Austin Shenton — OGILVIE

Austin Shenton1B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP277

ISO222

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3912.2%

xAVG

100.199

POWER60

Barrel%

143.6

Avg EV

1083.9

Bat Spd

2868.9

EYE60

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

1025.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	134	119	30	7	1	5	11	29	3	0	0	252	331	454	785	202	291	22	8	345	120	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2021	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	99	91	27	8	0	3	6	25	1	0	0	297	347	484	830	187	375	25	6	363	132	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2021	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	273	224	66	24	3	11	41	62	7	1	0	295	419	576	995	281	362	23	15	431	178	+25	+0	—	—	+6	3.2
2022	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	195	46	9	1	8	28	70	3	0	0	236	341	415	756	179	319	31	12	337	114	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2023	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	271	219	66	24	0	14	48	75	3	0	0	301	433	603	1.036	301	397	28	18	446	188	+28	+0	—	—	+6	3.5
2023	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	306	254	78	21	0	15	46	79	3	0	0	307	419	567	986	260	387	26	15	426	175	+27	+0	—	—	+7	3.5
2024	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	50	42	9	5	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	214	340	405	745	190	296	28	16	336	114	+1	+0	+1	-7	+1	-0.5
2024	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	363	310	80	12	1	20	48	110	3	0	0	258	363	497	860	239	330	30	13	377	141	+18	+0	—	—	+8	2.6
2025	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	300	65	17	0	14	45	92	4	0	0	217	327	413	740	197	259	26	13	330	109	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	50	42	9	5	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	214	340	405	745	190	296	28	16	336	114	+1	+0	+1	-7	+1	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	134	123	24	5	1	4	7	38	3	0	0	195	256	350	605	154	239	28	5	259	61	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2021	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	99	93	22	6	0	2	4	31	1	0	0	237	276	366	641	129	329	31	4	288	81	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2021	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	273	239	56	19	3	8	26	85	7	1	0	234	327	439	767	205	320	31	10	327	107	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2022	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	203	39	7	1	6	20	83	3	0	0	192	274	325	599	133	276	36	9	266	66	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2023	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	271	234	57	21	0	9	33	89	3	0	0	244	344	449	793	205	349	33	12	342	118	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2023	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	306	272	74	19	0	11	28	94	3	0	0	272	347	463	810	191	366	31	9	353	125	+9	+0	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	50	42	9	5	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	214	340	405	745	190	296	28	16	335	113	+1	+0	+1	-7	+1	-0.5
2024	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	363	324	67	10	1	13	34	130	3	0	0	207	288	364	652	157	292	36	9	286	80	-9	+0	—	—	+8	-0.1
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	314	50	13	0	9	31	115	4	0	0	159	244	287	530	127	207	33	9	236	46	-23	+0	—	—	+8	-1.5
2019	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	134	123	24	5	1	4	7	38	3	0	0	195	256	350	605	154	244	28	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	134	119	30	7	1	5	11	29	3	0	0	252	331	454	785	202	291	22	8	345	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	332	79	25	3	11	30	116	8	1	0	238	316	431	747	193	329	31	8	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	372	315	93	32	3	14	47	87	8	1	0	295	400	549	949	254	366	23	13	413	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	203	39	7	1	6	20	83	3	0	0	192	274	325	599	133	284	36	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	195	46	9	1	8	28	70	3	0	0	236	341	415	756	179	319	31	12	337	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	506	132	40	0	20	61	183	6	0	0	261	347	458	806	198	365	32	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	577	473	144	45	0	29	94	154	6	0	0	304	426	584	1.009	279	391	27	16	436	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	413	366	76	15	1	14	42	144	3	0	0	208	294	369	663	161	295	35	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	413	352	89	17	1	21	56	124	3	0	0	253	360	486	846	233	325	30	14	372	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	314	50	13	0	9	31	115	4	0	0	159	244	287	530	127	212	33	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	300	65	17	0	14	45	92	4	0	0	217	327	413	740	197	259	26	13	330	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	134	123	24	5	1	4	7	38	3	0	0	195	256	350	605	154	239	28	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	331	79	25	3	11	30	116	8	1	0	239	316	432	748	193	322	31	8	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	203	39	7	1	6	20	83	3	0	0	192	274	325	599	133	276	36	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	505	132	40	0	20	61	183	6	0	0	261	347	459	807	198	358	32	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	413	365	76	15	1	14	42	144	3	0	0	208	294	370	664	162	293	35	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	314	50	13	0	9	31	115	4	0	0	159	244	287	530	127	207	33	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	505	132	40	0	20	61	183	6	0	0	261	347	459	807	198	358	32	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	413	365	76	15	1	14	42	144	3	0	0	208	294	370	664	162	293	35	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	314	50	13	0	9	31	115	4	0	0	159	244	287	530	127	207	33	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	SEA	10%	20	18	4	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	222	300	444	744	222	280	30	10	294	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	SEA	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						277	50	0	284	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	27%	380	337	70	17	1	11	36	118	4	1	0	208	292	362	654	154	280	31	9	295	86	-6	+0	-0	-7	+8	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	27%	104	92	19	5	0	3	10	32	1	0	0	207	291	359	650	152	277	31	10	285	86	-2	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	154	134	28	10	0	4	18	46	1	0	0	209	307	373	680	164	282	30	12	301	87	-1	+0	+0	-9	+3	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	118	42	0	17	76	194	4	0	0	208	307	373	679	164	281	30	12	301	87	-4	+0	+2	-39	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2476	2199	474	123	7	76	229	803	31	2	0	216	298	382	680	166	298	32	9	297	87	-6	+0	+0	-15	+10	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	124	32	2	20	60	211	8	1	0	215	297	381	678	166	297	32	9	297	87	-9	+0	+0	-21	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Shenton (OGILVIE)	28	40	60	45	60	205/289/362	156	280	8	1	32%	10%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Greg Bird 2021 · MLB	28	43→48	51→55	48→30	51	221/306/384	163	278	19	6	27%	10%	96	+1.0	205/276/351	146	267	18	4	29%	8%	77	-0.3	185/259/322	138	237	17	1	29%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Jeff Larish 2011 · MLB	28	45→44	52→55	41→45	46	231/302/398	167	299	20	4	29%	8%	97	+1.1	205/275/346	141	294	15	4	33%	9%	76	-0.4	175/247/300	124	260	12	1	36%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	39→38	54→55	45→40	42	213/269/389	176	259	22	5	28%	6%	84	+0.1	215/274/354	139	273	18	4	27%	7%	76	-0.4	204/268/315	111	263	15	1	28%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Ben Paulsen 2016 · MLB	28	47→53	50→55	43→40	41	236/288/395	159	318	16	4	31%	6%	91	+0.6	221/267/346	125	293	12	5	27%	6%	71	-0.8	209/249/304	96	283	7	1	28%	5%	51	-1.6
✕Christin Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	40→49	52→55	47→45	41	213/276/383	169	279	20	4	31%	7%	84	+0.2	206/288/364	158	300	20	10	36%	9%	85	+0.2	177/277/321	144	259	20	11	38%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Matt Clark 2014 · AAA	27	44→45	50→55	44→30	44	227/285/377	151	295	19	3	29%	7%	86	+0.3	232/287/402	170	283	23	3	26%	6%	93	+0.8	222/280/391	169	270	22	0	26%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	39	52→60	43→45	40	207/268/375	168	286	20	5	35%	7%	80	-0.2	208/271/345	137	309	15	8	35%	7%	74	-0.6	175/243/314	139	265	17	6	39%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Ryan Langerhans 2008 · MLB	28	46→43	46→50	45→50	53	223/316/362	139	295	13	6	27%	11%	94	+0.9	233/323/370	137	313	12	13	27%	11%	99	+1.2	233/329/367	134	315	11	16	27%	12%	97	+0.6
✕Jeff Clement 2012 · MLB	28	44→48	49→55	40→30	41	224/271/372	148	281	16	4	27%	6%	80	-0.2	210/257/346	136	268	14	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	198/246/332	134	250	14	1	26%	6%	58	-1.4
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Joe Koshansky 2010 · MLB	28	38→46	53→55	45→40	40	201/267/372	170	292	21	5	38%	8%	78	-0.3	198/269/352	154	300	20	6	38%	8%	75	-0.5	183/259/331	148	272	21	4	39%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	58→60	46→30	42	210/284/411	202	280	27	5	35%	8%	95	+0.9	218/288/390	172	316	21	4	36%	7%	91	+0.6	213/285/383	170	311	21	1	36%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB	29	38→43	53→55	44→50	45	208/275/378	169	269	22	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	217/282/371	154	277	20	5	28%	8%	84	+0.1	210/273/358	148	265	20	3	28%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Brandon Allen 2014 · MLB	28	42→47	51→55	52→50	45	217/279/382	165	274	18	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	215/279/350	135	270	15	5	25%	8%	77	-0.3	202/271/322	120	252	13	3	25%	8%	67	-0.7
●Ryan O'Hearn 2021 · MLB	28	41→51	53→60	44→45	50	215/295/388	174	267	21	3	28%	10%	93	+0.8	244/298/418	174	299	22	6	26%	7%	100	+1.3	270/346/440	169	306	21	3	18%	9%	119	+2.1
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/284/358	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	82	-0.0	218/297/362	144	287	17	7	29%	9%	87	+0.4	209/290/344	135	268	17	6	27%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Tyler Colvin 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	51→60	51→45	41	224/273/389	165	290	18	8	29%	6%	84	+0.1	209/250/324	115	298	9	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	195/227/290	95	285	5	3	33%	4%	41	-1.6
✕Matt Cepicky 2006 · MLB	28	44→43	48→50	40→30	43	224/276/371	147	292	15	5	28%	7%	81	-0.1	214/267/348	134	282	13	4	28%	7%	72	-0.7	203/256/331	128	266	13	2	28%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	45→42	50	44→40	46	227/302/379	152	300	18	3	30%	9%	93	+0.8	209/268/339	130	274	14	5	28%	6%	71	-0.8	175/227/281	106	226	10	2	27%	5%	40	-1.5
●José Marmolejos 2021 · MLB	28	46→52	49→50	43→30	42	234/279/382	147	289	17	3	25%	6%	84	+0.2	252/321/454	202	308	26	4	26%	9%	117	+2.6	256/333/475	220	304	30	0	26%	10%	126	+2.5