Nathaniel Lowe1B Cleveland Guardians
Age 31 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 5.843 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION397 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 94123vR 134
AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125
PA9
HR0
K%22
BB%11
BABIP322
ISO166
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: +8.0 runs (397 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: +0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+8BATRUN so far: +0.0 runs (397 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+0RUNFLD so far: +0.1 runs (397 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: +0.1 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+0FLDPOS so far: -7.1 runs (397 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: -0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-7POSREP so far: +8.6 runs (397 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+9REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): +1.01so far: +1.0 WAR+1.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.81.60.90.2262829
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
906.6%
xAVG
440.246
POWER45
Barrel%
427.1
Avg EV
4989.0
Bat Spd
8074.5
EYE60
Chase%
9020.3%
SPEED40
Sprint
1225.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%22% over 96 PA (30d) · proj 24%
BB%9%▼▼8% over 140 PA (45d) · proj 11%
ISO.179.191 over 157 AB (60d) · proj .167xISO .177 vs .140 prior — approach backs the move
HR/BB5.4%·5.6% over 125 BBE (60d) · proj 5.1%barrel% 9.3% vs 6.4% prior
BABIP.295·.280 over 118 BIP (60d) · proj .297xBABIP .304 vs .298 prior
SLASH.251/.321/.429·proj .243/.327/.410
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1208 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
315
893
wRC+
81
115
▶▶R
wOBA
288
338
R
ISO
102
166
▶▶R
BABIP
307
305
K%
28.3%
22.5%
▶▶R
BB%
11.7%
10.9%
L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2019
Service   5.843 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.1M
Totals $0.1M $0.3M +$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201722 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 203173 431012 28521 11 249356353709 104342 2614 325 106 +2 -0 +4 0.6
201722 ABowling Green Hot Rods 269229 671305 36531 01 293391415806 122356 2013 362 131 +10 -0 +6 1.6
201823 AAADurham Bulls 110100 26614 8272 00 260327460787 200319 257 348 122 +3 +0 +2 0.5
201823 AAMontgomery Biscuits 225188 6411013 35301 11 3404466061.053 266349 1316 456 195 +25 -0 +5 3.1
201823 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 220194 6915010 25331 00 3564325881.019 232391 1511 446 188 +23 +0 +5 2.8
201924 MLBTampa Bay Rays 169152 40807 13502 00 263329454783 191340 308 343 118 +4 +0 -4 -10 +4 -0.7
201924 AAADurham Bulls 406329 9524016 72824 10 289422508930 219341 2018 411 165 +31 +0 +9 4.1
202025 MLBTampa Bay Rays 7667 15204 9280 10 224316433749 209314 3712 333 112 +1 +0 -0 -2 +2 0.1
202025 INTLLeones del Escogido 2116 3100 430 00 188350250600 62214 1419 280 76 -1 +0 +0 -0.0
202126 MLBTexas Rangers 642557 14724318 801622 80 264358415773 151339 2512 347 121 +16 +2 -9 -11 +14 1.1
202227 MLBTexas Rangers 645593 17926327 481474 22 302358492851 191363 237 375 140 +31 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.9
202328 MLBTexas Rangers 724623 16338317 931655 10 262362414776 152329 2313 349 122 +19 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.9
202429 MLBTexas Rangers 565486 12916116 711254 20 265364401765 136324 2213 345 119 +13 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.6
202530 MLBBoston Red Sox 609540 12323318 621592 10 228310381691 154285 2610 309 95 -4 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 34303018 79613713107 37683619 152 264349424773 160329 2411 345 120 +80 +2 -41 -69 +74 4.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201722 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs 203180 35912 21731 11 194282289571 94304 3610 254 58 -10 -0 +4 -0.6
201722 A MLEBowling Green Hot Rods 269241 601004 24741 01 249320340660 91329 289 292 84 -5 -0 +6 0.0
201823 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 110103 22513 5312 00 214264369633 155271 285 268 68 -4 +0 +2 -0.2
201823 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits 225202 6210011 21351 11 307375520895 213324 169 391 151 +14 -0 +5 1.9
201823 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs 220201 6214010 18481 00 308368527896 219356 228 377 141 +11 +0 +5 1.6
201924 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays 169152 40807 13502 00 263329454783 191340 308 340 117 +3 +0 -4 -10 +4 -0.8
201924 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 406352 8220010 49974 10 233333375708 142289 2412 315 99 -0 +0 +9 0.9
202025 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays 7667 15204 9280 10 224316433749 209314 3712 313 98 -0 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.0
202126 MLB MLETexas Rangers 642557 14524317 801622 80 260355406761 145339 2512 334 112 +9 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.4
202227 MLB MLETexas Rangers 645593 17626325 481474 22 297353477831 180363 237 361 130 +23 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.1
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers 724623 16138316 931655 10 258359406765 148329 2313 337 114 +12 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.1
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers 565486 12816115 711254 20 263362393755 130324 2213 333 111 +8 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.0
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 609540 12122318 621592 10 224306376682 152285 2610 302 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
201722 A MLE2 teams 472421 941816 451472 12 223301314615 90324 3110 276 73
201722 A RAW2 teams 472402 1102317 641052 12 274376388764 114350 2214 346 73
201823 AA MLE3 teams 555507 14528124 431144 11 286347487834 201327 218 361 130
201823 AA RAW3 teams 555482 15932127 68904 11 330417568985 239361 1612 430 130
201924 AAA MLE2 teams 575504 12228018 621476 10 242332405737 163304 2611 322 104
201924 AAA RAW2 teams 575481 13532023 851326 10 281395491886 210340 2315 391 104
202025 MLB MLE2 teams 9785 19305 11360 10 224312435748 212311 3711 313 98 -0 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.0
202025 MLB RAW2 teams 9783 18304 13310 10 217323398721 181286 3213 322 98 -0 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.0
202126 MLB MLETexas Rangers 642557 14524317 801622 80 260355406761 145336 2512 334 112 +9 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.4
202126 MLB RAWTexas Rangers 642557 14724318 801622 80 264358415773 151339 2512 347 112 +9 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.4
202227 MLB MLETexas Rangers 645593 17626325 481474 22 297353477831 180359 237 361 130 +23 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.1
202227 MLB RAWTexas Rangers 645593 17926327 481474 22 302358492851 191363 237 375 130 +23 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.1
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers 724623 16138316 931655 10 258359406765 148326 2313 337 114 +12 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.1
202328 MLB RAWTexas Rangers 724623 16338317 931655 10 262362414776 152329 2313 349 114 +12 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.1
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers 565486 12816115 711254 20 263362393755 130323 2213 333 111 +8 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.0
202429 MLB RAWTexas Rangers 565486 12916116 711254 20 265364401765 136324 2213 345 111 +8 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.0
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 609540 12122318 621592 10 224306376682 152280 2610 302 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
202530 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox 609540 12323318 621592 10 228310381691 154285 2610 309 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
201722 A MLE2 teams 472422 941816 451472 12 223301313614 90318 3110 276 73
201823 AA MLE3 teams 555503 14528124 431144 11 288347491838 203326 218 361 130
201924 AAA MLE2 teams 575502 12228018 621476 10 243332406739 163304 2611 322 104
202025 MLB MLE2 teams 9786 19305 11360 10 221312430743 209314 3711 313 98
202126 MLB MLETexas Rangers 642555 14524317 801622 80 261355407762 146339 2512 334 112
202227 MLB MLETexas Rangers 645588 17626325 481474 22 299353481835 182363 237 361 130
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers 724620 16138316 931655 10 260359408767 148329 2313 337 114
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers 565485 12816115 711254 20 264362394756 130324 2213 333 111
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 609540 12122318 621592 10 224306376682 152285 2610 302 90
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers 724620 16138316 931655 10 260359408767 148329 2313 337 114
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers 565485 12816115 711254 20 264362394756 130324 2213 333 111
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 609540 12122318 621592 10 224306376682 152285 2610 302 90
YTD31 MLB MLECLE 397355 8922017 37961 00 251323456779 206293 249 336 113 +6 +0 +0 -7 +9 0.8
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR31 MLB RAWCLE 397355 8922017 37961 00 251323456779 206293 249 341 113 +6 +0 +0 -7 +9 0.8
YTD31 MLB RAWCLE 397355 8922017 37961 00 251323456779 206293 249 341 117 +8 +0 +0 -7 +9 1.0
ROS31 MLB MLECLE 100% 98 1000 120 00 125222125347 322 2211 350 123 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
ROS31 MLB CTXCLE 100% 98 1000 120 00 125222125347 322 2211 347 123 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
FULL31 MLB A+CCLE 406363 9022017 38981 00 248321449770 201290 249 341 113 +6 +0 +0 -7 +9 0.8
TOT31 MLB MLECLE 406363 9022017 38981 00 248321449770 201290 249 336 113 +6 +0 +0 -7 +9 0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202732 MLB MLECLE 100% 597530 13924222 601472 10 262340440779 177319 2510 342 118 +13 +0 +0 -11 +13 1.6
202833 MLB MLECLE 100% 523464 11720118 521322 10 252330416746 164312 2510 333 112 +7 +0 -1 -9 +11 0.9
202934 MLB MLECLE 100% 475424 10317116 471231 00 243320401721 158304 2610 323 104 +3 +0 -2 -8 +10 0.2
202732 MLB CTXCLE 100% 597530 13924222 601472 10 262340440779 177318 2510 339 118 +13 +0 +0 -11 +13 1.6
202833 MLB CTXCLE 100% 523464 11720118 521322 10 252330416746 164312 2510 331 112 +7 +0 -1 -9 +11 0.9
202934 MLB CTXCLE 100% 475424 10417116 471231 00 245322403725 158304 2610 320 104 +3 +0 -2 -8 +10 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 50344444 115719817163 536124024 172 260343423766 162324 2511 341 110 +103 +3 -43 -98 +109 7.5
/ 162G A+C 650574 15026221 691603 20 261344423767 162326 2511 341 110 +13 +0 -6 -13 +14 1.0
Career MLE 64885742 147126419200 675160634 205 256338413751 157320 2510 330 110 +103 +3 -43 -98 +109 7.5
/ 162G MLE 650575 14726220 681613 21 256337412750 157320 2510 330 110 +13 +0 -6 -13 +14 1.0