Austin Shenton

1B Tacoma Rainiers
Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202325AAA/AATB577.304/.426/.584290125—.261/.349/.461
202426AAATB363.258/.363/.49720083—.211/.294/.368
202426MLBTB50.214/.340/.40510115-0.5
202527AAASEA352.217/.327/.41314049—.165/.246/.286
202628No MLB games played
2027PROJ10% MLB29MLBSEA16.208/.288/.3530083-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB30MLBSEA74.206/.286/.3472081-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030
2027Arb-1$0.3M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$0.7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA
BB%73
Max EV57
Chase%50
K%36
Z-Con%32
Whiff%29
CompsDarick Hall (age 29) · Greg Bird (age 29) · Andy Wilkins (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .288 / .353
PA16
HR0
K%31
BB%6
BABIP274
ISO67
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024
CONTACT40
xAVG
100.199
POWER60
Barrel%
143.6
Avg EV
1083.9
Bat Spd
2868.9
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
Sprint
1025.2
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2024
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.3M———
2028Arb-2$0.4M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201921 AWest Virginia Power — 134119 30715 11293 00 252331454785 202291 228 345 64 — — — — — —
202123 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 9991 27803 6251 00 297347484830 187375 256 363 86 — — — — — —
202123 A+Everett AquaSox — 273224 6624311 41627 10 295419576995 281362 2315 431 107 — — — — — —
202224 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 228195 46918 28703 00 236341415756 179319 3112 337 68 — — — — — —
202325 AAADurham Bulls — 271219 6624014 48753 00 3014336031.036 301397 2818 446 124 — — — — — —
202325 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 306254 7821015 46793 00 307419567986 260387 2615 426 126 — — — — — —
202426 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 5042 9501 8140 00 214340405745 190296 2816 336 115 +1 +0 +1 -7 +1 -0.5
202426 AAADurham Bulls — 363310 8012120 481103 00 258363497860 239330 3013 377 83 — — — — — —
202527 AAATacoma Rainiers — 352300 6517014 45924 00 217327413740 197259 2613 330 49 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 5042 9501 8140 00 214340405745 190296 2816 336 114 +1 +0 +1 -7 +1 -0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201921 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 134123 24514 7383 00 195256350605 154243 285 263 64 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 9993 22602 4311 00 237276366641 129338 314 295 86 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 273239 561938 26857 10 234327439767 205319 3110 327 107 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 228203 40717 20833 00 197279345624 148278 369 269 68 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 271233 582109 34893 00 249352455807 206361 3313 351 124 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 306272 7420011 28943 00 272347467813 195366 319 355 126 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 5042 9501 8140 00 214340405745 190296 2816 339 115 +1 +0 +1 -7 +1 -0.5
202426 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 363323 6810113 351303 00 211294368662 158298 3610 291 83 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 352315 521408 301074 00 165246286532 121213 309 241 49 — — — — — —
201921 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 134123 24514 7383 00 195256350605 154244 285 263 64 — — — — — —
201921 A RAWWest Virginia Power — 134119 30715 11293 00 252331454785 202291 228 345 64 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 372332 8025311 301168 10 241319434753 193333 318 318 102 — — — — — —
202123 A+ RAW2 teams — 372315 9332314 47878 10 295400549949 254366 2313 413 102 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 228203 40717 20833 00 197279345624 148287 369 269 68 — — — — — —
202224 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 228195 46918 28703 00 236341415756 179319 3112 337 68 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLE2 teams — 577505 13341020 621836 00 263351463814 200369 3211 353 125 — — — — — —
202325 AA RAW2 teams — 577473 14445029 941546 00 3044265841.009 279391 2716 436 125 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 413365 7715114 431443 00 211299373672 162301 3510 297 87 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAW2 teams — 413352 8917121 561243 00 253360486846 233325 3014 372 87 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 352315 521408 301074 00 165246286532 121217 309 241 49 — — — — — —
202527 AAA RAWTacoma Rainiers — 352300 6517014 45924 00 217327413740 197259 2613 330 49 — — — — — —
201921 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 134123 24514 7383 00 195256350605 154243 285 263 64 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 372331 8025311 301168 10 242319435754 193324 318 318 102 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 228203 40717 20833 00 197279345624 148278 369 269 68 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLE2 teams — 577504 13341020 621836 00 264351464815 200364 3211 353 125 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 413364 7715114 431443 00 212299374673 162298 3510 297 87 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 352315 521408 301074 00 165246286532 121213 309 241 49 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 413364 7715114 431443 00 212299374673 162298 3510 297 87 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 352315 521408 301074 00 165246286532 121213 309 241 49 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLESEA 10% 380338 7116111 351134 21 210290359649 149277 309 291 83 -8 +0 +1 -7 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXSEA 10% 1615 3100 150 00 208288353642 146274 316 288 83 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLESEA 27% 272242 511217 25813 10 208288353640 144275 309 288 81 -6 +0 -2 -5 +6 -0.7
202830 MLB CTXSEA 27% 7466 13302 7221 00 206286347633 141272 309 285 81 -2 +0 -0 -1 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 124108 22803 15361 00 204306361668 157275 2912 306 89 -1 +0 +0 -9 +3 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650566 11642016 791895 00 205308364672 159277 2912 306 89 -5 +0 +1 -46 +14 -3.6
Career— MLE — 25032223 486126775 23179832 30 219301383684 164301 329 300 89 -8 +0 -1 -15 +10 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 12633219 602078 10 218300381682 163301 329 300 89 -11 +1 -1 -20 +14 -1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 352 PAwOBA .323 → .241 (−82)K% 26.1% → 30.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.14%÷1.035×1.200——30.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.023×0.690—×1.0038.46%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.940—×1.0031.07%
Singles /BIP16.35%÷1.019×0.930×0.950×1.00314.22%
Doubles /BIP8.17%÷0.985×0.830×0.950×1.0036.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.017×0.970×0.950×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP6.73%÷1.204×0.700—×1.0033.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .323 → .241; ISO .197 → .129; BABIP .259 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAADurham Bulls · 363 PAwOBA .369 → .291 (−78)K% 30.3% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.30%÷1.014×1.200——35.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.22%÷0.971×0.690—×1.0189.57%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.940—×1.0180.79%
Singles /BIP23.50%÷0.985×0.930×0.996×1.01822.48%
Doubles /BIP6.00%÷0.994×0.830×0.996×1.0185.08%
Triples /BIP0.50%÷0.900×0.970×0.996×1.0180.55%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷1.061×0.700—×1.0186.72%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .369 → .291; ISO .239 → .166; BABIP .330 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 306 PAwOBA .418 → .355 (−63)K% 25.8% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.82%÷1.022×1.220——30.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.38%÷1.072×0.680—×0.9989.10%
HBP% /PA0.98%—×0.840—×0.9980.82%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷0.949×0.920×1.033×0.99823.96%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.030×0.910×1.033×0.99810.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×1.033×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP8.57%÷1.087×0.800—×0.9986.29%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .418 → .355; ISO .260 → .213; BABIP .387 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAADurham Bulls · 271 PAwOBA .437 → .351 (−86)K% 27.7% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.68%÷1.009×1.200——32.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.71%÷1.011×0.690—×1.03312.48%
HBP% /PA1.11%—×0.940—×1.0331.07%
Singles /BIP19.44%÷1.006×0.930×1.046×1.03319.43%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷1.020×0.830×1.046×1.03314.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.003×0.970×1.046×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP9.72%÷1.137×0.700—×1.0336.18%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .437 → .351; ISO .301 → .220; BABIP .397 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 228 PAwOBA .332 → .269 (−63)K% 30.7% → 36.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.70%÷1.032×1.220——36.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.28%÷0.984×0.680—×1.0128.59%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.840—×1.0121.12%
Singles /BIP22.40%÷1.001×0.920×0.966×1.01220.14%
Doubles /BIP7.20%÷1.090×0.910×0.966×1.0125.88%
Triples /BIP0.80%÷0.955×0.880×0.966×1.0120.72%
Home runs /BIP6.40%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0125.34%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .332 → .269; ISO .179 → .147; BABIP .319 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 273 PAwOBA .421 → .327 (−95)K% 22.7% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.71%÷0.985×1.350——31.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.02%÷1.125×0.710—×0.9989.46%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.810—×0.9982.07%
Singles /BIP17.28%÷0.978×0.910×1.046×0.99816.79%
Doubles /BIP14.81%÷1.076×0.830×1.046×0.99811.94%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷0.929×0.820×1.046×0.9981.71%
Home runs /BIP6.79%÷1.078×0.830—×0.9985.22%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 86, K 97, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .421 → .327; ISO .281 → .217; BABIP .362 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 99 PAwOBA .356 → .295 (−62)K% 25.3% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.25%÷0.970×1.220——31.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.06%÷1.015×0.690—×1.0274.23%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.850—×1.0270.88%
Singles /BIP24.24%÷1.019×0.940×0.991×1.02722.76%
Doubles /BIP12.12%÷1.046×0.870×0.991×1.02710.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.950×0.920×0.991×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.938×0.780—×1.0273.88%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 90, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .356 → .295; ISO .187 → .150; BABIP .375 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AWest Virginia Power · 134 PAwOBA .336 → .263 (−73)K% 21.6% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.64%÷1.026×1.340——28.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.46%÷1.013×0.660—×1.0154.94%
HBP% /PA2.24%—×0.770—×1.0151.75%
Singles /BIP18.89%÷1.030×0.920×0.950×1.01516.28%
Doubles /BIP7.78%÷0.977×0.820×0.950×1.0156.29%
Triples /BIP1.11%÷1.150×0.940×0.950×1.0150.88%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷1.016×0.820—×1.0154.55%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .336 → .263; ISO .202 → .159; BABIP .291 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).