Jonathan Aranda
1B Tampa Bay Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 259 | .269/.397/.509 | 13 | 1 | 124 | — | .194/.301/.323 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBTB | 143 | .234/.310/.430 | 6 | 0 | 108 | -0.3 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBTB | 422 | .316/.396/.489 | 14 | 0 | 141 | 1.9 | |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBTB | 668 | .274/.362/.434 | 22 | 0 | 123 | 2.0 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBTB | 614 | .270/.353/.441 | 22 | 1 | 125 | 2.5 | |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBTB | 614 | .264/.348/.430 | 22 | 1 | 121 | 1.9 | |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBTB | 604 | .259/.342/.419 | 21 | 1 | 116 | 1.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | — | 202 | 175 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 257 | 347 | 366 | 712 | 109 | 308 | 16 | 8 | 320 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Rays | — | 197 | 178 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 287 | 349 | 348 | 697 | 62 | 342 | 16 | 7 | 316 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 40 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 282 | 297 | 579 | 54 | 375 | 32 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Princeton Rays | — | 144 | 126 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 359 | 437 | 796 | 151 | 321 | 12 | 8 | 349 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 235 | 551 | 250 | 5 | 11 | 264 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 246 | 211 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 364 | 398 | 762 | 123 | 325 | 17 | 12 | 339 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 133 | 321 | 250 | 44 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 159 | 144 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 392 | 458 | 851 | 125 | 369 | 13 | 7 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 322 | 274 | 89 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 63 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 325 | 416 | 540 | 957 | 215 | 383 | 20 | 10 | 414 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 89 | 74 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 351 | 455 | 554 | 1.009 | 203 | 379 | 15 | 10 | 442 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 137 | 116 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 284 | 385 | 362 | 747 | 78 | 341 | 18 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 87 | 78 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 321 | 596 | 128 | 245 | 26 | 9 | 273 | 66 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 465 | 403 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 100 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 318 | 400 | 521 | 921 | 203 | 377 | 22 | 10 | 401 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 103 | 87 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 343 | 368 | 711 | 138 | 327 | 30 | 13 | 322 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +2 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 434 | 357 | 121 | 23 | 0 | 25 | 64 | 87 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 339 | 452 | 613 | 1.066 | 275 | 387 | 20 | 15 | 460 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 143 | 128 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 310 | 430 | 740 | 195 | 264 | 22 | 8 | 327 | 108 | +1 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 144 | 118 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 371 | 424 | 794 | 186 | 323 | 33 | 16 | 357 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 115 | 94 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 430 | 617 | 1.047 | 309 | 333 | 17 | 14 | 448 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 422 | 370 | 117 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 41 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 316 | 396 | 489 | 885 | 173 | 409 | 25 | 10 | 391 | 141 | +21 | -1 | -3 | -8 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 668 | 580 | 159 | 27 | 0 | 22 | 69 | 163 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 274 | 362 | 434 | 797 | 160 | 340 | 24 | 10 | 354 | 123 | +19 | -0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 2.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1423 | 1243 | 341 | 64 | 1 | 46 | 143 | 356 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 274 | 360 | 438 | 799 | 164 | 345 | 25 | 10 | 355 | 126 | +45 | -1 | -8 | -34 | +31 | 3.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays 1 | — | 202 | 180 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 167 | 246 | 222 | 468 | 56 | 204 | 19 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 197 | 183 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 230 | 277 | 279 | 556 | 49 | 290 | 23 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 144 | 131 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 289 | 344 | 632 | 115 | 270 | 17 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 235 | 551 | 234 | 5 | 11 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 246 | 222 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 62 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 285 | 306 | 591 | 86 | 282 | 25 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 322 | 284 | 80 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 79 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 282 | 356 | 468 | 825 | 187 | 342 | 25 | 7 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 89 | 76 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 409 | 461 | 870 | 145 | 361 | 19 | 8 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 87 | 79 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 264 | 316 | 581 | 127 | 245 | 26 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 465 | 417 | 119 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 120 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 285 | 349 | 434 | 783 | 149 | 356 | 26 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 103 | 88 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 136 | 327 | 30 | 12 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +2 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 434 | 377 | 106 | 20 | 0 | 16 | 44 | 104 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 281 | 371 | 462 | 833 | 180 | 341 | 24 | 10 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 143 | 128 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 310 | 430 | 740 | 195 | 264 | 22 | 8 | 328 | 108 | +1 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 144 | 124 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 301 | 323 | 623 | 129 | 289 | 39 | 12 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 422 | 373 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 306 | 382 | 475 | 856 | 169 | 409 | 25 | 9 | 377 | 141 | +21 | -1 | -3 | -8 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 668 | 583 | 159 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 66 | 163 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 358 | 439 | 797 | 166 | 340 | 24 | 10 | 351 | 123 | +19 | -0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays 1 | — | 202 | 180 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 167 | 246 | 222 | 468 | 56 | 211 | 19 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rays 1 | — | 202 | 175 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 257 | 347 | 366 | 712 | 109 | 308 | 16 | 8 | 320 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 221 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 226 | 269 | 271 | 541 | 45 | 296 | 23 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 215 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 44 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 279 | 338 | 340 | 677 | 60 | 347 | 19 | 7 | 306 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 144 | 131 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 289 | 344 | 632 | 115 | 271 | 17 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK RAW | Princeton Rays | — | 144 | 126 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 359 | 437 | 796 | 151 | 321 | 12 | 8 | 349 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 281 | 254 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 285 | 299 | 584 | 79 | 286 | 24 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 281 | 243 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 350 | 370 | 721 | 107 | 316 | 18 | 12 | 323 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 159 | 144 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 392 | 458 | 851 | 125 | 369 | 13 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 159 | 144 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 392 | 458 | 851 | 125 | 369 | 13 | 7 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 483 | 139 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 128 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 288 | 363 | 462 | 825 | 174 | 355 | 23 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 548 | 464 | 148 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 100 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 319 | 415 | 498 | 913 | 179 | 372 | 18 | 11 | 400 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 496 | 134 | 25 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 143 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 270 | 336 | 415 | 751 | 145 | 345 | 26 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 552 | 481 | 143 | 30 | 1 | 20 | 53 | 123 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 297 | 380 | 489 | 868 | 191 | 357 | 22 | 10 | 381 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 537 | 465 | 126 | 24 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 135 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 271 | 364 | 443 | 807 | 172 | 342 | 25 | 10 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 537 | 444 | 141 | 27 | 1 | 27 | 77 | 118 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 318 | 432 | 565 | 997 | 248 | 376 | 22 | 14 | 434 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 351 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 40 | 123 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 308 | 373 | 681 | 160 | 279 | 31 | 10 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 402 | 340 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 98 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 366 | 479 | 845 | 224 | 302 | 24 | 13 | 372 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 422 | 373 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 306 | 382 | 475 | 856 | 169 | 392 | 25 | 9 | 377 | 141 | +21 | -1 | -3 | -8 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 422 | 370 | 117 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 41 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 316 | 396 | 489 | 885 | 173 | 409 | 25 | 10 | 391 | 141 | +21 | -1 | -3 | -8 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 668 | 583 | 159 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 66 | 163 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 358 | 439 | 797 | 166 | 336 | 24 | 10 | 351 | 123 | +19 | -0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 668 | 580 | 159 | 27 | 0 | 22 | 69 | 163 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 274 | 362 | 434 | 797 | 160 | 340 | 24 | 10 | 354 | 123 | +19 | -0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays 1 | — | 202 | 181 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 166 | 246 | 221 | 467 | 55 | 204 | 19 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 222 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 225 | 269 | 270 | 540 | 45 | 290 | 23 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 144 | 132 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 289 | 341 | 630 | 114 | 270 | 17 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 281 | 256 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 285 | 297 | 582 | 78 | 279 | 24 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 486 | 139 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 128 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 286 | 363 | 459 | 822 | 173 | 346 | 23 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 498 | 134 | 25 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 143 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 269 | 336 | 414 | 749 | 145 | 339 | 26 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 537 | 464 | 126 | 24 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 135 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 272 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 172 | 338 | 25 | 10 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 351 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 40 | 123 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 308 | 373 | 681 | 160 | 276 | 31 | 10 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 422 | 373 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 306 | 382 | 475 | 856 | 169 | 409 | 25 | 9 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 668 | 586 | 159 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 66 | 163 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 358 | 437 | 794 | 166 | 340 | 24 | 10 | 351 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 351 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 40 | 123 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 308 | 373 | 681 | 160 | 276 | 31 | 10 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 422 | 373 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 306 | 382 | 475 | 856 | 169 | 409 | 25 | 9 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 668 | 586 | 159 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 66 | 163 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 358 | 437 | 794 | 166 | 340 | 24 | 10 | 351 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 100% | 588 | 516 | 139 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 57 | 143 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 352 | 444 | 796 | 176 | 328 | 24 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +18 | +0 | +3 | -10 | +13 | 2.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 100% | 614 | 539 | 145 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 60 | 149 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 353 | 441 | 795 | 172 | 331 | 24 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +18 | +0 | +3 | -11 | +13 | 2.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 100% | 614 | 540 | 142 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 59 | 151 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 347 | 433 | 780 | 170 | 323 | 25 | 10 | 347 | 121 | +15 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | TB | 100% | 604 | 532 | 137 | 24 | 0 | 21 | 58 | 151 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 341 | 421 | 762 | 164 | 318 | 25 | 10 | 340 | 116 | +11 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | TB | 100% | 582 | 513 | 129 | 22 | 0 | 19 | 55 | 149 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 333 | 406 | 740 | 156 | 312 | 26 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +7 | +0 | -0 | -10 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB MLE | TB | 100% | 521 | 460 | 111 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 48 | 136 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 324 | 388 | 712 | 146 | 304 | 26 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -9 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 100% | 614 | 540 | 142 | 24 | 0 | 22 | 59 | 151 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 348 | 430 | 778 | 166 | 326 | 25 | 10 | 346 | 121 | +15 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | TB | 100% | 604 | 532 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 58 | 151 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 342 | 419 | 761 | 160 | 321 | 25 | 10 | 339 | 116 | +11 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | TB | 100% | 582 | 513 | 129 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 55 | 149 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 335 | 404 | 739 | 152 | 315 | 26 | 9 | 330 | 110 | +7 | +0 | -0 | -10 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB CTX | TB | 100% | 521 | 460 | 113 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 48 | 136 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 326 | 386 | 711 | 142 | 308 | 26 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -9 | +11 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3744 | 3288 | 863 | 150 | 1 | 124 | 363 | 943 | 60 | 4 | 3 | 262 | 347 | 422 | 768 | 159 | 329 | 25 | 10 | 342 | 105 | +79 | -0 | -7 | -76 | +81 | 7.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 150 | 26 | 0 | 22 | 63 | 164 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 346 | 424 | 770 | 161 | 329 | 25 | 10 | 342 | 105 | +14 | -0 | -1 | -13 | +14 | 1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7087 | 6265 | 1625 | 281 | 19 | 208 | 622 | 1740 | 129 | 47 | 19 | 259 | 339 | 410 | 749 | 151 | 324 | 25 | 9 | 323 | 105 | +98 | -0 | -4 | -87 | +94 | 10.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 149 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 57 | 160 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 339 | 410 | 749 | 151 | 324 | 25 | 9 | 323 | 105 | +15 | -0 | -1 | -13 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAADurham Bulls · 144 PAwOBA .351 → .275 (−76)K% 32.6% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.64% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.97% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.17% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×0.969 | ×1.018 | 26.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×1.018 | 1.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.86% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 6.62% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .351 → .275; ISO .186 → .124; BABIP .323 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAADurham Bulls · 434 PAwOBA .450 → .364 (−86)K% 20.0% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.05% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 10.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.04% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×1.033 | 25.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.52% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.033 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.137 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.89% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .450 → .364; ISO .275 → .192; BABIP .387 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 465 PAwOBA .396 → .341 (−55)K% 21.5% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.51% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.39% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×1.048 | 27.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.58% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.048 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×1.048 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .396 → .341; ISO .203 → .153; BABIP .377 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 322 PAwOBA .410 → .350 (−60)K% 19.6% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.25% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.11% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.07% | ÷1.019 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×1.027 | 23.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.870 | ×0.969 | ×1.027 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.37% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×1.027 | 2.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.05% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 90, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .410 → .350; ISO .215 → .186; BABIP .383 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 89 PAwOBA .435 → .385 (−50)K% 14.6% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.61% | ÷1.027 | ×1.350 | — | — | 19.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.62% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 4.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.15% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 30.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.92% | ÷1.135 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 91, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 105, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .435 → .385; ISO .203 → .169; BABIP .379 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 246 PAwOBA .334 → .262 (−72)K% 17.5% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.48% | ÷0.944 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.79% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 22.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.74% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.270 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 92, 2B 121, 3B 125, K 89, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .334 → .262; ISO .123 → .085; BABIP .325 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 19 PAwOBA .258 → .230 (−28)K% 5.3% → 7.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.033 | ×1.420 | — | — | 7.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 23.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .230; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKPrinceton Rays · 144 PAwOBA .345 → .274 (−70)K% 12.5% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 2.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.74% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .345 → .274; ISO .151 → .118; BABIP .321 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .