Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B Toronto Blue Jays
Age 28
R/R
6'0" / 245 lbs
MLB
Svc 6.913 · Ctrl thru 2039
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2040
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | MLBTOR | 697 | .323/.398/.544 | 30 | 2 | 156 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBTOR | 680 | .292/.383/.467 | 23 | 6 | 136 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBTOR | 609 | .260/.335/.356 | 9 | 7 | 93 | -0.3 |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBTOR | 620 | .282/.353/.443 | 19 | 6 | 124 | 2.2 |
| 2028PROJ | 29 | MLBTOR | 648 | .279/.350/.436 | 20 | 4 | 122 | 1.9 |
| 2029PROJ | 30 | MLBTOR | 648 | .275/.346/.427 | 19 | 2 | 118 | 1.5 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 6.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 5.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractCONFIRMED
Control thru2039Service6.913First FA2040NTC
2027Ext$36M2028Ext$36M2029Ext$36M2030Ext$36M2031Ext$36M2032Ext$36M2033Ext$36M2034Ext$36M+5
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA90
Avg EV90
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Bat Spd90
Barrel%70
Form.275/.340/.418 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .281/.350/.442
CompsWilmer Flores (age 28) · Juan Rivera (age 28) · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 130124vR 108
AVG/OBP/SLG.282 / .353 / .443
PA620
HR19
SB6
K%14
BB%9
BABIP302
ISO157
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$153M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 66 / POW 72
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1488 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
321
1167
—
wRC+
169
141
◀◀L
wOBA
418
377
◀L
ISO
221
185
◀◀L
BABIP
332
329
—
K%
10.9%
14.4%
◀◀L
BB%
12.5%
8.9%
◀◀L
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 276 | 236 | 64 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 35 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 271 | 365 | 449 | 814 | 178 | 283 | 13 | 12 | 357 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 209 | 168 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 333 | 456 | 494 | 950 | 161 | 365 | 13 | 17 | 420 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 318 | 269 | 85 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 316 | 414 | 480 | 894 | 164 | 336 | 11 | 13 | 394 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 98 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 276 | 278 | 553 | 67 | 247 | 13 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 128 | 110 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 336 | 421 | 564 | 984 | 227 | 323 | 8 | 12 | 425 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 266 | 234 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 402 | 459 | 671 | 1.130 | 269 | 402 | 10 | 8 | 478 | 197 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 88 | 77 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 351 | 419 | 442 | 860 | 91 | 370 | 7 | 9 | 380 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 514 | 464 | 126 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 91 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 340 | 433 | 773 | 162 | 308 | 18 | 9 | 343 | 118 | +11 | -0 | -14 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | 20 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 34 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 367 | 441 | 700 | 1.141 | 333 | 320 | 6 | 12 | 490 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 333 | 686 | 67 | 308 | 12 | 6 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 243 | 221 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 329 | 462 | 791 | 199 | 282 | 16 | 8 | 349 | 120 | +6 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 42 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 359 | 390 | 615 | 1.006 | 256 | 375 | 14 | 5 | 427 | 175 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 698 | 604 | 188 | 29 | 1 | 48 | 86 | 110 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 311 | 402 | 601 | 1.003 | 290 | 312 | 16 | 12 | 434 | 174 | +62 | +0 | -9 | -12 | +15 | 5.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 706 | 638 | 175 | 35 | 0 | 32 | 58 | 116 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 274 | 340 | 480 | 820 | 205 | 289 | 16 | 8 | 360 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -8 | -13 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 682 | 602 | 159 | 30 | 0 | 26 | 67 | 100 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 347 | 444 | 790 | 179 | 277 | 15 | 10 | 351 | 120 | +16 | -0 | -15 | -12 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 697 | 616 | 199 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 72 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 323 | 398 | 544 | 942 | 221 | 342 | 14 | 10 | 411 | 156 | +46 | -0 | -11 | -12 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 680 | 589 | 172 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 81 | 94 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 292 | 383 | 467 | 850 | 175 | 313 | 14 | 12 | 377 | 136 | +29 | +0 | -7 | -12 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 609 | 542 | 141 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 56 | 81 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 260 | 335 | 356 | 691 | 96 | 288 | 13 | 9 | 313 | 93 | -5 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4829 | 4276 | 1218 | 236 | 6 | 192 | 486 | 726 | 41 | 33 | 17 | 285 | 363 | 478 | 841 | 193 | 303 | 15 | 10 | 371 | 137 | +213 | -0 | -67 | -76 | +105 | 17.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 276 | 248 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 214 | 280 | 351 | 631 | 137 | 227 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 209 | 179 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 307 | 398 | 430 | 828 | 123 | 354 | 19 | 12 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 318 | 283 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 48 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 293 | 363 | 438 | 801 | 145 | 322 | 15 | 8 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 128 | 114 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 500 | 881 | 184 | 316 | 9 | 9 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 266 | 243 | 96 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 395 | 432 | 638 | 1.070 | 243 | 394 | 12 | 5 | 460 | 197 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 514 | 464 | 126 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 91 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 340 | 433 | 773 | 162 | 308 | 18 | 9 | 343 | 118 | +11 | -0 | -14 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | 20 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 34 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 355 | 412 | 677 | 1.089 | 323 | 303 | 6 | 9 | 432 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 333 | 686 | 67 | 293 | 18 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 243 | 222 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 325 | 459 | 785 | 198 | 282 | 16 | 8 | 345 | 120 | +6 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 698 | 611 | 187 | 29 | 1 | 48 | 79 | 110 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 306 | 391 | 592 | 983 | 286 | 312 | 16 | 11 | 426 | 174 | +62 | +0 | -9 | -12 | +15 | 5.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 706 | 644 | 174 | 35 | 0 | 32 | 52 | 116 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 270 | 330 | 474 | 804 | 203 | 289 | 16 | 7 | 354 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -8 | -13 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 682 | 607 | 158 | 30 | 0 | 26 | 62 | 100 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 260 | 338 | 438 | 776 | 178 | 277 | 15 | 9 | 345 | 120 | +16 | -0 | -15 | -12 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 697 | 628 | 198 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 60 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 315 | 380 | 532 | 911 | 217 | 342 | 14 | 9 | 399 | 156 | +46 | -0 | -11 | -12 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 680 | 597 | 171 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 73 | 94 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 286 | 370 | 459 | 829 | 173 | 313 | 14 | 11 | 368 | 136 | +29 | +0 | -7 | -12 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 609 | 547 | 140 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 81 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 95 | 288 | 13 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -5 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 276 | 248 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 214 | 280 | 351 | 631 | 137 | 235 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 276 | 236 | 64 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 35 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 271 | 365 | 449 | 814 | 178 | 283 | 13 | 12 | 357 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 625 | 550 | 163 | 31 | 2 | 13 | 60 | 104 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 296 | 374 | 431 | 805 | 135 | 341 | 17 | 10 | 355 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 625 | 527 | 160 | 30 | 4 | 13 | 83 | 75 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 304 | 406 | 450 | 856 | 146 | 330 | 12 | 13 | 381 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 482 | 436 | 162 | 30 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 54 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 372 | 418 | 596 | 1.015 | 225 | 378 | 11 | 6 | 437 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 482 | 421 | 158 | 33 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 375 | 442 | 601 | 1.043 | 226 | 375 | 9 | 9 | 446 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 510 | 140 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 96 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 343 | 443 | 786 | 169 | 307 | 17 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +14 | -0 | -14 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2019 | 20 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 565 | 509 | 141 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 51 | 95 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 346 | 446 | 792 | 169 | 309 | 17 | 9 | 351 | 120 | +14 | -0 | -14 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 260 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 324 | 462 | 785 | 200 | 278 | 16 | 8 | 345 | 120 | +7 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 260 | 72 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 277 | 338 | 485 | 823 | 208 | 296 | 15 | 8 | 361 | 120 | +7 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 698 | 611 | 187 | 29 | 1 | 48 | 79 | 110 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 306 | 391 | 592 | 983 | 286 | 305 | 16 | 11 | 426 | 174 | +62 | +0 | -9 | -12 | +15 | 5.7 |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 698 | 604 | 188 | 29 | 1 | 48 | 86 | 110 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 311 | 402 | 601 | 1.003 | 290 | 312 | 16 | 12 | 434 | 174 | +62 | +0 | -9 | -12 | +15 | 5.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 706 | 644 | 174 | 35 | 0 | 32 | 52 | 116 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 270 | 330 | 474 | 804 | 203 | 284 | 16 | 7 | 354 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -8 | -13 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 706 | 638 | 175 | 35 | 0 | 32 | 58 | 116 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 274 | 340 | 480 | 820 | 205 | 289 | 16 | 8 | 360 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -8 | -13 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 682 | 607 | 158 | 30 | 0 | 26 | 62 | 100 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 260 | 338 | 438 | 776 | 178 | 272 | 15 | 9 | 345 | 120 | +16 | -0 | -15 | -12 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 682 | 602 | 159 | 30 | 0 | 26 | 67 | 100 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 347 | 444 | 790 | 179 | 277 | 15 | 10 | 351 | 120 | +16 | -0 | -15 | -12 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 697 | 628 | 198 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 60 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 315 | 380 | 532 | 911 | 217 | 332 | 14 | 9 | 399 | 156 | +46 | -0 | -11 | -12 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 697 | 616 | 199 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 72 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 323 | 398 | 544 | 942 | 221 | 342 | 14 | 10 | 411 | 156 | +46 | -0 | -11 | -12 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 680 | 597 | 171 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 73 | 94 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 286 | 370 | 459 | 829 | 173 | 306 | 14 | 11 | 368 | 136 | +29 | +0 | -7 | -12 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 680 | 589 | 172 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 81 | 94 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 292 | 383 | 467 | 850 | 175 | 313 | 14 | 12 | 377 | 136 | +29 | +0 | -7 | -12 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 609 | 547 | 140 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 81 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 95 | 283 | 13 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -5 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 609 | 542 | 141 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 56 | 81 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 260 | 335 | 356 | 691 | 96 | 288 | 13 | 9 | 313 | 93 | -5 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 276 | 251 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 211 | 280 | 347 | 627 | 135 | 227 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 625 | 552 | 163 | 31 | 2 | 13 | 60 | 104 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 295 | 374 | 429 | 803 | 134 | 335 | 17 | 10 | 355 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 482 | 444 | 162 | 30 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 54 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 365 | 418 | 586 | 1.004 | 221 | 369 | 11 | 6 | 437 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 507 | 140 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 96 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 343 | 446 | 789 | 170 | 308 | 17 | 9 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 259 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 324 | 463 | 787 | 201 | 282 | 16 | 8 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 698 | 608 | 187 | 29 | 1 | 48 | 79 | 110 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 308 | 391 | 595 | 986 | 288 | 312 | 16 | 11 | 426 | 174 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 706 | 642 | 174 | 35 | 0 | 32 | 52 | 116 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 271 | 330 | 475 | 806 | 204 | 289 | 16 | 7 | 354 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 682 | 606 | 158 | 30 | 0 | 26 | 62 | 100 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 261 | 338 | 439 | 777 | 178 | 277 | 15 | 9 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 697 | 627 | 198 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 60 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 316 | 380 | 533 | 912 | 217 | 342 | 14 | 9 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 680 | 596 | 171 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 73 | 94 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 287 | 370 | 460 | 830 | 173 | 313 | 14 | 11 | 368 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 609 | 548 | 140 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 81 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 255 | 325 | 350 | 675 | 95 | 288 | 13 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 697 | 627 | 198 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 60 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 316 | 380 | 533 | 912 | 217 | 342 | 14 | 9 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 680 | 596 | 171 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 73 | 94 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 287 | 370 | 460 | 830 | 173 | 313 | 14 | 11 | 368 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 609 | 548 | 140 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 81 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 255 | 325 | 350 | 675 | 95 | 288 | 13 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 100% | 620 | 554 | 155 | 30 | 0 | 19 | 56 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 281 | 352 | 442 | 795 | 161 | 301 | 14 | 9 | 352 | 124 | +18 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 2.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 100% | 620 | 554 | 155 | 30 | 0 | 19 | 56 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 282 | 353 | 443 | 796 | 161 | 302 | 14 | 9 | 353 | 124 | +18 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 2.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | TOR | 100% | 648 | 580 | 161 | 31 | 0 | 20 | 58 | 91 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 278 | 349 | 435 | 784 | 157 | 299 | 14 | 9 | 348 | 122 | +17 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | TOR | 100% | 648 | 580 | 159 | 30 | 0 | 19 | 58 | 93 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 275 | 345 | 426 | 771 | 151 | 296 | 14 | 9 | 343 | 118 | +14 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | TOR | 100% | 640 | 574 | 154 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 56 | 95 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 339 | 415 | 754 | 146 | 293 | 15 | 9 | 336 | 113 | +10 | +0 | -2 | -11 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB MLE | TOR | 100% | 627 | 564 | 148 | 27 | 0 | 17 | 54 | 96 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 332 | 401 | 732 | 138 | 287 | 15 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -11 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB MLE | TOR | 100% | 541 | 487 | 124 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 86 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 322 | 383 | 705 | 129 | 281 | 16 | 9 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | TOR | 100% | 648 | 580 | 162 | 31 | 0 | 20 | 58 | 91 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 279 | 350 | 436 | 786 | 157 | 300 | 14 | 9 | 349 | 122 | +17 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | TOR | 100% | 648 | 580 | 159 | 30 | 0 | 19 | 58 | 93 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 275 | 346 | 427 | 772 | 151 | 297 | 14 | 9 | 343 | 118 | +14 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | TOR | 100% | 640 | 574 | 155 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 56 | 95 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 340 | 416 | 756 | 146 | 293 | 15 | 9 | 336 | 113 | +10 | +0 | -2 | -11 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB CTX | TOR | 100% | 627 | 564 | 148 | 27 | 0 | 17 | 54 | 96 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 332 | 401 | 733 | 138 | 288 | 15 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -11 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB CTX | TOR | 100% | 541 | 487 | 125 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 86 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 323 | 383 | 706 | 129 | 281 | 16 | 9 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 7933 | 7061 | 1967 | 375 | 6 | 280 | 758 | 1187 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 279 | 354 | 452 | 806 | 174 | 299 | 15 | 10 | 357 | 126 | +259 | +1 | -77 | -131 | +172 | 22.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 161 | 31 | 0 | 23 | 62 | 97 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 278 | 353 | 451 | 804 | 173 | 299 | 15 | 10 | 357 | 126 | +21 | +0 | -6 | -11 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 10029 | 8977 | 2515 | 479 | 11 | 346 | 887 | 1493 | 85 | 80 | 35 | 280 | 350 | 452 | 802 | 171 | 301 | 15 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +277 | +1 | -76 | -142 | +185 | 25.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 163 | 31 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 97 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 280 | 350 | 450 | 801 | 170 | 302 | 15 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +21 | +0 | -6 | -11 | +14 | 1.9 | |