Huascar Ynoa
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION15 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.53
FIP4.41
xFIP4.74
SIERA5.05
K%23.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%14.1%
IP16
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
FB Velo
p7896.5
Whiff%
p7228.8%
K%
p7526.9%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
CH-0.5
FB-1.7
SL-2.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 14 | 14 | 57 | 245 | 47 | 30 | 1 | 13.0% | 15.3% | 0.6% | 2.70 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | 11 | 11 | 51 | 210 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 16.5% | 7.1% | 0.7% | 3.18 | 2.98 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Danville Braves | 13 | 13 | 51 | 236 | 50 | 29 | 2 | 14.4% | 15.4% | 1.2% | 5.26 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 24 | 24 | 116 | 508 | 131 | 54 | 8 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 17 | 100 | 460 | 113 | 46 | 17 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 5.47 | 5.44 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 9 | 5 | 22 | 100 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 17.0% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 5.82 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 21 | 20 | 101 | 425 | 113 | 29 | 15 | 26.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.53 | 3.71 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 20 | 19 | 84 | 374 | 95 | 41 | 16 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 6.30 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 14 | 7 | 30 | 129 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 16.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 6.37 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 5 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3.8% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 10.38 | 6.19 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 18 | 5 | 35 | 188 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 1.8% | 9.42 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 16 | — | 16 | 65 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 23.9% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 51 | 253 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 16.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 7.93 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 177 | 135 | 652 | 2901 | 558 | 328 | 85 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 4.52 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 41 | 200 | 889 | 171 | 101 | 26 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Huascar Ynoa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.9% | 9.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.57 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.89 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .302 | 3.31 | 29.4% | 20.4% | 289 | -0.58 | 2.88 | 533 | 83 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.92 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.71 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 142 | +0.79 | 3.92 | 277 | 77 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.11 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .330 | 5.14 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 62 | +1.03 | 3.49 | 355 | 76 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.05 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | .285 | 4.43 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 438 | -0.62 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 76 |
| Andrew Cashner R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.77 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.61 | 15.0% | 5.7% | 452 | +0.84 | 3.77 | 786 | 74 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.42 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 4.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 509 | 74 |
| Jhoulys Chacín R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.79 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.22 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 476 | +0.43 | 3.79 | 887 | 73 |
| Nate Long R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 73 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2029 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 72 |
| Matt Garza R 2029 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 72 |
| Manny Barreda R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.88 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .275 | 5.15 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 104 | +1.27 | 3.19 | 376 | 72 |
| Miguel González R 2029 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 71 |
| Chris Tillman R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.95 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .277 | 6.04 | 12.2% | 0.4% | 144 | +2.09 | 3.95 | 489 | 71 |
| Charlie Morton R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .302 | 3.11 | 27.7% | 18.9% | 331 | -0.44 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 71 |
| Manuel Flores R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.14 | 13.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .317 | 3.61 | 14.4% | 9.2% | 263 | -0.53 | 3.55 | 515 | 70 |
| Juan Carlos Sulbaran R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.61 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.61 | 278 | 70 |
| Jake Odorizzi R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.90 | 22.8% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .284 | 3.67 | 24.3% | 16.6% | 277 | -0.23 | 3.16 | 1,048 | 70 |
| JC Ramírez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.58 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .287 | 5.37 | 12.2% | 2.1% | 41 | +0.79 | 3.73 | 369 | 70 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | .293 | 4.91 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 469 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 864 | 70 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,073 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.