Kyle Stowers — OGILVIE

Kyle StowersLF Miami Marlins

Age 28 L/L 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 2.070 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 78125vR 144

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .341 / .474

PA216

HR9

K%30

BB%9

BABIP342

ISO216

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4511.5%

xwOBA

800.343

POWER60

Barrel%

9015.1

Avg EV

8291.3

Bat Spd

9076.5

EYE45

Chase%

9023.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

3026.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 666 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

146

520

—

wRC+

143

▶▶R

wOBA

286

372

▶▶R

ISO

107

245

▶▶R

BABIP

295

362

▶▶R

22.6%

31.9%

◀◀L

BB%

7.5%

9.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.070 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$16M	+$12M
2028	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$12M	+$7M
2029	Arb-3	$8M	+1.5	$10M	+$4M
Totals		$18M		$41M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	3 teams	—	530	475	101	18	1	17	47	226	5	8	4	213	290	362	652	149	357	43	9	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	3 teams	—	530	449	125	23	1	27	73	171	5	8	4	278	385	514	900	236	386	32	14	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	505	457	111	29	3	20	33	150	10	3	2	243	308	451	759	208	313	30	7	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	505	440	115	33	4	22	50	133	10	3	2	261	350	505	855	243	322	26	10	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	336	291	57	8	1	17	35	110	6	3	2	196	295	405	701	210	238	33	10	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	336	281	68	10	1	20	45	90	6	3	2	242	358	498	857	256	274	27	13	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	473	429	93	25	3	19	31	143	7	0	1	217	281	422	702	205	271	30	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	473	421	95	27	3	21	39	140	7	0	1	226	302	454	756	228	278	30	8	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	457	399	119	22	3	26	48	125	5	5	1	298	381	564	944	266	369	27	11	400	164	+33	+1	-3	-5	+13	4.0
2025	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	457	399	115	21	3	25	48	125	5	5	1	288	372	544	916	256	356	27	11	395	161	+31	+1	-3	-5	+13	3.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	MIA	—	324	285	67	16	3	12	29	103	7	1	1	235	321	439	759	204	320	32	9	324	106	+2	-0	-0	-3	+9	0.8
YTD	28	MLB	MIA	—	324	285	67	16	3	12	29	102	7	1	1	235	321	439	759	204	318	31	9	334	114	+5	-0	-0	-3	+9	1.1
ROS	28	MLB	MIA	100%	216	190	49	10	2	9	20	65	4	1	1	258	341	474	815	216	332	30	9	352	128	+7	-0	+0	-2	+6	1.1
ROS	28	MLB	MIA	100%	216	190	49	10	2	9	20	65	4	1	1	258	341	474	815	216	326	30	9	334	114	+3	-0	+0	-2	+6	0.8
FULL	28	MLB	MIA	—	540	475	116	26	5	21	49	168	11	2	2	244	329	453	782	208	329	31	9	328	109	+6	-0	+0	-6	+15	1.5
TOT	28	MLB	MIA	—	540	475	116	26	5	21	49	168	11	2	2	244	329	453	782	208	329	31	9	335	115	+9	-0	+0	-6	+15	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIA	98%	443	393	99	20	3	19	40	134	7	3	1	252	332	463	795	211	333	30	9	351	127	+13	+0	-1	-5	+13	2.1
2028	30	MLB	MIA	98%	433	384	96	19	3	18	39	132	7	2	1	250	330	456	786	206	331	30	9	347	124	+12	+0	-1	-5	+12	1.8
2029	31	MLB	MIA	98%	418	370	91	18	3	17	38	129	7	2	1	246	328	449	776	203	327	31	9	343	120	+10	+0	-2	-4	+12	1.5
2030	32	MLB	MIA	98%	399	354	86	17	3	16	36	125	6	2	1	243	323	444	767	201	322	31	9	336	115	+7	+0	-3	-4	+11	1.1
2031	33	MLB	MIA	98%	369	327	77	15	2	14	33	117	6	1	0	235	317	422	739	187	315	32	9	327	109	+4	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.7
2032	34	MLB	MIA	94%	324	287	65	12	2	12	29	105	5	1	0	226	308	408	716	181	305	32	9	317	100	+0	+0	-4	-3	+9	0.2
2033	35	MLB	MIA	89%	272	242	53	9	2	10	24	90	4	0	0	219	300	397	697	178	295	33	9	305	91	-3	+0	-5	-3	+8	-0.3
2027	29	MLB	MIA	98%	434	385	95	19	3	18	39	131	7	3	1	247	327	452	779	205	327	30	9	333	113	+6	+0	-1	-5	+12	1.4
2028	30	MLB	MIA	98%	424	375	92	18	3	17	39	129	7	2	1	245	328	445	773	200	325	30	9	330	111	+5	+0	-1	-5	+12	1.2
2029	31	MLB	MIA	98%	410	363	87	17	3	16	37	126	7	2	1	240	322	435	757	196	321	31	9	325	107	+3	+0	-2	-4	+12	0.9
2030	32	MLB	MIA	98%	391	347	82	16	3	15	35	122	6	1	1	236	317	429	746	193	316	31	9	319	102	+1	-0	-3	-4	+11	0.5
2031	33	MLB	MIA	98%	362	320	74	14	2	14	33	115	6	1	0	231	315	419	734	188	309	32	9	311	96	-2	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.2
2032	34	MLB	MIA	94%	303	268	60	11	2	11	27	98	5	1	0	224	307	403	710	179	300	32	9	300	88	-4	+0	-4	-3	+9	-0.3
2033	35	MLB	MIA	89%	242	215	46	8	2	8	21	80	4	0	0	214	296	381	677	167	290	33	9	289	79	-6	+0	-5	-3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3579	3175	765	149	26	139	320	1106	56	16	7	241	321	436	757	195	321	31	9	324	106	+26	+0	-26	-49	+101	5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	139	27	5	25	58	201	10	3	1	241	321	435	756	194	322	31	9	324	106	+5	+0	-5	-9	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	5175	4598	1097	222	31	214	453	1651	79	31	15	239	318	440	758	201	319	32	9	330	111	+64	+0	-27	-55	+147	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	138	28	4	27	57	207	10	4	2	239	318	441	759	202	319	32	9	330	111	+8	+0	-3	-7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	93	81	22	2	0	3	12	32	0	1	0	272	366	407	773	136	413	34	13	350	126	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2021	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	276	237	67	15	0	17	34	84	3	4	1	283	380	561	941	278	362	30	12	407	169	+22	+0	—	—	+8	3.0
2021	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	161	131	36	6	1	7	27	55	2	3	3	275	406	496	902	221	414	34	17	398	163	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.6
2022	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	98	91	23	4	1	3	5	29	2	0	0	253	306	418	724	165	339	30	5	322	104	+0	+0	-1	-5	+3	-0.3
2022	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	407	349	92	29	3	19	45	104	8	3	2	264	361	527	888	264	317	26	11	383	151	+24	-0	—	—	+12	3.6
2023	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	30	2	0	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	67	152	67	218		111	36	9	118	-51	-6	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.8
2023	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	283	233	57	9	1	17	40	76	6	3	2	245	369	511	880	266	278	27	14	382	150	+16	-0	—	—	+8	2.4
2023	25	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	18	9	1	0	3	2	2	0	0	0	500	550	1.056	1.606	556	462	10	10	672	373	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	209	192	40	11	2	3	13	74	3	0	1	208	269	333	603	125	319	35	6	271	65	-8	-0	-5	-5	+6	-1.3
2024	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	264	229	55	16	1	18	26	66	4	0	0	240	328	555	883	314	247	25	10	374	145	+13	+0	—	—	+7	2.1
2025	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	457	399	115	21	3	25	48	125	5	5	1	288	372	544	916	256	356	27	11	395	161	+31	+1	-3	-5	+13	3.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	797	712	180	36	6	31	69	240	10	5	2	253	327	451	778	198	334	30	9	342	120	+18	+0	-8	-19	+23	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,138	168	21	247	323	450	-44	-23	14.8	14.3
	/162	664	27	3	247	323	450	-7.1	-3.6	2.4	pk7: 14
#1Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#2Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	11	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.8	12.7
	/162	664	25	3	261	330	451	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
#4Matt Joycelast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA	13	4,318	146	34	242	343	425	-46	-44	11.7	11.9
	/162	664	22	5	242	343	425	-7.1	-6.7	1.8	pk7: 12
#5Tony Clarklast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,637 PA	10	2,637	124	0	250	328	467	-35	-28	7.8	8.7
	/162	664	31	0	250	328	467	-8.8	-7.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Jay Gibbonslast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,177 PA	9	3,177	127	2	260	315	453	-30	-30	7.7	8.1
	/162	664	27	0	260	315	453	-6.3	-6.3	1.6	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Stowers (OGILVIE)	28	50	60	50	45	244/329/453	208	329	21	2	31%	9%	115	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Colby Rasmus 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	58→60	47→50	44	239/301/443	204	304	26	5	30%	8%	108	+2.3	228/299/426	198	297	26	5	31%	9%	103	+1.9	220/294/419	199	281	27	4	31%	9%	97	+0.9
●Travis Shaw 2018 · MLB	28	49→53	57→60	51→45	50	257/325/462	205	301	25	8	23%	9%	123	+3.3	236/330/445	209	273	28	6	24%	12%	121	+3.2	220/325/423	203	251	28	4	25%	13%	108	+1.5
●Jay Bruce 2014 · MLB	27	48→54	59→65	46→50	50	251/324/467	216	298	26	7	25%	10%	124	+3.4	231/298/427	196	274	24	9	25%	9%	103	+1.9	239/307/473	234	261	30	5	22%	9%	113	+2.7
●Jared Walsh 2021 · MLB	28	43→53	62→65	46→30	44	238/305/465	227	296	30	3	30%	8%	116	+2.8	242/305/442	200	310	26	3	29%	8%	110	+2.4	225/295/411	186	296	24	2	31%	8%	92	+0.9
●Andy Tracy 2001 · MLB	27	50→48	59→60	50→45	50	259/336/467	208	320	27	6	27%	10%	128	+3.7	233/309/417	184	308	24	7	31%	9%	105	+2.1	236/305/427	191	278	25	5	25%	8%	106	+1.8
✕Franmil Reyes 2022 · MLB	27	47→51	65	47→45	47	256/325/497	242	316	34	4	30%	9%	133	+4.0	226/287/390	164	306	22	4	32%	8%	89	+0.9	208/267/343	135	287	18	2	33%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Duncan 2008 · MLB	27	48→50	59→60	41→40	51	254/332/462	208	312	27	3	27%	10%	125	+3.5	227/311/369	142	284	16	4	24%	11%	93	+1.3	201/285/305	104	253	11	3	24%	10%	62	-0.5
●Pedro Álvarez 2015 · MLB	28	44→46	60	47→45	48	239/310/448	209	288	29	6	28%	9%	114	+2.7	240/307/454	214	285	30	4	27%	9%	114	+2.7	234/296/450	216	273	31	2	27%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Jake Lamb 2018 · MLB	27	47→55	58→60	48→45	56	246/340/465	219	292	25	6	25%	12%	130	+3.8	221/321/393	172	275	19	5	26%	12%	104	+2.0	223/310/383	161	291	20	1	29%	10%	94	+0.7
●Ryan O'Hearn 2022 · MLB	29	43→53	57→60	48→45	46	232/296/425	193	276	27	5	27%	8%	102	+1.9	255/306/422	167	305	20	6	23%	6%	105	+2.1	274/351/443	169	311	21	3	18%	9%	124	+2.6
✕Bryan LaHair 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	62→65	44→40	42	259/307/488	230	310	31	3	28%	6%	123	+3.3	240/301/420	180	319	23	6	30%	8%	102	+1.9	211/280/343	132	291	15	3	31%	9%	69	-0.3
★Geoff Jenkins 2003 · MLB	29	51→58	59→65	46→45	47	264/334/483	219	313	27	7	24%	8%	132	+4.0	276/349/494	218	325	26	3	22%	9%	141	+4.6	280/357/501	221	329	26	1	22%	9%	136	+4.4
✕Tommy Medica 2015 · MLB	27	46→53	59→65	50→45	42	245/305/458	212	306	27	7	29%	6%	114	+2.7	218/272/342	124	283	13	9	27%	6%	69	-0.4	200/249/282	82	263	7	7	26%	5%	40	-1.4
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	47→57	56→55	48→45	52	244/326/437	193	280	23	9	22%	10%	117	+2.9	250/348/425	175	290	21	5	20%	12%	123	+3.3	251/365/407	155	295	18	2	20%	14%	121	+2.2
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/317/444	195	301	25	9	26%	7%	115	+2.8	245/320/409	164	309	17	5	25%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
●Matt Joyce 2013 · MLB	28	49→53	56→60	48→50	56	252/341/450	198	291	22	9	22%	11%	126	+3.5	236/329/403	167	278	18	6	21%	12%	109	+2.4	238/352/447	209	270	25	3	21%	15%	125	+2.2
✕Austin Meadows 2022 · MLB	27	45→55	61→65	45→55	53	243/323/473	229	271	28	7	22%	10%	125	+3.5	236/314/390	154	268	16	6	18%	9%	99	+1.7	228/319/305	77	265	3	0	14%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Mike Jacobs 2009 · MLB	28	47→53	61→65	45→40	47	255/310/484	228	283	29	3	22%	7%	123	+3.3	228/287/406	178	276	23	3	26%	8%	92	+1.2	214/276/368	154	267	20	1	27%	8%	77	+0.1
●Luke Raley 2022 · MLB	27	49→48	56→60	50	38	252/322/443	191	327	25	11	30%	5%	118	+3.0	248/326/447	199	328	25	14	31%	6%	121	+3.2	245/327/458	213	323	28	15	31%	7%	121	+2.1
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	45→52	56→60	44→50	48	241/314/434	193	277	24	6	23%	8%	111	+2.5	202/270/345	143	262	18	5	29%	7%	70	-0.3	163/224/278	115	232	15	4	36%	5%	31	-1.5