Seiya Suzuki — OGILVIE

Seiya SuzukiRF Chicago Cubs

Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 182 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION596 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 138135vR 124

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP314

ISO222

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.0%

xAVG

470.249

POWER60

Barrel%

8213.0

Avg EV

7190.5

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE60

Chase%

9016.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%21%▲▲19% over 123 PA (30d) · proj 24%

BB%15%▲▲18% over 123 PA (30d) · proj 12%

ISO.227·.232 over 194 AB (60d) · proj .222xISO .180 vs .230 prior

HR/BB6.7%·6.2% over 144 BBE (60d) · proj 7.2%barrel% 10.5% vs 14.2% prior

BABIP.316·.326 over 135 BIP (60d) · proj .314xBABIP .288 vs .323 prior

SLASH.275/.385/.502▲▲proj .264/.353/.486

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1298 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

346

952

—

wRC+

137

127

◀L

wOBA

371

356

◀L

ISO

216

—

BABIP

300

334

▶R

21.7%

27.6%

◀◀L

BB%

13.9%

9.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+0.3	$1M	-$0.3M
2027	Arb-3	$20M	+3.3	$29M	+$11M
Totals		$21M		$30M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	104	22	2	14	42	110	4	9	5	262	339	433	772	171	326	25	9	342	118	+9	-0	-4	-5	+10	1.0
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	583	515	147	31	6	20	59	130	2	6	7	285	361	485	847	200	341	22	10	369	136	+25	-2	-4	-6	+13	2.7
2023	28	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	15	13	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	308	357	538	896	231	273	13	7	366	134	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	145	27	6	21	63	160	6	16	6	283	368	482	851	199	370	27	11	374	139	+27	+1	-4	-6	+13	3.1
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	140	31	3	32	71	164	1	5	2	245	330	478	808	233	282	25	11	351	124	+18	+0	-2	-7	+14	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2265	1995	536	111	17	87	235	564	13	36	20	269	350	472	822	204	329	25	10	360	130	+80	-1	-13	-24	+49	9.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	105	22	2	15	42	110	4	9	5	264	341	443	784	179	326	25	9	334	112	+7	-0	-4	-5	+10	0.7
2023	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	583	515	147	31	5	21	59	130	2	6	7	285	361	487	848	202	341	22	10	361	131	+21	-2	-4	-6	+13	2.3
2023	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	15	13	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	308	357	538	896	231	243	13	7	333	112	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	145	27	5	22	63	160	6	16	6	283	368	484	853	201	370	27	11	366	134	+24	+1	-4	-6	+13	2.8
2025	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	141	31	3	33	71	164	1	5	2	247	331	485	816	238	282	25	11	348	122	+17	+0	-2	-7	+14	2.3
2022	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	105	22	2	15	42	110	4	9	5	264	341	443	784	179	327	25	9	334	112	+7	-0	-4	-5	+10	0.7
2022	27	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	104	22	2	14	42	110	4	9	5	262	339	433	772	171	326	25	9	342	112	+7	-0	-4	-5	+10	0.7
2023	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	598	528	151	31	5	22	60	132	2	6	7	286	361	489	850	203	338	22	10	360	130	+21	-2	-4	-6	+13	2.3
2023	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	598	528	151	31	6	21	60	132	2	6	7	286	361	487	848	201	339	22	10	369	130	+21	-2	-4	-6	+13	2.3
2024	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	145	27	5	22	63	160	6	16	6	283	368	484	853	201	368	27	11	366	134	+24	+1	-4	-6	+13	2.8
2024	29	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	585	512	145	27	6	21	63	160	6	16	6	283	368	482	851	199	370	27	11	374	134	+24	+1	-4	-6	+13	2.8
2025	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	141	31	3	33	71	164	1	5	2	247	331	485	816	238	283	25	11	348	122	+17	+0	-2	-7	+14	2.3
2025	30	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	651	571	140	31	3	32	71	164	1	5	2	245	330	478	808	233	282	25	11	351	122	+17	+0	-2	-7	+14	2.3
2022	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	446	397	105	22	2	15	42	110	4	9	5	264	341	443	784	179	326	25	9	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	598	531	151	31	5	22	60	132	2	6	7	284	361	486	847	202	339	22	10	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	585	511	145	27	5	22	63	160	6	16	6	284	368	485	854	202	370	27	11	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	651	574	141	31	3	33	71	164	1	5	2	246	331	483	814	237	282	25	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	598	531	151	31	5	22	60	132	2	6	7	284	361	486	847	202	339	22	10	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	585	511	145	27	5	22	63	160	6	16	6	284	368	485	854	202	370	27	11	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	651	574	141	31	3	33	71	164	1	5	2	246	331	483	814	237	282	25	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	31	MLB MLE	CHC	—	596	511	141	32	1	25	77	142	4	3	0	276	375	489	864	213	333	24	13	371	137	+26	+1	-0	-6	+13	3.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	CHC	—	579	496	134	30	1	24	76	138	4	3	0	270	372	480	851	210	326	24	13	376	137	+25	+1	-0	-6	+13	3.3
YTD	31	AA RAW	CHC	—	17	14	6	2	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	429	500	571	1.071	143	500	18	12	446	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	31	MLB RAW	CHC	—	579	496	134	30	1	24	76	138	4	3	0	270	372	480	851	210	326	24	13	376	140	+28	+1	-0	-6	+13	3.5
ROS	31	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		312	22	11	368	135	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		314	22	11	362	135	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	31	MLB A+C	CHC	—	588	504	135	30	1	24	77	140	4	3	0	268	369	474	843	206	324	24	13	376	137	+26	+1	-0	-6	+13	3.3
TOT	31	MLB MLE	CHC	—	605	519	142	32	1	25	78	144	4	3	0	274	373	484	856	210	331	24	13	371	137	+27	+1	-0	-6	+13	3.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	638	550	147	30	4	27	79	156	4	4	1	267	363	484	847	216	322	24	12	371	137	+28	+0	-3	-7	+14	3.3
2028	33	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	551	475	123	24	3	23	68	138	3	3	0	259	355	467	823	208	315	25	12	362	131	+20	+1	-4	-6	+12	2.4
2029	34	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	480	415	104	20	3	19	59	123	3	2	0	251	348	451	799	200	306	26	12	351	124	+13	+0	-4	-5	+10	1.5
2030	35	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	424	367	88	16	2	16	52	112	2	1	0	240	337	425	762	185	296	26	12	338	115	+8	+0	-5	-5	+9	0.7
2031	36	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	364	315	72	12	2	13	44	99	2	1	0	229	327	403	730	175	286	27	12	325	106	+3	+0	-6	-4	+8	0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	638	550	146	30	4	26	79	156	4	4	1	265	362	476	838	211	324	24	12	365	137	+28	+0	-3	-7	+14	3.3
2028	33	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	551	475	123	24	4	22	68	138	3	3	0	259	355	465	821	206	317	25	12	357	131	+20	+1	-4	-6	+12	2.4
2029	34	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	480	415	103	20	3	18	59	123	3	2	0	248	346	441	787	193	308	26	12	346	124	+13	+0	-4	-5	+10	1.5
2030	35	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	424	367	88	16	3	15	52	112	2	1	0	240	337	422	760	183	298	26	12	334	115	+8	+0	-5	-5	+9	0.7
2031	36	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	364	315	72	13	2	12	44	99	2	1	0	229	327	397	724	168	288	27	12	321	106	+3	+0	-6	-4	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4731	4125	1069	214	33	180	538	1194	27	47	21	259	348	458	806	199	319	25	11	353	125	+153	+1	-35	-51	+103	17.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	147	29	5	25	74	164	4	6	3	259	349	460	810	201	319	25	11	353	125	+21	+0	-5	-7	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4746	4138	1077	213	29	190	539	1196	27	47	21	260	349	464	813	203	318	25	11	353	125	+153	+1	-35	-51	+103	17.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	147	29	4	26	74	164	4	6	3	259	349	462	811	203	317	25	11	353	125	+21	+0	-5	-7	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Edwin Encarnaciónlast yr '20 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,126 PA	12.2	8,126	424	61	260	350	496	-77	-92	42.0	34.4
/162	664	35	5	-6.3	-7.5	3.4	pk7: 27
#2José Bautistalast yr '18 ASGG×4SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,213 PA	10.9	7,213	344	69	248	362	476	-56	-94	36.0	34.1
/162	664	32	6	-5.1	-8.6	3.3	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	8.9	5,926	237	58	262	349	467	-63	-42	29.4	26.7
/162	664	27	7	-7.1	-4.7	3.3	pk7: 24
#3Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	9.5	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
/162	664	26	1	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#4Josh Willinghamlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,559 PA	6.9	4,559	194	35	253	358	467	-49	-71	18.8	18.0
/162	664	28	5	-7.1	-10.4	2.7	pk7: 17
#5Yasiel Puiglast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,376 PA	5.1	3,376	132	79	277	348	475	-36	-12	17.1	17.1
/162	664	26	16	-7.1	-2.3	3.4	pk7: 17
#6Yoenis Cespedeslast yr '18 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,456 PA	5.2	3,456	163	43	274	328	498	-37	-13	16.8	16.8
/162	664	31	8	-7.1	-2.4	3.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seiya Suzuki (OGILVIE)	31	50	60	60	60	260/357/475	215	312	27	5	24%	12%	135	+4.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mitch Haniger 2021 · MLB	30	49→57	59→65	51→50	52	258/342/475	217	307	26	9	25%	10%	130	+3.5	247/316/459	212	287	30	3	25%	8%	117	+2.6	240/309/448	208	276	30	1	25%	8%	109	+1.4
●Mark Canha 2021 · MLB	32	51→56	58→60	48→50	59	264/380/480	216	306	25	6	22%	13%	144	+4.5	255/366/415	160	298	17	9	19%	11%	125	+3.2	254/364/401	147	296	15	9	18%	10%	119	+2.5
●Josh Willingham 2011 · MLB	32	51→53	57→65	50→45	61	262/372/469	207	296	23	8	20%	13%	139	+4.1	251/354/478	227	294	29	5	24%	12%	135	+3.8	240/349/467	227	284	29	3	25%	12%	126	+3.0
●Manny Machado 2023 · MLB	31	55→58	60→65	50	54	289/357/510	221	316	28	10	19%	10%	143	+4.4	273/333/473	200	303	27	8	19%	8%	126	+3.2	269/328/460	191	296	26	9	19%	8%	117	+2.7
✕Jason Bay 2010 · MLB	31	51→60	62→65	52→50	59	269/368/505	236	312	29	10	23%	13%	145	+4.6	252/342/423	171	309	19	13	23%	11%	117	+2.6	237/323/373	136	294	14	14	23%	11%	95	+0.6
✕Justin Bour 2019 · MLB	31	48→56	58→65	49→40	59	253/348/454	201	291	27	3	23%	13%	126	+3.2	226/320/421	195	272	26	5	26%	12%	109	+2.0	199/296/401	202	230	28	2	28%	11%	93	+0.4
✕Justin Upton 2019 · MLB	31	50→59	61→65	47→55	51	261/343/486	225	325	30	10	28%	10%	132	+3.7	234/321/439	205	290	28	6	28%	10%	114	+2.4	209/300/410	201	250	29	4	29%	10%	98	+0.5
●Michael Cuddyer 2010 · MLB	31	52→62	56→60	53→50	53	270/340/473	203	296	22	7	17%	9%	128	+3.3	270/334/447	177	300	19	9	16%	8%	120	+2.8	281/344/463	182	318	20	11	18%	8%	123	+2.5
★Marcell Ozuna 2022 · MLB	31	49→59	61→65	48→45	56	262/344/480	218	293	29	6	22%	11%	131	+3.6	258/323/481	223	294	31	3	23%	9%	124	+3.1	269/361/502	233	313	32	0	24%	12%	139	+4.3
✕Mike Yastrzemski 2022 · MLB	31	47→50	63→65	48→50	51	253/335/500	247	294	30	6	25%	10%	132	+3.7	234/320/444	210	284	24	6	25%	10%	114	+2.4	236/326/439	203	279	23	5	23%	11%	111	+1.7
●Marcus Semien 2022 · MLB	31	49→56	64→65	52→50	54	266/338/514	248	279	32	11	19%	10%	137	+4.0	253/320/443	190	272	23	14	17%	9%	114	+2.3	248/317/417	169	266	20	13	15%	9%	103	+1.9
●Steve Pearce 2015 · MLB	32	52→56	57→60	49→50	54	268/349/472	204	300	24	8	20%	10%	131	+3.6	250/326/443	193	280	24	4	20%	9%	116	+2.5	262/347/455	193	290	24	0	18%	10%	123	+1.6
✕Luke Voit 2022 · MLB	31	49→54	62→60	46→30	49	259/341/485	226	313	32	2	28%	9%	132	+3.6	227/312/408	181	309	24	4	32%	10%	103	+1.6	212/304/383	171	292	23	2	33%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Corey Hart 2014 · MLB	32	52→56	59→65	48→55	48	269/334/486	217	313	26	7	23%	8%	129	+3.4	224/282/382	158	276	19	6	26%	6%	86	+0.3	202/256/341	139	247	18	3	26%	5%	63	-0.5
●Hunter Pence 2014 · MLB	31	55→63	56→60	53→50	50	281/340/476	195	313	23	12	19%	8%	129	+3.4	283/340/471	188	326	22	11	19%	8%	127	+3.3	286/345/470	184	333	21	8	20%	8%	126	+2.5
✕C.J. Cron 2022 · MLB	32	49→52	60→65	47→40	53	258/346/479	221	291	28	3	22%	10%	132	+3.7	248/312/438	190	295	25	2	24%	8%	110	+2.1	241/299/426	184	288	25	0	25%	7%	99	+0.9
✕Kris Bryant 2022 · MLB	30	52→58	59→65	50	53	267/355/487	220	315	26	8	23%	10%	137	+4.0	247/328/405	158	297	18	5	22%	9%	108	+1.9	231/313/348	117	285	14	0	23%	9%	90	+0.2
●Mike Napoli 2013 · MLB	31	47→56	65	46→50	56	256/354/505	249	296	34	5	26%	12%	141	+4.3	247/351/452	205	322	25	4	28%	13%	127	+3.3	239/348/432	193	312	23	3	28%	13%	116	+2.2
●Wilmer Flores 2022 · MLB	30	52→55	58→60	49→40	53	274/336/478	204	278	27	3	14%	8%	128	+3.4	254/331/445	191	268	24	2	15%	9%	119	+2.7	248/328/433	185	261	23	0	15%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Craig Wilson 2007 · MLB	30	51→53	56→60	50→40	46	258/339/456	198	335	23	5	29%	8%	124	+3.1	220/302/374	154	304	19	5	32%	8%	93	+0.8	187/277/319	132	261	18	3	34%	7%	68	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps