Seiya Suzuki — OGILVIE

Seiya SuzukiRF Chicago Cubs

Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 182 lbs MLB Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION360 act + 258 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 138137vR 135

AVG/OBP/SLG.269 / .352 / .485

PA258

HR11

K%25

BB%10

BABIP329

ISO216

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

896.9%

xwOBA

820.345

POWER60

Barrel%

8313.1

Avg EV

7790.9

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE60

Chase%

9019.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1298 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

346

952

—

wRC+

142

131

◀L

wOBA

371

356

◀L

ISO

216

—

BABIP

300

334

▶R

21.7%

27.6%

◀◀L

BB%

13.9%

9.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$7M	+1.4	$11M	+$4M
2027	Arb-3	$18M	+3.5	$26M	+$10M
Totals		$25M		$37M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	104	22	2	14	42	110	4	9	5	262	339	433	772	171	326	25	9	330	111	+5	-0	-4	-5	+13	0.9
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	104	22	2	14	42	110	4	9	5	262	339	433	772	171	326	25	9	342	120	+10	-0	-4	-5	+13	1.4
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	598	528	148	30	6	20	60	132	2	6	7	280	356	473	829	193	333	22	10	358	132	+22	-2	-4	-6	+17	2.8
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	598	528	151	31	6	21	60	132	2	6	7	286	361	487	848	201	339	22	10	369	141	+27	-2	-4	-6	+17	3.3
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	143	26	6	20	63	160	6	16	6	279	365	471	836	191	366	27	11	363	136	+24	+1	-4	-6	+17	3.2
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	145	27	6	21	63	160	6	16	6	283	368	482	851	199	370	27	11	374	144	+29	+1	-4	-6	+17	3.7
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	138	30	3	31	71	164	1	5	2	242	327	468	794	226	279	25	11	342	120	+15	+0	-2	-7	+18	2.5
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	140	31	3	32	71	164	1	5	2	245	330	478	808	233	282	25	11	351	127	+20	+0	-2	-7	+18	3.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	CHC	—	360	317	87	16	0	15	36	92	3	1	0	274	354	467	821	192	336	26	10	352	127	+11	+0	-0	-4	+10	1.8
YTD	31	MLB	CHC	—	360	316	87	16	0	15	37	91	3	1	0	275	357	468	825	193	336	25	10	362	135	+14	+0	-0	-4	+10	2.1
ROS	31	MLB	CHC	100%	258	227	61	12	2	11	27	65	2	2	0	269	352	485	836	216	330	25	10	369	140	+12	+0	+0	-3	+7	1.7
ROS	31	MLB	CHC	100%	258	227	62	12	2	11	27	65	2	2	0	273	355	489	844	216	331	25	10	366	138	+11	+0	+0	-3	+7	1.7
FULL	31	MLB	CHC	—	618	544	149	28	2	26	63	157	5	3	0	274	355	476	831	202	336	25	10	358	132	+22	+1	+0	-7	+18	3.5
TOT	31	MLB	CHC	—	618	544	148	28	2	26	63	157	5	3	0	272	353	474	827	202	333	25	10	359	133	+23	+1	+0	-7	+18	3.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	CHC	100%	638	561	149	29	4	27	68	163	4	5	1	266	349	476	825	210	324	26	11	361	135	+25	+1	-3	-7	+18	3.4
2028	33	MLB	CHC	100%	550	484	125	24	3	23	58	143	3	3	1	258	341	463	804	205	317	26	11	352	128	+17	+0	-4	-6	+16	2.4
2029	34	MLB	CHC	100%	480	424	105	19	3	19	50	128	3	2	0	248	331	441	772	193	308	27	10	341	119	+10	+0	-5	-5	+14	1.5
2030	35	MLB	CHC	100%	424	375	88	15	2	16	44	116	2	1	0	235	318	413	732	179	298	27	10	329	110	+5	+0	-5	-5	+12	0.7
2027	32	MLB	CHC	100%	638	561	149	29	4	27	68	163	4	5	1	266	349	476	825	210	325	26	11	358	132	+23	+1	-3	-7	+18	3.3
2028	33	MLB	CHC	100%	550	484	125	24	3	23	58	143	3	3	1	258	341	463	804	205	319	26	11	350	126	+16	+0	-4	-6	+16	2.3
2029	34	MLB	CHC	100%	480	424	105	19	3	19	50	128	3	2	0	248	331	441	772	193	309	27	10	339	117	+9	+0	-5	-5	+14	1.4
2030	35	MLB	CHC	100%	424	375	89	16	2	16	44	116	2	1	0	237	321	419	739	181	299	27	10	326	108	+4	+0	-5	-5	+12	0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4615	4066	1066	211	31	183	482	1179	27	49	22	262	344	464	809	202	323	26	10	354	129	+150	+1	-30	-50	+131	20.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	150	30	4	26	68	166	4	7	3	262	345	464	809	202	321	26	10	354	129	+21	+0	-4	-7	+18	2.9
Career	—			—	4630	4079	1061	207	31	181	483	1181	27	49	22	260	342	459	802	199	320	26	10	350	126	+134	+1	-30	-50	+131	19.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	148	29	4	25	68	166	4	7	3	258	342	454	795	195	318	26	10	350	126	+19	+0	-4	-7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	104	22	2	14	42	110	4	9	5	262	339	433	772	171	326	25	9	342	120	+10	-0	-4	-5	+13	1.4
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	583	515	147	31	6	20	59	130	2	6	7	285	361	485	847	200	341	22	10	369	141	+27	-2	-4	-6	+17	3.2
2023	28	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	15	13	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	308	357	538	896	231	273	13	7	366	138	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	145	27	6	21	63	160	6	16	6	283	368	482	851	199	370	27	11	374	144	+29	+1	-4	-6	+17	3.7
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	140	31	3	32	71	164	1	5	2	245	330	478	808	233	282	25	11	351	127	+20	+0	-2	-7	+18	3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2265	1995	536	111	17	87	235	564	13	36	20	269	350	472	822	204	329	25	10	360	134	+86	-1	-13	-24	+64	11.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Pat Burrelllast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,520 PA	12	6,520	292	7	253	361	472	-61	-80	31.0	28.0
	/162	664	30	1	253	361	472	-6.3	-8.1	3.2	pk7: 25
#2Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	12	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
	/162	664	26	1	249	351	447	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,318	214	57	263	342	467	-57	-38	25.3	23.3
	/162	664	27	7	263	342	467	-7.1	-4.7	3.2	pk7: 21
#3Yasiel Puiglast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,376 PA	7	3,376	132	79	277	348	475	-36	-12	17.0	17.0
	/162	664	26	16	277	348	475	-7.1	-2.3	3.4	pk7: 17
#4Yoenis Cespedeslast yr '18 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,456 PA	7	3,456	163	43	274	328	498	-37	-13	16.8	16.8
	/162	664	31	8	274	328	498	-7.1	-2.4	3.2	pk7: 17
#5Phil Nevinlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,414 PA	7	3,414	157	15	280	352	486	-41	-33	16.3	16.3
#5Phil Nevinlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,414 PA	/162	664	31	3	280	352	486	-8.0	-6.5	3.2	pk7: 16
#6Tino Martinezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,276 PA	6	3,276	126	14	265	339	450	-37	-15	12.4	12.4
	/162	664	26	3	265	339	450	-7.4	-3.1	2.5	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seiya Suzuki (OGILVIE)	31	50	60	60	60	272/353/474	202	333	26	3	25%	10%	133	+3.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mitch Haniger 2021 · MLB	30	50→58	59→65	51→50	52	260/344/482	222	310	27	9	25%	10%	136	+4.2	249/318/466	217	288	30	3	25%	8%	121	+3.2	242/312/455	212	279	30	1	25%	8%	113	+1.8
✕Justin Bour 2019 · MLB	31	48→56	58→65	49→40	59	254/349/457	203	291	27	3	23%	13%	131	+3.9	227/321/426	199	272	26	5	26%	12%	112	+2.6	200/299/407	207	229	29	2	27%	12%	95	+0.6
●Michael Cuddyer 2010 · MLB	31	52→58	56→60	53→50	53	270/340/473	203	296	22	7	17%	9%	131	+3.9	267/331/441	174	297	18	9	16%	8%	119	+3.1	266/329/434	168	301	19	11	18%	8%	112	+2.2
●Hunter Pence 2014 · MLB	31	55→63	56→60	53→50	50	284/343/482	197	317	23	12	19%	8%	135	+4.2	287/343/477	190	331	22	11	19%	8%	134	+4.1	291/350/477	186	339	21	8	20%	8%	133	+3.2
✕Chris Taylor 2022 · MLB	31	54→62	55→60	54→55	51	265/349/460	195	344	21	12	28%	10%	132	+4.0	241/325/411	170	342	18	15	32%	10%	110	+2.4	228/316/385	158	331	17	17	33%	10%	96	+0.9
●Steve Pearce 2015 · MLB	32	51→56	58→60	49→50	54	267/349/476	209	298	25	8	20%	10%	137	+4.3	249/325/444	195	278	24	4	20%	9%	118	+3.0	260/345/451	192	286	24	0	18%	10%	125	+1.8
✕Wil Myers 2022 · MLB	31	53	58→65	46→55	50	266/340/479	213	341	26	11	29%	10%	133	+4.0	242/306/399	157	326	19	8	30%	8%	98	+1.6	228/287/360	131	312	17	5	31%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Steven Souza Jr. 2020 · MLB	31	46→56	55→60	54→55	53	237/330/431	194	301	22	14	28%	11%	117	+2.9	230/312/413	183	321	20	11	32%	10%	105	+2.1	217/304/413	196	303	22	9	34%	10%	99	+0.5
★Marcell Ozuna 2022 · MLB	31	49→59	60→65	48→45	56	261/343/475	214	292	29	6	22%	11%	134	+4.1	258/323/481	223	294	31	3	23%	9%	128	+3.6	269/361/502	233	313	32	0	24%	12%	144	+5.0
●Mark Canha 2021 · MLB	32	52→55	57→60	48→50	59	263/379/474	210	308	24	6	22%	13%	148	+5.1	254/365/412	158	298	16	9	19%	11%	128	+3.6	253/363/400	147	295	15	9	18%	10%	121	+3.0
✕Justin Upton 2019 · MLB	31	51→59	63→65	47→55	51	265/347/500	235	329	31	10	28%	10%	142	+4.6	237/324/452	215	291	30	6	28%	10%	120	+3.1	213/303/423	211	252	31	4	29%	11%	103	+0.9
★Josh Willingham 2011 · MLB	32	51→53	57→60	49→45	61	261/371/467	206	295	23	8	20%	13%	143	+4.7	250/353/474	224	293	28	5	24%	12%	137	+4.3	240/349/463	223	284	29	3	25%	12%	129	+3.4
✕Luke Voit 2022 · MLB	31	49→56	62→60	46→30	49	259/341/486	227	313	32	2	28%	9%	136	+4.2	228/314/415	187	311	24	4	33%	10%	107	+2.2	214/307/392	178	296	24	2	34%	10%	95	+1.0
★Jason Bay 2009 · MLB	30	52→60	58→65	53→50	57	271/360/483	212	312	26	8	22%	12%	142	+4.6	263/359/466	203	317	23	12	23%	12%	137	+4.3	257/358/446	189	312	21	13	23%	13%	127	+3.1
✕Corey Hart 2014 · MLB	32	52→56	61→65	48→55	48	274/339/505	230	317	28	7	23%	8%	140	+4.5	227/284/391	164	279	20	6	26%	6%	88	+0.9	205/258/351	147	249	19	3	26%	5%	61	-0.3
●Wilmer Flores 2022 · MLB	30	53→55	58→60	49→40	53	276/339/481	204	281	27	3	14%	8%	134	+4.1	258/334/451	193	273	24	2	15%	9%	124	+3.4	252/332/440	188	266	23	0	15%	9%	117	+2.1
✕Craig Wilson 2007 · MLB	30	51→53	56→60	50→40	46	258/340/457	199	336	24	5	29%	8%	128	+3.7	220/302/375	155	304	20	5	32%	8%	92	+1.2	187/277/320	133	262	18	3	34%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Kris Bryant 2022 · MLB	30	52→57	59→65	50	53	269/356/487	218	318	26	8	23%	10%	142	+4.6	238/319/387	149	287	17	5	22%	9%	102	+1.8	212/296/314	103	262	12	0	23%	9%	71	-0.1
●Mike Yastrzemski 2022 · MLB	31	48→51	63→65	48→50	51	256/338/505	249	299	30	6	25%	10%	139	+4.4	238/322/449	211	289	24	6	25%	10%	118	+3.0	239/329/444	204	284	23	5	23%	11%	115	+2.2
✕Jonny Gomes 2013 · MLB	32	48→52	57→60	46→50	53	248/347/444	196	311	26	8	28%	11%	128	+3.6	239/338/399	160	310	20	4	27%	11%	112	+2.6	228/329/365	137	299	17	1	27%	11%	95	+0.7