -3 +6 0.2
202934 MLB CTXSEA 100% 249224 497111 15778 41 218292403695 184275 316 308 97 -1 +0 -5 -3 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20521819 41578887 13163483 4111 228309423733 195296 316 325 100 +16 +4 -22 -29 +44 1.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 13325328 4120126 133 231311431741 200300 316 325 100 +5 +1 -7 -9 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 45064034 95315832165 2451384184 8723 236310414724 178313 315 316 100 +20 +5 -22 -31 +49 2.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 13823524 3520027 133 237311418728 180315 315 316 100 +6 +1 -7 -9 +14 0.6