Gregory Santos
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 236 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9687vR 78
ERA3.41
FIP3.32
K%25.0%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%17.1%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (22%)
SL (61%)
FB-1.6 (39%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 16 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 16 | 10 | 41 | 188 | 25 | 26 | 1 | 62% | 2.6 | 9.0% | 17.3% | -8.2% | 0.7% | 4.17 | 4.93 | — |
| 2016 | 16 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 16 | 10 | 41 | 188 | 25 | 26 | 1 | 62% | 2.6 | 13.3% | 13.8% | -0.5% | 0.5% | 4.17 | 4.10 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants | 12 | 12 | 49 | 206 | 41 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 13.5% | 12.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.29 | 4.24 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants | 12 | 12 | 49 | 206 | 41 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 1.0% | 1.29 | 3.18 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 8 | 8 | 35 | 143 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 4.3 | 13.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.86 | 4.62 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 8 | 8 | 35 | 143 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 4.3 | 18.2% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 2.86 | 3.88 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 7.13 | 4.05 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.13 | 5.87 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 2 | 39 | 173 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 5% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 2 | 39 | 173 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 5% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 4.66 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 0 | 66 | 289 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 5.5% | 17.3% | 0.7% | 3.39 | 2.24 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 0 | 66 | 289 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 5.5% | 17.3% | 0.7% | 3.39 | 2.23 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 2.83 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 2.83 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 8.1% | 24.2% | -16.1% | 0.0% | 5.25 | 5.48 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 8.1% | 24.2% | -16.1% | 0.0% | 5.25 | 6.02 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 19 | 3 | 24 | 111 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 16% | 1.2 | 12.6% | 15.0% | -2.4% | 1.4% | 5.70 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SF | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 70 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 2.4% | 3.41 | 3.32 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SF | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 70 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 2.4% | 3.41 | 3.32 | +1.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SF | — | — | 90 | 389 | 84 | 37 | 8 | — | — | 21.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 4.02 | 3.69 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SF | — | — | 71 | 299 | 84 | 37 | 8 | — | — | 27.9% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 3.73 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SF | 66 | 0 | 70 | 295 | 73 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 3.78 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SF | 64 | 0 | 68 | 286 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 3.88 | 3.90 | +0.6 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SF | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 69 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 3.78 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SF | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 66 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 3.88 | 3.90 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 271 | 0 | 288 | 1238 | 283 | 98 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 3.84 | 3.32 | +7.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 0 | 200 | 860 | 197 | 68 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 3.84 | 3.32 | +4.9 | ||
| Career | — | 199 | 35 | 298 | 1320 | 214 | 159 | 19 | 18% | 1.5 | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 3.72 | 4.04 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 24 | 200 | 887 | 144 | 107 | 13 | 18% | 1.5 | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 3.72 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gregory Santos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.56 | 26.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% | — | 3.84 | 24.6% | 16.4% | 138 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 76 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 74 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 74 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 25.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .252 | 3.60 | 14.6% | 8.1% | 108 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 323 | 73 |
| Johnathan Lavallee R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.26 | 25.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 181 | 72 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 72 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.69 | 26.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.84 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 66 | +0.15 | 3.31 | 166 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 72 |
| Matt Jachec R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 72 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 72 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 72 |
| Cory Mazzoni R 2025 · 2.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.68 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 1.1% | .374 | 3.15 | 23.4% | 18.7% | 59 | +0.47 | 0.78 | 101 | 71 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 71 |
| Charlie Beilenson R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.20 | 26.1% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 102 | 71 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.13 | 25.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | .257 | 3.45 | 26.5% | 16.8% | 98 | +0.32 | 2.80 | 264 | 71 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 71 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 71 |
| José Cisnero R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 71 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.07 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .260 | 2.79 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.28 | 2.42 | 302 | 71 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.02 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.85 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 67 | +1.83 | 2.85 | 174 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 25.2% | 8.0% | 0.98 | 3.77 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |
| Joe Blanton ('17) | 3 | 67 | 24.2% | 6.7% | 1.08 | 3.32 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |