Keston Hiura — OGILVIE

Keston Hiura1B Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 29 R/R 5'10" / 208 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†111

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .303 / .442

PA350

HR18

K%36

BB%7

ISO213

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2025

CONTACT50

Whiff%

1018.5%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER60

Barrel%

8213.0

Avg EV

6590.2

Bat Spd

6773.1

EYE50

Chase%

2935.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

3326.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$3M
Totals		$3M		$0.1M	-$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	20	A	2 teams	—	187	172	52	12	5	3	8	51	4	2	2	302	348	483	830	180	405	27	4	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	2 teams	—	187	167	62	14	7	4	13	37	4	2	2	371	429	611	1.040	240	450	20	7	444	198	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	3 teams	—	640	593	142	32	5	12	30	185	15	22	13	239	293	371	664	132	327	29	5	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	3 teams	—	640	581	173	40	6	18	42	131	15	22	13	298	361	480	841	182	357	20	7	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	MLB	2 teams	—	591	537	152	35	3	34	38	193	14	16	5	283	346	549	896	266	378	33	6	383	151	+34	+1	-5	+2	+17	5.0
2019	22	MLB	2 teams	—	591	527	165	39	3	38	48	171	14	16	5	313	385	615	1.000	302	397	29	8	431	188	+59	+1	-5	+2	+17	7.5
2020	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	246	217	47	4	0	14	16	85	11	3	2	217	303	429	732	212	275	35	7	313	98	-1	-0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2020	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	246	217	46	4	0	13	16	85	11	3	2	212	299	410	709	198	273	35	7	316	100	-0	-0	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	403	352	69	18	1	12	36	156	11	5	1	196	291	355	646	159	306	39	9	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	403	345	73	21	1	12	43	146	11	5	1	212	318	383	701	171	323	36	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	325	284	68	9	1	20	29	130	11	5	5	239	333	489	823	250	356	40	9	356	131	+11	-1	-3	-6	+9	1.1
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	325	281	68	9	1	20	32	126	11	5	5	242	343	495	837	253	353	39	10	368	140	+15	-1	-3	-6	+9	1.5
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	367	326	93	10	0	23	20	113	17	0	2	285	358	528	886	242	361	31	5	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	367	315	97	12	0	23	31	90	17	0	2	308	399	565	965	257	359	25	8	418	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	391	359	73	8	1	23	27	157	4	1	1	203	267	423	690	220	278	40	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	391	351	97	15	1	26	35	117	4	1	1	276	349	547	896	271	340	30	9	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	466	416	73	14	2	14	32	185	16	1	1	175	261	320	580	144	269	40	7	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	466	401	108	22	3	21	47	130	16	1	1	269	369	496	865	227	345	28	10	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	COL	—	350	314	73	11	1	18	24	125	9	2	1	232	305	446	751	213	319	36	7	330	111	+4	+0	+1	-6	+10	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	COL	36%	380	341	78	12	1	19	26	137	10	2	1	229	302	437	739	208	316	36	7	327	108	+3	+0	-1	-7	+11	0.6
2027	30	MLB	COL	36%	136	122	30	5	0	8	9	49	4	1	0	246	319	484	802	238	344	36	7	335	115	+2	+0	-0	-2	+4	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1241	1105	261	50	4	58	87	446	41	21	8	236	315	446	762	210	334	36	7	334	114	+20	+1	-12	-19	+35	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	136	26	2	30	46	234	21	11	4	235	314	442	756	207	333	36	7	334	114	+10	+1	-6	-10	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	4346	3911	920	165	20	192	286	1517	122	59	34	235	307	435	742	200	327	35	7	322	104	+21	-2	-12	-51	+123	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	138	25	3	29	43	227	18	9	5	236	308	438	746	202	328	35	7	322	104	+3	-0	-2	-8	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	20	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	115	105	35	11	2	0	7	24	1	2	0	333	381	476	857	143	422	21	6	373	144	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2017	20	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	72	62	27	3	5	4	6	13	3	0	2	435	507	839	1.346	403	500	18	8	559	286	+15	-1	—	—	+2	1.7
2018	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	307	279	76	18	2	6	22	56	6	11	5	272	339	416	755	143	323	18	7	338	117	+6	+0	—	—	+9	1.5
2018	21	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	228	206	66	16	3	7	14	47	7	4	6	320	383	529	912	209	386	21	6	399	164	+16	-2	—	—	+6	2.2
2018	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	105	96	31	6	1	5	6	28	2	7	2	323	375	562	938	240	406	27	6	405	168	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2019	22	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	348	314	95	23	2	19	25	107	8	9	3	303	369	570	939	268	402	31	7	407	170	+27	+1	-5	+2	+10	3.6
2019	22	AAA	San Antonio Missions	—	243	213	70	16	1	19	23	64	6	7	2	329	409	681	1.090	352	389	26	9	465	214	+31	+1	—	—	+7	4.0
2020	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	246	217	46	4	0	13	16	85	11	3	2	212	299	410	709	198	273	35	7	316	100	-0	-0	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2021	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	197	173	29	9	1	4	14	77	7	3	0	168	258	301	558	133	269	39	7	254	52	-11	+1	-2	-7	+6	-1.4
2021	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	206	172	44	12	0	8	29	69	4	2	1	256	376	465	841	209	375	33	14	374	144	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2022	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	266	234	53	8	1	14	23	111	8	5	2	226	317	449	766	222	355	42	9	339	117	+5	+0	-3	-6	+8	0.5
2022	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	59	47	15	1	0	6	9	15	3	0	3	319	458	723	1.181	404	346	25	15	500	241	+9	-1	—	—	+2	1.0
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	367	315	97	12	0	23	31	90	17	0	2	308	399	565	965	257	359	25	8	418	178	+32	-1	—	—	+10	4.3
2024	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	27	27	4	0	0	0	0	10	0	0	1	148	148	148	296		235	37	0	134	-39	-4	-0	-1	+1	+1	-0.3
2024	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	364	324	93	15	1	26	35	107	4	1	0	287	364	580	944	293	349	29	10	408	170	+29	+0	—	—	+10	4.0
2025	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	21	18	4	1	0	0	0	7	3	0	0	222	333	278	611	56	364	33	0	295	84	-0	+0	-0	-8	+1	-0.8
2025	28	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	445	383	104	21	3	21	47	123	13	1	1	272	370	507	877	235	344	28	11	385	153	+26	-0	—	—	+13	4.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1105	983	231	45	4	50	78	397	37	20	8	235	315	442	757	207	335	36	7	334	114	+17	+1	-12	-17	+31	2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	8	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
	/162	664	28	4	250	324	448	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Austin Meadowslast yr '22 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,672 PA	5	1,672	70	23	259	334	475	-18	-19	6.1	6.1
	/162	664	28	9	259	334	475	-7.1	-7.4	2.4	pk7: 6
#3Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	6	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
	/162	664	35	2	249	310	464	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#4Jesús Aguilarlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,594 PA	7	2,594	114	1	255	324	452	-46	-35	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	29	0	255	324	452	-11.9	-9.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Eric Thameslast yr '20 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,112 PA	6	2,112	96	18	241	325	467	-33	-44	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	30	6	241	325	467	-10.3	-13.7	1.2	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,228	59	21	238	315	454	-22	-9	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	32	11	238	315	454	-11.9	-4.7	1.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keston Hiura (OGILVIE)	29	50	60	45	50	231/303/442	211	319	18	2	36%	7%	111	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Chris Carter 2015 · MLB	28	41→51	62→65	47→45	49	226/312/454	229	287	31	5	33%	10%	116	+2.8	216/310/451	235	274	33	4	33%	11%	115	+2.7	207/307/443	237	261	33	2	34%	11%	109	+1.9
✕Patrick Wisdom 2022 · MLB	30	39→45	66→70	48→50	41	221/294/467	246	299	37	9	38%	8%	112	+2.6	214/296/452	238	283	33	10	36%	9%	109	+2.4	200/287/439	239	255	33	10	35%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Tyler Moore 2014 · MLB	27	46→48	60→65	51→40	41	248/297/462	214	305	28	5	29%	6%	112	+2.6	222/283/375	153	283	18	3	27%	7%	82	+0.5	208/253/359	151	261	17	0	27%	5%	62	-0.3
●Mark Trumbo 2015 · MLB	29	45→52	59→65	41→45	46	242/300/447	205	284	28	5	26%	8%	109	+2.4	249/304/455	206	292	28	3	25%	7%	113	+2.6	245/301/449	204	284	29	1	25%	7%	108	+2.3
●Matt Davidson 2020 · MLB	29	39→44	57→60	45→30	40	214/282/405	191	288	26	2	35%	7%	91	+1.1	229/295/441	212	296	30	3	33%	7%	106	+2.2	234/307/465	232	293	35	0	32%	7%	114	+1.7
●Randy Ruiz 2007 · AA	29	49→56	60	44→40	37	256/304/474	218	331	29	3	31%	5%	118	+3.0	255/304/441	186	331	22	2	29%	5%	109	+2.4	260/312/449	188	333	22	1	28%	5%	111	+2.4
★Brent Rooker 2023 · MLB	28	37→47	61→70	44→45	42	210/292/429	220	278	30	6	35%	8%	102	+1.8	259/335/504	245	328	33	7	30%	9%	138	+4.4	272/349/523	250	332	34	7	27%	9%	144	+4.9
●Jared Walsh 2021 · MLB	28	43→53	62→65	46→30	44	238/305/465	227	296	30	3	30%	8%	116	+2.8	242/305/442	200	310	26	3	29%	8%	110	+2.4	225/295/411	186	296	24	2	31%	8%	92	+0.9
✕Franmil Reyes 2023 · MLB	28	46→51	56→65	43→45	43	240/300/428	188	315	25	4	32%	8%	104	+2.0	221/286/371	150	302	19	6	32%	8%	83	+0.6	176/250/290	114	241	17	0	34%	9%	46	-0.8
✕Miguel Sanó 2022 · MLB	29	41→51	66→70	43→45	48	229/314/483	253	305	35	3	36%	11%	124	+3.4	221/304/412	191	310	25	6	35%	10%	102	+1.8	181/271/315	135	266	19	3	37%	9%	61	-0.2
✕Eric Haase 2022 · MLB	29	42→44	63→65	50→40	40	234/291/460	226	302	33	5	34%	7%	109	+2.4	241/293/418	177	315	24	5	30%	7%	98	+1.6	237/288/398	162	315	22	3	31%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Bobby Dalbec 2022 · MLB	27	42	62→60	48→50	41	231/298/462	231	301	31	5	34%	7%	112	+2.6	217/287/410	193	310	27	11	37%	8%	95	+1.4	199/274/377	177	295	25	13	40%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Colby Rasmus 2016 · MLB	29	45→55	59→60	47→50	45	237/305/452	215	307	28	4	32%	9%	113	+2.6	222/291/407	185	290	25	6	31%	9%	95	+1.4	205/275/374	168	264	24	4	31%	9%	77	+0.0
✕Pedro Álvarez 2016 · MLB	29	44→46	60	47→45	49	242/315/454	213	284	30	6	27%	9%	117	+2.9	237/298/445	208	282	29	3	27%	8%	108	+2.3	228/284/431	204	268	30	1	27%	7%	96	+1.0
●Brandon Moss 2013 · MLB	29	45→50	62→65	43→45	44	244/306/470	226	291	30	7	28%	7%	118	+3.0	250/330/484	234	303	31	4	27%	10%	131	+3.9	241/329/462	222	294	29	2	27%	10%	118	+2.7
✕Mike Jacobs 2010 · MLB	29	45→53	59→65	45→40	47	243/303/449	206	281	27	2	25%	8%	111	+2.5	219/278/376	157	275	20	3	27%	8%	81	+0.4	210/273/353	143	272	19	2	30%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Kyle Garlick 2023 · MLB	31	43→50	59→60	48→40	40	236/292/440	204	298	29	5	31%	6%	105	+2.1	190/259/337	147	277	19	4	37%	7%	63	-0.8	161/235/289	128	238	17	2	39%	8%	40	-2.0
✕Bryan LaHair 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	62→65	44→40	42	259/307/488	230	310	31	3	28%	6%	123	+3.3	240/301/420	180	319	23	6	30%	8%	102	+1.9	211/280/343	132	291	15	3	31%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Josh Bonifay 2006 · AA	28	44→42	59→65	45	37	237/280/446	209	313	28	3	34%	5%	101	+1.8	230/274/411	181	296	23	6	30%	6%	89	+0.9	221/263/403	183	272	23	5	28%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Andrew Young 2022 · MLB	28	43→47	57→60	48→40	38	220/302/422	202	319	24	5	37%	6%	105	+2.1	208/285/370	162	322	20	7	39%	8%	83	+0.6	171/257/312	142	262	19	4	40%	8%	53	-0.9