Miguel Hernandez

Miguel Hernandez2B Tiburones de La Guaira

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 194 lbs INTL HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 207 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .265 / .316

PA207

HR4

K%25

BB%6

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	278	250	48	6	1	1	22	53	1	7	6	192	260	236	496	44	236	19	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	278	237	58	8	1	1	35	37	1	7	6	245	344	300	644	55	282	13	13	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Reds	—	312	297	67	10	3	2	9	61	3	10	4	226	256	300	555	74	275	20	3	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Reds	—	312	291	87	14	5	2	15	42	3	10	4	299	340	402	742	103	341	13	5	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	262	249	52	8	2	1	10	56	0	2	1	209	239	269	508	60	263	21	4	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	262	243	68	11	3	2	16	39	0	2	1	280	324	374	699	95	324	15	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	484	455	85	18	2	4	15	141	1	7	3	187	214	262	476	75	258	29	3	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	484	445	109	22	2	5	25	94	1	7	3	245	287	337	624	92	297	19	5	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	386	363	78	14	1	2	18	99	2	6	3	215	256	275	531	61	287	26	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	386	356	94	18	1	2	25	75	2	6	3	264	316	337	653	73	326	19	6	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	140	132	27	3	0	2	8	45	0	1	0	205	250	273	523	68	294	32	6	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	140	127	33	4	0	3	13	34	0	1	0	260	329	362	691	102	333	24	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	120	111	28	2	1	3	7	29	1	4	1	252	303	369	672	117	316	24	6	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	120	107	33	3	1	4	11	23	1	4	1	308	378	467	845	159	362	19	9	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	193	186	35	4	0	1	4	37	1	2	0	188	209	226	435	38	228	19	2	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	193	185	36	6	0	1	5	29	1	2	0	195	220	243	463	49	224	15	3	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	31	29	8	2	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	276	300	345	645	69	348	19	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	31	29	8	2	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	276	300	345	645	69	348	19	0	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	CIN	—	207	191	41	7	1	4	12	52	2	4	1	215	268	325	593	110	270	25	6	263	60	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CIN	26%	271	250	54	10	1	5	17	67	2	4	1	216	271	324	595	108	271	25	6	268	64	-11	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	CIN	37%	306	280	60	11	1	6	20	76	3	5	1	214	274	325	599	111	272	25	7	271	65	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
2027	28	MLB	CIN	26%	70	65	14	3	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	215	271	308	579	92	274	24	6	265	61	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	CIN	37%	112	103	23	4	1	2	7	28	1	2	0	223	279	340	619	117	275	25	6	267	62	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	182	168	37	7	1	3	11	45	2	3	0	220	276	327	604	107	281	25	6	266	62	-8	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	133	25	4	11	39	161	7	11	0	222	277	332	609	110	282	25	6	266	62	-28	+2	-2	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2990	2793	583	95	13	31	142	722	17	52	21	209	251	285	537	77	268	24	5	234	37	-212	+2	-2	+11	+85	-11.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	128	21	3	7	31	157	4	11	5	211	254	290	544	79	271	24	5	234	37	-46	+0	-0	+2	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	278	237	58	8	1	1	35	37	1	7	6	245	344	300	644	55	282	13	13	297	85	-5	-1	—	—	+8	0.2
2017	18	ROK	AZL Reds	—	312	291	87	14	5	2	15	42	3	10	4	299	340	402	742	103	341	13	5	329	110	+3	+0	—	—	+9	1.3
2018	19	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	262	243	68	11	3	2	16	39	0	2	1	280	324	374	699	95	324	15	6	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2019	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	484	445	109	22	2	5	25	94	1	7	3	245	287	337	624	92	297	19	5	274	68	-18	+0	—	—	+14	-0.4
2021	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	100	94	24	4	1	0	6	26	0	0	1	255	300	319	619	64	353	26	6	281	73	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2021	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	286	262	70	14	0	2	19	49	2	6	2	267	322	344	665	76	318	17	7	300	88	-4	+0	—	—	+8	0.5
2022	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	74	67	16	1	0	1	7	18	0	0	0	239	311	299	609	60	312	24	9	283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	21	20	6	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	300	333	350	683	50	462	33	5	310	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	23	ROK	ACL Reds	—	45	40	11	2	0	2	5	9	0	1	0	275	356	475	831	200	310	20	11	368	140	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	55	53	15	1	0	1	1	17	1	0	0	283	309	358	668	75	400	31	2	301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	33	29	9	1	1	2	3	4	0	1	0	310	375	621	996	310	304	12	9	414	175	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	24	ROK	ACL Reds	—	32	25	9	1	0	1	7	2	0	3	1	360	500	520	1.020	160	364	6	22	456	207	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	193	185	36	6	0	1	5	29	1	2	0	195	220	243	463	49	224	15	3	209	18	-18	+0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2025	26	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	31	29	8	2	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	276	300	345	645	69	348	19	0	282	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	389	7	6	215	268	324	+1	+2	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	12	11	215	268	324	+2.4	+3.4	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	211/265/316	105	270	4	4	25%	6%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Flores 2012 · MLB	27	42→38	46→50	47→30	37	213/247/340	127	282	13	4	29%	4%	58	-1.2	193/227/294	101	246	10	4	26%	4%	37	-2.6	175/208/258	83	221	9	1	25%	4%	14	-1.7
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	47→50	47→30	40	193/259/325	132	276	15	4	35%	7%	60	-1.0	204/259/342	138	283	16	7	32%	6%	64	-0.8	170/221/358	188	197	25	0	30%	5%	50	-0.3
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2009 · MLB	27	43	43→50	46→50	43	215/263/320	104	269	10	4	24%	6%	59	-1.1	217/261/336	119	278	12	3	25%	5%	63	-0.9	227/276/350	123	289	13	1	25%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→43	41→45	51→50	43	191/245/290	98	255	9	12	28%	7%	43	-2.2	201/251/308	107	284	12	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	178/220/273	94	244	15	13	33%	5%	26	-1.0
✕Kevin Cash 2005 · MLB	27	39	44→40	47→30	41	199/255/313	114	254	12	4	26%	6%	55	-1.4	200/261/333	133	270	15	4	31%	6%	63	-0.8	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	45→50	44→40	44	208/276/324	116	260	13	6	25%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/349	127	278	15	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/275/318	107	244	12	3	18%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	44→45	49→50	40	196/248/301	105	255	13	12	28%	6%	48	-1.9	209/272/329	120	259	14	13	24%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2015 · AAA	27	40→37	45→50	43→45	46	202/266/328	126	229	13	6	19%	6%	63	-0.8	200/257/334	134	236	16	5	22%	6%	62	-0.9	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA	27	39	45	46→40	37	203/247/323	120	271	13	5	30%	4%	54	-1.4	212/263/336	124	283	14	6	29%	5%	64	-0.8	200/254/317	117	262	14	2	29%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2012 · AA	27	42→43	44→45	45	45	209/272/323	114	256	11	6	23%	6%	65	-0.7	213/288/314	101	260	8	11	20%	7%	69	-0.4	192/299/242	50	227	0	23	13%	9%	56	-0.2
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	44→45	50	42	201/261/318	117	257	11	13	26%	6%	59	-1.1	210/280/367	157	289	18	16	33%	6%	80	+0.4	173/256/351	178	230	22	20	35%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Dan Conway 2007 · AAA	27	40	42→45	45→30	41	200/261/302	102	271	9	5	29%	6%	55	-1.4	203/259/306	103	282	10	7	30%	6%	54	-1.4	152/213/213	61	217	8	0	32%	5%	9	-1.0
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4