Rony García
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA4.77
FIP4.94
K%21.2%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2792.9
Whiff%
p2421.7%
K%
p5623.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.388
FB+2.7
SL-0.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 14 | 12 | 71 | 287 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 86% | 5.1 | 13.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 2.28 | 2.96 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 14 | 12 | 71 | 287 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 86% | 5.1 | 19.5% | 4.5% | 15.0% | 0.3% | 2.28 | 2.25 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 76 | 308 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 12.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 2.50 | 3.80 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 76 | 308 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 1.3% | 2.50 | 2.98 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 119 | 510 | 107 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 4.31 | 3.89 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 119 | 510 | 107 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.0% | 5.5% | 15.5% | 1.4% | 4.31 | 2.77 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 130 | 548 | 129 | 44 | 16 | 96% | 5.2 | 18.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 4.01 | 4.73 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 130 | 548 | 129 | 44 | 16 | 96% | 5.2 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 3.73 | — |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 15 | 2 | 21 | 96 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 13% | 1.4 | 14.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.14 | 7.43 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 15 | 2 | 21 | 96 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 13% | 1.4 | 14.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.14 | 7.39 | -0.7 |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 23 | 96 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 67% | 3.9 | 25.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 3.09 | 5.17 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 23 | 96 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 67% | 3.9 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 3.09 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 8 | 55 | 222 | 50 | 14 | 9 | 44% | 3.1 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 17.0% | 4.8% | 4.58 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 8 | 55 | 222 | 50 | 14 | 9 | 44% | 3.1 | 22.5% | 6.3% | 16.2% | 4.1% | 4.58 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 27 | 2 | 38 | 186 | 50 | 25 | 8 | 7% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 8.29 | 6.13 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 27 | 2 | 38 | 186 | 50 | 25 | 8 | 7% | 1.4 | 26.9% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 4.3% | 8.29 | 5.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | DET | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 53 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 4.77 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 9 | 9 | 56 | 237 | 50 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 4.91 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 9 | 9 | 53 | 223 | 45 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 5.06 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 3 | 3 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 7.0 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 4.91 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 5.06 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 18 | 125 | 524 | 107 | 45 | 25 | 44% | 3.1 | 20.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 5.21 | 5.09 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 29 | 200 | 836 | 171 | 72 | 40 | 44% | 3.0 | 20.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 5.21 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 141 | 88 | 533 | 2253 | 395 | 180 | 74 | 62% | 3.8 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.12 | 4.42 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 33 | 200 | 845 | 148 | 67 | 28 | 62% | 3.8 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.12 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rony García (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.94 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% | — | 5.11 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 109 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 79 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 74 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 73 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 72 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 71 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 70 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 70 |
| Justin Masterson R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 69 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 69 |
| Yohan Pino R 2029 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 69 |
| Nate Karns R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.43 | 27.1% | 20.7% | 45 | +0.51 | 3.92 | 287 | 68 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 68 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 68 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.03 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | 4.41 | 8.3% | -7.5% | 10 | -1.62 | 3.92 | 233 | 68 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.14 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 470 | 67 |
| Matt Swarmer R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.93 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 4.3% | .270 | 5.77 | 17.3% | 0.8% | 32 | +0.84 | 3.23 | 617 | 66 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 66 |
| Chris Ellis R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.31 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 4.4% | .274 | 6.16 | 12.5% | -2.7% | 64 | +0.85 | 3.85 | 780 | 66 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 66 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 1.46 | 4.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |