Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 9 | 3 | 20 | 93 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 2.3 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 7.08 | 2.90 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 9 | 3 | 20 | 93 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 2.3 | 30.1% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% | 7.08 | 1.67 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 14 | 8 | 61 | 253 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 57% | 4.4 | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 2.20 | 3.75 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 14 | 8 | 61 | 253 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 57% | 4.4 | 17.8% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 0.8% | 2.20 | 2.89 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 14 | 12 | 54 | 225 | 68 | 20 | 5 | 86% | 3.9 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 2.83 | 4.48 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 14 | 12 | 54 | 225 | 68 | 20 | 5 | 86% | 3.9 | 30.2% | 8.9% | 21.3% | 2.2% | 2.83 | 2.90 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 85 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 1.2% | 1.61 | 3.28 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 85 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.2% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 0.8% | 1.61 | 2.17 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 3 | 65 | 275 | 80 | 37 | 7 | 7% | 1.5 | 25.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 3.34 | 4.17 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 3 | 65 | 275 | 80 | 37 | 7 | 7% | 1.5 | 29.1% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 2.5% | 3.34 | 3.75 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 51 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 3.73 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 51 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 3.73 | 3.90 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 32 | 0 | 36 | 160 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 4.21 | 5.51 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 32 | 0 | 36 | 160 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.1% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 4.4% | 4.21 | 4.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | DET | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.3% | 4.51 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | DET | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.3% | 4.51 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.92 | 4.73 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 148 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 137 | 74 | 32 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.92 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 201 | 26 | 358 | 1515 | 312 | 177 | 34 | 13% | 1.8 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 3.14 | 4.07 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 15 | 200 | 846 | 174 | 99 | 19 | 13% | 1.8 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 3.14 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel De Jesus (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.60 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 20 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.30 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -0.96 | 2.39 | 332 | 75 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 75 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 73 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.35 | 21.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 3.85 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 181 | +0.50 | 1.74 | 468 | 73 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 72 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.23 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.60 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 83 | +0.37 | 2.30 | 523 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 72 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 71 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 71 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 71 |
| Will Harris R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.48 | 24.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .190 | 2.41 | 28.0% | 22.8% | 166 | -1.07 | 2.12 | 315 | 71 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.36 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .302 | 3.71 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.65 | 3.59 | 331 | 71 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 70 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 70 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 70 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 70 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 70 |
| Rafael Montero R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.41 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .222 | 3.23 | 24.6% | 16.3% | 185 | -0.18 | 2.38 | 663 | 70 |