Jonathan Aranda

1B Tampa Bay Rays
Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 215 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 2.174S2 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202426MLBTB143.234/.310/.43060108-0.3
202527MLBTB422.316/.396/.4891401411.9
202628MLBTB668.274/.362/.4342201232.0
2027PROJ29MLBTB648.270/.353/.4412311252.6
2028PROJ30MLBTB648.264/.348/.4302311212.1
2029PROJ31MLBTB642.259/.342/.4192211161.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.6  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 6.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.174First FA2031Super-2
2027Arb-1$4M2028Arb-2$5M2029Arb-3$7M2030Arb-4$7M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA90
Avg EV90
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Barrel%73
Bat Spd41
Form.259/.339/.466 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .268/.349/.444
CompsKole Calhoun (age 29) · Ji Man Choi (age 29) · Michael Saunders (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 107125vR 132
AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .353 / .441
PA648
HR23
K%24
BB%10
BABIP331
ISO169
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +19.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+19BATRUN: -1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-2RUNFLD: +3.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+4FLDPOS: -11.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-12POSREP: +14.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +2.90+2.9WAR
0.01.53.02.92.11.61.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
Whiff%
904.8%
xAVG
680.266
POWER60
Barrel%
7311.7
Avg EV
9091.8
Bat Spd
4170.4
EYE50
Chase%
9014.3%
SPEED40
Sprint
1325.7
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%28%▼▼30% over 111 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%9%·9% over 111 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.207▲▲.258 over 97 AB (60d) · proj .176
HR/BB7.1%▲9.2% over 65 BBE (60d) · proj 5.8%
BABIP.326·.305 over 59 BIP (60d) · proj .328
SLASH.259/.339/.466·proj .268/.349/.444
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 662 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
130
532
—
wRC+
114
142
▶▶R
wOBA
336
379
▶R
ISO
087
214
▶▶R
BABIP
372
349
◀L
K%
28.5%
23.5%
▶▶R
BB%
15.4%
8.6%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   2.174 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$4M+2.9$26M+$21M
2028Arb-2$5M+2.1$16M+$11M
2029Arb-3$7M+1.6$11M+$5M
2030Arb-4$7M+1.0$6M+$1.0M
Totals $24M $58M +$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201618 ROKDSL Rays 1 — 202175 45651 17327 54 257347366712 109308 168 320 30 — — — — — —
201719 ROKGCL Rays — 197178 51910 14313 144 287349348697 62342 167 316 49 — — — — — —
201719 INTLYaquis de Obregon — 4037 9200 2130 21 243282297579 54375 325 257 60 — — — — — —
201820 ROKPrinceton Rays — 144126 36841 12183 01 286359437796 151321 128 349 72 — — — — — —
201921 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 1917 4000 210 00 235316235551 250 511 264 42 — — — — — —
201921 ABowling Green Hot Rods — 246211 581323 30430 11 275364398762 123325 1712 339 63 — — — — — —
201921 INTLYaquis de Obregon — 1615 2000 170 00 133188133321 250 446 157 -8 — — — — — —
202022 INTLYaquis de Obregon — 159144 48523 11203 60 333392458851 125369 137 378 142 — — — — — —
202123 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 322274 8919510 336310 42 325416540957 215383 2010 414 123 — — — — — —
202123 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 8974 26304 9135 10 3514555541.009 203379 1510 442 147 — — — — — —
202123 INTLYaquis de Obregon — 137116 33302 17242 21 284385362747 78341 1812 341 117 — — — — — —
202224 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 8778 15402 8231 00 192276321596 128245 269 273 66 -4 +0 -2 +2 +2 -0.2
202224 AAADurham Bulls — 465403 12826118 4510010 40 318400521921 203377 2210 401 117 — — — — — —
202325 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 10387 20412 13312 00 230343368711 138327 3013 322 99 -0 +0 -1 -10 +2 -0.9
202325 AAADurham Bulls — 434357 12123025 648710 22 3394526131.066 275387 2015 460 132 — — — — — —
202426 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 143128 30706 12322 00 234310430740 195264 228 327 108 +1 +0 -0 -7 +3 -0.3
202426 AAADurham Bulls — 144118 28107 23472 00 237371424794 186323 3316 357 72 — — — — — —
202426 INTLYaquis de Obregon — 11594 29726 16194 10 3094306171.047 309333 1714 448 189 — — — — — —
202527 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 422370 11722014 411078 02 316396489885 173409 2510 391 141 +21 -1 -3 -8 +9 1.9
202628 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 668580 15927022 6916311 01 274362434797 160340 2410 354 123 +19 -0 -1 -12 +14 2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 14231243 34164146 14335624 03 274360438799 164345 2510 355 126 +45 -1 -8 -34 +31 3.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201618 ROK MLEDSL Rays 1 — 202180 30430 12397 54 167246222468 56204 196 212 30 — — — — — —
201719 ROK MLEGCL Rays — 197183 42710 9453 144 230277279556 49290 235 241 49 — — — — — —
201820 ROK MLEPrinceton Rays — 144131 30631 8253 01 229289344632 115270 176 274 72 — — — — — —
201921 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 1917 4000 210 00 235316235551 234 511 230 42 — — — — — —
201921 A MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 246222 49922 20620 11 221285306591 86282 258 262 63 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 322284 801659 237910 42 282356468825 187342 257 350 123 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 8976 24203 7175 10 316409461870 145361 198 385 147 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 8779 15402 7231 00 190264316581 127245 268 266 66 -4 +0 -2 +2 +2 -0.2
202224 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 465417 11921113 3112010 40 285349434783 149356 267 341 117 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 10388 20412 12312 00 227333364697 136327 3012 315 99 -0 +0 -1 -10 +2 -0.9
202325 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 434377 10620016 4410410 22 281371462833 180341 2410 364 132 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 143128 30706 12322 00 234310430740 195264 228 328 108 +1 +0 -0 -7 +3 -0.3
202426 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 144124 24105 17562 00 194301323623 129289 3912 275 72 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 422373 11421014 381078 02 306382475856 169409 259 377 141 +21 -1 -3 -8 +9 1.9
202628 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 668583 15928023 6616311 01 273358439797 166340 2410 351 123 +19 -0 -1 -12 +14 2.0
201618 ROK MLEDSL Rays 1 — 202180 30430 12397 54 167246222468 56211 196 212 30 — — — — — —
201618 ROK RAWDSL Rays 1 — 202175 45651 17327 54 257347366712 109308 168 320 30 — — — — — —
201719 ROK MLE2 teams — 237221 50810 10543 165 226269271541 45296 234 241 49 — — — — — —
201719 ROK RAW2 teams — 237215 601110 16443 165 279338340677 60347 197 306 49 — — — — — —
201820 ROK MLEPrinceton Rays — 144131 30631 8253 01 229289344632 115271 176 274 72 — — — — — —
201820 ROK RAWPrinceton Rays — 144126 36841 12183 01 286359437796 151321 128 349 72 — — — — — —
201921 A MLE3 teams — 281254 561022 23670 11 220285299584 79286 248 260 62 — — — — — —
201921 A RAW3 teams — 281243 641323 33510 11 263350370721 107316 1812 323 62 — — — — — —
202022 INTL MLEYaquis de Obregon — 159144 48523 11203 60 333392458851 125369 137 — — — — — — — —
202022 INTL RAWYaquis de Obregon — 159144 48523 11203 60 333392458851 125369 137 378 142 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE3 teams — 548483 13924616 4012817 73 288363462825 174355 237 358 128 — — — — — —
202123 AA RAW3 teams — 548464 14825516 5910017 73 319415498913 179372 1811 400 128 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLE2 teams — 552496 13425115 3814311 40 270336415751 145345 267 329 109 — — — — — —
202224 AAA RAW2 teams — 552481 14330120 5312311 40 297380489868 191357 2210 381 109 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE2 teams — 537465 12624118 5613512 22 271364443807 172342 2510 355 126 — — — — — —
202325 AAA RAW2 teams — 537444 14127127 7711812 22 318432565997 248376 2214 434 126 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE3 teams — 402351 7511015 401238 10 214308373681 160279 3110 302 90 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAW3 teams — 402340 8715219 51988 10 256366479845 224302 2413 372 90 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 422373 11421014 381078 02 306382475856 169392 259 377 141 +21 -1 -3 -8 +9 1.9
202527 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 422370 11722014 411078 02 316396489885 173409 2510 391 141 +21 -1 -3 -8 +9 1.9
202628 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 668583 15928023 6616311 01 273358439797 166336 2410 351 123 +19 -0 -1 -12 +14 2.0
202628 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 668580 15927022 6916311 01 274362434797 160340 2410 354 123 +19 -0 -1 -12 +14 2.0
201618 ROK MLEDSL Rays 1 — 202181 30430 12397 54 166246221467 55204 196 212 30 — — — — — —
201719 ROK MLE2 teams — 237222 50810 10543 165 225269270540 45290 234 241 49 — — — — — —
201820 ROK MLEPrinceton Rays — 144132 30631 8253 01 227289341630 114270 176 274 72 — — — — — —
201921 A MLE3 teams — 281256 561022 23670 11 219285297582 78279 248 260 62 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE3 teams — 548486 13924616 4012817 73 286363459822 173346 237 358 128 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLE2 teams — 552498 13425115 3814311 40 269336414749 145339 267 329 109 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE2 teams — 537464 12624118 5613512 22 272364444808 172338 2510 355 126 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE3 teams — 402351 7511015 401238 10 214308373681 160276 3110 302 90 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 422373 11421014 381078 02 306382475856 169409 259 377 141 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 668586 15928023 6616311 01 271358437794 166340 2410 351 123 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLE3 teams — 402351 7511015 401238 10 214308373681 160276 3110 302 90 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 422373 11421014 381078 02 306382475856 169409 259 377 141 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 668586 15928023 6616311 01 271358437794 166340 2410 351 123 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLETB 100% 588516 13925022 5714310 10 268352444796 176328 2410 353 125 +18 +0 +3 -10 +13 2.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXTB 100% 648569 15327023 6315811 11 270353441795 172331 2410 353 125 +19 -0 +4 -12 +14 2.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLETB 100% 648570 14926023 6316010 10 263347433780 170323 2510 347 121 +16 +0 +2 -12 +14 2.1
202931 MLB MLETB 100% 642566 14525022 6116110 10 258341421762 164318 2510 340 116 +12 +0 +1 -11 +14 1.6
203032 MLB MLETB 100% 629555 13923021 5916110 10 251333406740 156312 269 331 110 +7 +0 +0 -11 +14 1.0
203133 MLB MLETB 100% 584517 12520018 541528 10 242324388712 146304 269 319 102 +2 +0 -1 -10 +13 0.3
202830 MLB CTXTB 100% 648570 15126023 6316010 10 264348430778 166326 2510 346 121 +16 +0 +2 -12 +14 2.1
202931 MLB CTXTB 100% 642566 14725022 6116110 10 259342419761 160321 2510 339 116 +12 +0 +1 -11 +14 1.6
203032 MLB CTXTB 100% 629555 14023020 5916110 10 252335404739 152315 269 330 110 +7 +0 +0 -11 +14 1.0
203133 MLB CTXTB 100% 584517 12620018 541528 10 244326386711 142308 269 319 102 +2 +0 -1 -10 +13 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 39263451 9051581129 38099062 43 262346421767 159329 2510 342 105 +82 -0 -6 -79 +85 8.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 14926021 6316410 10 261344417761 156328 2510 342 105 +14 -0 -1 -13 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 73036458 167128719215 6421796132 4720 259338409747 150323 259 323 105 +101 -1 -2 -91 +99 10.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 14926219 5716012 42 259339410749 151324 259 323 105 +14 -0 -0 -13 +14 1.5