Luis Oviedo
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 250 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.89
FIP4.83
K%23.6%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.369
FB-6.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 14 | 63 | 271 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.5% | 4.00 | 3.19 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 14 | 63 | 271 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 20.7% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 0.4% | 4.00 | 2.34 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | 14 | 7 | 52 | 249 | 70 | 22 | 2 | 50% | 3.7 | 19.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 7.14 | 3.50 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | 14 | 7 | 52 | 249 | 70 | 22 | 2 | 50% | 3.7 | 28.1% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 0.8% | 7.14 | 2.17 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 4.5 | 16.7% | 19.4% | -2.8% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 4.5 | 16.7% | 19.4% | -2.8% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 4.10 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 19 | 19 | 87 | 380 | 72 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 14.0% | 12.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.38 | 4.64 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 19 | 19 | 87 | 380 | 72 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 18.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 5.38 | 3.72 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 4 | 39 | 191 | 42 | 31 | 5 | 15% | 1.5 | 21.1% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 8.61 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 4 | 39 | 191 | 42 | 31 | 5 | 15% | 1.5 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 8.61 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 9 | 60 | 284 | 62 | 47 | 10 | 32% | 2.1 | 18.1% | 17.2% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 5.43 | 5.79 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 9 | 60 | 284 | 62 | 47 | 10 | 32% | 2.1 | 21.8% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.43 | 5.56 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 42 | 0 | 62 | 286 | 60 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 4.82 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 42 | 0 | 62 | 286 | 60 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 4.82 | 3.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 70 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 67 | 37 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 63 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 1 | 97 | 430 | 97 | 61 | 13 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 6.09 | 4.69 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 2 | 200 | 889 | 200 | 126 | 27 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 6.09 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 55 | 371 | 1697 | 290 | 225 | 32 | 38% | 2.6 | 17.1% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 5.58 | 4.38 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 30 | 200 | 916 | 156 | 121 | 17 | 38% | 2.6 | 17.1% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 5.58 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Oviedo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.92 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 133 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 70 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 69 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 68 |
| Duncan Davitt R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.52 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 423 | 67 |
| Sean Isaac R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 67 |
| Jay Flaa R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.92 | 19.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .300 | 4.86 | 22.8% | 4.7% | 36 | -0.06 | 3.52 | 273 | 67 |
| Luke Farrell R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 24.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | .269 | 4.61 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 25 | +0.35 | 3.84 | 584 | 67 |
| Cory Abbott R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.95 | 23.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .300 | 5.28 | 22.6% | 11.7% | 151 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 703 | 67 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2024 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 67 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 378 | 66 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 66 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 65 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 65 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 65 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 65 |
| Nolan Hoffman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 24.3% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .312 | 2.94 | 24.4% | 13.1% | 29 | -1.12 | 2.94 | 267 | 64 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 64 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 64 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 64 |
| Adam Quintana R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 1.23 | 4.89 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |