Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras1B Boston Red Sox

Age 34 R/R 6'0" / 240 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 9.628 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION517 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 145142vR 131

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP314

ISO224

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 56 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT56

Whiff%

689.1%

xAVG

550.256

POWER60

Barrel%

8213.0

Avg EV

7190.5

Bat Spd

9076.1

EYE45

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED53

Sprint

4627.3

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%26%▼26% over 61 PA (30d) · proj 25%

BB%12%▲▲14% over 153 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.216·.205 over 122 AB (60d) · proj .225xISO .229 vs .221 prior

HR/BB7.5%·7.4% over 81 BBE (60d) · proj 7.6%barrel% 13.4% vs 12.9% prior

BABIP.314·.320 over 75 BIP (60d) · proj .314xBABIP .300 vs .333 prior

SLASH.255/.374/.471·proj .261/.360/.486

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1032 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

266

766

—

wRC+

143

124

◀L

wOBA

379

351

◀L

ISO

221

186

◀◀L

BABIP

324

327

—

24.4%

26.9%

◀L

BB%

13.2%

8.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 9.628 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

NTCOPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+0.3	$1M	-$0.3M
2027	Ext	$18M	+1.9	$14M	-$2M
Totals		$19M		$15M	-$2M

Options · projected decision
2028	CLUB OPT	$17.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	CLUB OPT	$17.5M / $5.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	130	112	23	5	2	1	10	26	6	2	2	205	305	312	617	107	259	20	8	282	77	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2010	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	74	64	20	2	1	0	8	6	2	2	0	312	405	375	780	62	345	8	11	360	130	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2013	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	344	309	76	11	5	10	26	66	7	8	3	246	319	411	730	165	282	19	8	324	106	+2	+0	—	—	+7	1.0
2013	21	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	17	15	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	333	412	400	812	67	500	29	12	371	137	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2014	22	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	317	281	68	14	2	5	28	66	5	5	5	242	322	359	681	117	297	21	9	307	94	-2	-1	—	—	+7	0.4
2014	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	74	66	18	1	1	5	6	20	0	0	0	273	333	545	879	273	302	27	8	371	137	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2015	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	521	454	151	34	4	8	57	62	7	4	4	333	415	478	893	145	370	12	11	397	155	+34	-1	—	—	+11	4.5
2015	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	61	53	15	5	0	3	7	9	0	0	0	283	367	547	914	264	286	15	11	392	151	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2016	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	283	252	71	14	1	12	26	67	4	2	2	282	358	488	846	206	339	24	9	373	138	+13	-0	+8	+9	+6	3.6
2016	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	240	204	72	16	3	9	28	32	6	4	4	353	445	593	1.039	240	382	13	12	450	190	+26	-1	—	—	+5	3.1
2017	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	428	377	104	21	0	21	45	98	3	5	4	276	358	499	856	223	319	23	11	375	140	+20	-1	-0	+8	+9	3.7
2018	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	544	474	118	27	5	10	53	121	13	4	1	249	341	390	731	141	313	22	10	329	109	+6	+0	-4	+10	+12	2.4
2019	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	409	360	98	18	2	24	38	102	9	1	2	272	356	533	890	261	314	25	9	387	148	+23	-1	-2	+7	+9	3.8
2020	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	225	189	46	10	0	7	20	57	14	1	2	243	359	407	766	164	307	25	9	346	120	+5	-1	+6	+4	+5	2.1
2021	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	483	413	98	20	0	21	52	138	14	5	4	237	342	438	781	201	298	29	11	347	121	+12	-1	+6	+9	+10	3.7
2022	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	487	416	101	23	2	22	45	103	24	4	2	243	351	466	817	224	270	21	9	362	131	+18	+0	+3	+9	+11	4.1
2023	31	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	495	428	113	27	0	20	51	111	13	6	3	264	360	467	827	203	311	22	10	366	134	+20	+0	-1	+9	+11	3.9
2024	32	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	358	301	79	17	0	15	45	96	12	4	1	262	380	468	848	206	337	27	13	379	143	+18	+0	+2	+7	+8	3.6
2024	32	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	22	21	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	182	143	325		188	23	5	155	-9	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	33	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	563	490	126	31	1	20	44	142	23	5	1	257	346	447	793	190	319	25	8	351	124	+16	+1	-0	-10	+12	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4275	3700	954	208	11	172	419	1035	129	37	22	258	353	459	813	202	311	24	10	360	130	+152	-1	+17	+61	+93	32.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	130	116	18	4	1	1	6	37	6	2	2	155	234	233	467	78	214	28	5	204	24	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2010	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	74	67	18	2	1	0	5	9	2	2	0	269	338	328	666	60	285	12	7	274	72	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2013	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	344	318	62	9	4	8	17	92	7	8	3	195	251	324	575	129	245	27	5	252	57	-18	+0	—	—	+7	-1.0
2014	22	A+ MLE	Daytona Cubs	—	317	289	60	13	2	4	20	98	5	5	5	208	271	308	579	100	285	31	6	253	57	-16	-1	—	—	+7	-1.0
2015	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	521	470	143	31	4	6	41	78	7	4	4	304	369	426	794	121	349	15	8	346	120	+13	-1	—	—	+11	2.4
2016	24	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	283	252	71	14	1	12	26	67	4	2	2	282	358	488	846	206	339	24	9	370	137	+12	-0	+8	+9	+6	3.6
2016	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	240	214	68	15	3	8	18	40	6	4	4	318	387	528	915	210	353	17	8	394	153	+15	-1	—	—	+5	2.0
2017	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	428	377	105	21	0	22	45	98	3	5	4	279	360	509	869	231	319	23	11	370	137	+19	-1	-0	+8	+9	3.6
2018	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	544	474	117	27	4	10	53	121	13	4	1	247	339	384	723	137	313	22	10	321	104	+2	+0	-4	+10	+12	2.0
2019	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	409	360	99	18	2	25	38	102	9	1	2	275	359	544	903	269	314	25	9	382	145	+22	-1	-2	+7	+9	3.6
2020	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	225	189	46	10	0	7	20	57	14	1	2	243	359	407	766	164	307	25	9	341	117	+5	-1	+6	+4	+5	2.0
2021	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	483	413	99	20	0	22	52	138	14	5	4	240	344	448	792	208	298	29	11	344	119	+11	-1	+6	+9	+10	3.6
2022	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	487	416	102	23	2	23	45	103	24	4	2	245	353	476	829	231	270	21	9	360	130	+17	+0	+3	+9	+11	4.0
2023	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	495	428	115	27	0	22	51	111	13	6	3	269	364	486	850	217	311	22	10	370	137	+22	+0	-1	+9	+11	4.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	358	301	80	17	0	16	45	96	12	4	1	266	383	482	864	216	337	27	13	380	143	+18	+0	+2	+7	+8	3.6
2024	32	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	22	21	3	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	143	182	143	325		176	27	5	127	-28	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	563	491	128	31	1	22	44	142	23	5	1	261	349	462	812	202	319	25	8	353	125	+17	+1	-0	-10	+12	2.0
2009	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	130	116	18	4	1	1	6	37	6	2	2	155	234	233	467	78	218	28	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	—	130	112	23	5	2	1	10	26	6	2	2	205	305	312	617	107	259	20	8	282	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	74	67	18	2	1	0	5	9	2	2	0	269	338	328	666	60	310	12	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	—	74	64	20	2	1	0	8	6	2	2	0	312	405	375	780	62	345	8	11	360	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	361	334	66	10	4	9	18	96	7	8	3	198	253	332	586	135	248	27	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	361	324	81	12	5	10	28	71	7	8	3	250	323	410	734	160	291	20	8	326	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	391	356	72	15	2	5	25	120	5	5	5	202	264	298	562	96	285	31	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	391	347	86	15	3	10	34	86	5	5	5	248	324	395	719	147	298	22	9	319	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	525	160	35	4	7	46	87	7	4	4	305	369	427	795	122	352	15	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	582	507	166	39	4	11	64	71	7	4	4	327	410	485	895	158	361	12	11	396	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	523	466	140	29	4	21	44	107	10	6	6	300	373	515	888	215	349	20	8	381	144	+27	-1	+8	+9	+11	5.6
2016	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	523	456	143	30	4	21	54	99	10	6	6	314	398	535	933	221	360	19	10	408	144	+27	-1	+8	+9	+11	5.6
2017	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	428	377	105	21	0	22	45	98	3	5	4	279	360	509	869	231	320	23	11	370	137	+19	-1	-0	+8	+9	3.6
2017	25	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	428	377	104	21	0	21	45	98	3	5	4	276	358	499	856	223	319	23	11	375	137	+19	-1	-0	+8	+9	3.6
2018	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	544	474	117	27	4	10	53	121	13	4	1	247	339	384	723	137	310	22	10	321	104	+2	+0	-4	+10	+12	2.0
2018	26	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	544	474	118	27	5	10	53	121	13	4	1	249	341	390	731	141	313	22	10	329	104	+2	+0	-4	+10	+12	2.0
2019	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	409	360	99	18	2	25	38	102	9	1	2	275	359	544	903	269	315	25	9	382	145	+22	-1	-2	+7	+9	3.6
2019	27	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	409	360	98	18	2	24	38	102	9	1	2	272	356	533	890	261	314	25	9	387	145	+22	-1	-2	+7	+9	3.6
2020	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	225	189	46	10	0	7	20	57	14	1	2	243	359	407	766	164	307	25	9	341	117	+5	-1	+6	+4	+5	2.0
2020	28	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	225	189	46	10	0	7	20	57	14	1	2	243	359	407	766	164	307	25	9	346	117	+5	-1	+6	+4	+5	2.0
2021	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	483	413	99	20	0	22	52	138	14	5	4	240	344	448	792	208	300	29	11	344	119	+11	-1	+6	+9	+10	3.6
2021	29	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	483	413	98	20	0	21	52	138	14	5	4	237	342	438	781	201	298	29	11	347	119	+11	-1	+6	+9	+10	3.6
2022	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	487	416	102	23	2	23	45	103	24	4	2	245	353	476	829	231	271	21	9	360	130	+17	+0	+3	+9	+11	4.0
2022	30	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	487	416	101	23	2	22	45	103	24	4	2	243	351	466	817	224	270	21	9	362	130	+17	+0	+3	+9	+11	4.0
2023	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	495	428	115	27	0	22	51	111	13	6	3	269	364	486	850	217	313	22	10	370	137	+22	+0	-1	+9	+11	4.1
2023	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	495	428	113	27	0	20	51	111	13	6	3	264	360	467	827	203	311	22	10	366	137	+22	+0	-1	+9	+11	4.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	380	322	83	17	0	16	46	102	12	4	1	258	371	460	831	202	328	27	12	365	133	+15	+0	+2	+7	+8	3.3
2024	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	380	322	82	17	0	15	46	101	12	4	1	255	368	447	816	193	325	27	12	366	133	+15	+0	+2	+7	+8	3.3
2025	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	563	491	128	31	1	22	44	142	23	5	1	261	349	462	812	202	320	25	8	353	125	+17	+1	-0	-10	+12	2.0
2025	33	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	563	490	126	31	1	20	44	142	23	5	1	257	346	447	793	190	319	25	8	351	125	+17	+1	-0	-10	+12	2.0
2009	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	130	117	18	4	1	1	6	37	6	2	2	154	234	231	465	77	214	28	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	74	67	18	2	1	0	5	9	2	2	0	269	338	328	666	60	285	12	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	361	333	66	10	4	9	18	96	7	8	3	198	253	333	587	135	245	27	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	391	358	72	15	2	5	25	120	5	5	5	201	264	296	560	95	285	31	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	524	160	35	4	7	46	87	7	4	4	305	369	427	796	122	349	15	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	523	464	140	29	4	21	44	107	10	6	6	302	373	517	890	216	345	20	8	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	428	377	105	21	0	22	45	98	3	5	4	279	360	509	869	231	319	23	11	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	544	473	117	27	4	10	53	121	13	4	1	247	339	385	724	137	313	22	10	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	409	359	99	18	2	25	38	102	9	1	2	276	359	546	905	270	314	25	9	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	225	189	46	10	0	7	20	57	14	1	2	243	359	407	766	164	307	25	9	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	483	414	99	20	0	22	52	138	14	5	4	239	344	447	791	208	298	29	11	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	487	415	102	23	2	23	45	103	24	4	2	246	353	477	830	231	270	21	9	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	495	428	115	27	0	22	51	111	13	6	3	269	364	486	850	217	311	22	10	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	380	319	83	17	0	16	46	102	12	4	1	260	371	464	835	204	328	27	12	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	563	491	128	31	1	22	44	142	23	5	1	261	349	462	812	202	319	25	8	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	495	428	115	27	0	22	51	111	13	6	3	269	364	486	850	217	311	22	10	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	380	319	83	17	0	16	46	102	12	4	1	260	371	464	835	204	328	27	12	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	563	491	128	31	1	22	44	142	23	5	1	261	349	462	812	202	319	25	8	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	34	MLB MLE	BOS	—	517	434	118	20	3	27	57	131	22	3	3	272	384	518	902	247	326	25	11	388	148	+30	-1	+3	-9	+11	3.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	BOS	—	517	434	119	21	3	26	57	131	22	3	3	274	386	516	902	242	332	25	11	395	148	+30	-1	+3	-9	+11	3.5
YTD	34	MLB RAW	BOS	—	517	434	119	21	3	26	57	131	22	3	3	274	386	516	902	242	332	25	11	395	154	+33	-1	+3	-9	+11	3.8
ROS	34	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		308	25	12	378	142	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.1
ROS	34	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		314	25	12	350	142	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.1
FULL	34	MLB A+C	BOS	—	525	441	120	21	3	26	58	133	22	3	3	272	384	510	894	238	330	25	11	394	148	+30	-1	+3	-9	+11	3.5
TOT	34	MLB MLE	BOS	—	525	441	119	20	3	27	58	133	22	3	3	270	382	512	894	243	324	25	11	387	148	+30	-1	+3	-9	+11	3.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	418	354	89	17	1	20	44	109	17	2	1	251	361	475	836	223	300	26	11	366	134	+17	+0	+0	-7	+9	1.9
2028	36	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	357	303	72	13	1	16	37	96	14	1	1	238	347	446	793	208	289	27	10	352	125	+10	-0	-1	-6	+8	1.1
2029	37	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	293	249	56	10	1	12	30	81	12	1	0	225	337	418	754	193	278	28	10	337	115	+5	+0	-3	-5	+6	0.4
2027	35	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	418	354	89	18	1	19	44	109	17	2	1	251	361	469	830	218	306	26	11	339	134	+17	+0	+0	-7	+9	1.9
2028	36	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	357	303	73	14	1	15	37	96	14	1	1	241	350	442	793	201	295	27	10	325	125	+10	-0	-1	-6	+8	1.1
2029	37	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	293	249	57	10	1	12	30	81	12	1	0	229	340	422	762	193	283	28	10	310	115	+5	+0	-3	-5	+6	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5351	4613	1174	250	14	218	531	1323	172	41	24	254	353	457	810	202	309	25	10	353	118	+185	-1	+13	+42	+116	36.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	560	142	30	2	26	65	161	21	5	3	254	353	454	807	200	309	25	10	353	118	+22	-0	+2	+5	+14	4.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7151	6247	1586	329	28	260	650	1718	205	66	42	254	344	440	784	186	308	24	9	342	118	+185	-1	+13	+42	+116	36.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	145	30	3	24	59	156	19	6	4	255	345	445	791	190	309	24	9	342	118	+22	-0	+2	+5	+14	4.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jayson Werthlast yr '17 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,366 PA	9.6	6,366	229	132	267	360	455	-68	-36	32.1	29.8
/162	664	24	14	-7.1	-3.7	3.3	pk7: 27
#2Anthony Rizzolast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,336 PA	11.0	7,336	303	72	261	361	467	-131	-79	28.7	27.3
/162	664	27	7	-11.9	-7.1	2.6	pk7: 26
#3Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	9.5	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
/162	664	26	1	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	9.6	6,385	270	50	258	354	467	-119	+22	28.9	23.7
/162	664	28	5	-12.3	+2.3	3.0	pk7: 18
#4Justin Morneaulast yr '16 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,392 PA	9.6	6,392	247	5	281	348	481	-112	-75	22.4	21.7
/162	664	26	1	-11.6	-7.8	2.3	pk7: 21
#5Brandon Beltlast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,483 PA	8.3	5,483	194	47	261	357	460	-96	-62	19.4	18.2
/162	664	23	6	-11.7	-7.5	2.3	pk7: 17
#6Kendrys Moraleslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,357 PA	8.1	5,357	213	6	265	327	453	-95	-16	14.9	15.2
/162	664	26	1	-11.8	-2.0	1.8	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willson Contreras (OGILVIE)	34	56	56→60	53	45	257/365/488	231	308	26	4	25%	11%	142	+3.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Willingham 2013 · MLB	34	48→53	63→65	46→45	56	258/358/500	243	292	31	5	24%	12%	141	+4.3	229/345/423	194	284	24	4	26%	13%	120	+2.8	209/340/379	170	267	21	2	28%	14%	104	+1.2
●Mo Vaughn 2002 · MLB	34	52	60	48→30	53	269/359/488	218	323	29	4	25%	11%	139	+4.1	253/345/444	191	308	26	3	25%	11%	124	+3.1	258/350/454	196	315	28	0	26%	11%	121	+2.7
✕Juan Gonzalez 2004 · MLB	34	55→59	63→65	46→40	45	291/335/528	237	315	32	4	19%	6%	140	+4.2	266/316/454	188	292	24	6	18%	6%	115	+2.4	273/326/437	164	288	22	0	14%	7%	109	+0.5
✕AJ Pollock 2022 · MLB	34	53→61	62→65	50→55	48	283/339/513	231	311	30	11	20%	7%	138	+4.1	243/296/408	165	276	20	6	20%	7%	97	+1.1	226/276/368	142	257	17	3	19%	6%	79	-0.1
●Jermaine Dye 2008 · MLB	34	51→61	65→70	45	51	276/342/529	252	290	34	6	19%	8%	142	+4.4	271/339/498	227	290	30	3	18%	9%	134	+3.8	271/342/497	226	287	30	1	17%	9%	131	+3.7
✕Ryan Zimmerman 2019 · MLB	34	51→60	61→65	45	50	271/333/496	225	299	28	4	20%	8%	131	+3.6	259/321/449	190	302	23	4	22%	8%	116	+2.5	250/305/435	185	299	23	0	24%	7%	105	+0.7
●José Abreu 2021 · MLB	34	53→62	62→65	43→40	45	283/337/513	230	318	30	3	22%	6%	137	+4.0	273/347/458	185	315	22	2	20%	8%	128	+3.3	265/343/430	166	308	19	0	20%	9%	116	+2.7
✕David Dellucci 2007 · MLB	33	50→46	61→65	45→50	57	264/359/498	234	301	28	7	22%	12%	141	+4.3	246/320/419	173	291	18	7	21%	8%	109	+2.0	232/302/379	147	281	14	6	22%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Olmedo Saenz 2005 · MLB	34	51	59→60	46→30	50	266/343/469	203	307	28	6	23%	9%	128	+3.4	261/331/473	212	292	26	3	20%	8%	126	+3.2	255/330/472	216	282	26	0	20%	8%	122	+1.1
●J.D. Martinez 2022 · MLB	34	52→62	59→70	49→45	51	271/341/494	223	317	27	2	23%	9%	133	+3.7	263/329/473	210	330	24	2	26%	9%	124	+3.1	256/326/463	207	326	24	0	28%	9%	119	+2.4
✕Corey Hart 2014 · MLB	32	52→56	59→65	48→55	48	269/334/486	217	313	26	7	23%	8%	129	+3.4	224/282/382	158	276	19	6	26%	6%	86	+0.3	202/256/341	139	247	18	3	26%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Kit Pellow 2009 · AAA	35	52→58	61→60	45→40	45	277/340/494	217	304	30	5	20%	6%	135	+3.8	256/306/402	146	288	17	5	18%	5%	100	+1.3	247/290/361	115	267	13	1	13%	3%	82	-0.0
✕Justin Upton 2020 · MLB	32	47→57	60→65	46→55	52	249/337/463	214	311	29	8	29%	11%	125	+3.2	221/306/412	191	277	26	6	29%	10%	103	+1.5	195/284/377	183	240	26	4	31%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Tony Clark 2007 · MLB	35	46→56	66→70	47→30	49	258/329/509	251	293	35	3	26%	9%	132	+3.7	241/326/443	202	290	28	3	26%	11%	116	+2.5	222/320/417	194	264	28	0	27%	12%	103	+0.5
✕Jonny Gomes 2014 · MLB	33	48→52	57→60	46→50	55	247/349/444	198	306	25	6	27%	12%	126	+3.2	237/331/381	144	314	17	4	28%	11%	105	+1.7	224/324/342	118	307	15	1	29%	11%	89	+0.3
✕Eduardo Perez 2004 · MLB	34	49	57→60	46→50	54	258/339/460	202	284	25	9	19%	10%	125	+3.2	257/341/457	200	279	25	6	18%	10%	125	+3.2	251/345/469	217	255	30	0	16%	11%	125	+1.1
●Darin Ruf 2021 · MLB	35	52→54	59→55	50→40	55	268/349/481	213	312	26	9	23%	11%	133	+3.7	248/348/441	193	317	24	5	27%	13%	124	+3.1	230/338/404	174	298	21	3	28%	13%	109	+0.9
✕Charlie Blackmon 2020 · MLB	34	56→60	58→60	45→55	50	287/348/501	214	315	25	7	18%	8%	138	+4.1	267/332/425	158	303	17	5	17%	8%	114	+2.4	252/326/385	132	288	13	4	16%	8%	101	+1.2
●Paul Konerko 2011 · MLB	35	54→59	62→65	43→30	58	286/369/519	233	297	31	2	16%	11%	149	+4.9	286/366/482	196	302	26	2	15%	10%	140	+4.2	278/359/448	170	294	23	0	14%	10%	122	+2.8
●Russell Branyan 2010 · MLB	34	46→45	66→70	49→45	51	251/342/509	258	311	35	5	30%	11%	138	+4.1	242/328/475	233	299	31	5	29%	11%	124	+3.1	231/320/465	234	279	32	2	29%	11%	116	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps