Riley Adams

C Rochester Red Wings

Age 31 R/R 6'4" / 263 lbs AAA Svc 3.994 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	28	MLBWSH	130	.224/.297/.336	2	1	76	0.2
2025	29	MLBWSH	286	.186/.252/.308	8	1	59	-0.3
2026	30	AAAWSH	324	.273/.390/.506	16	1	92	—	.222/.316/.380
2027PROJ10% MLB	31	MLBWSH	34	.220/.299/.376	1	0	91	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	32	MLBWSH	98	.214/.293/.362	3	0	85	-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	33	MLBWSH	121	.207/.284/.345	4	0	78	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.994First FA2030

2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$3M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Bat Spd90

Avg EV75

Barrel%50

Chase%32

Speed32

xwOBA26

CompsAnthony Recker (age 31) · Eric Haase (age 31) · Brian O'Keefe (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9291vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .299 / .376

PA34

HR1

K%29

BB%9

BABIP285

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2613.7%

xAVG

100.215

POWER50

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

9078.3

EYE45

Chase%

3235.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 416 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

152

264

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

238

274

▶R

ISO

110

124

▶R

BABIP

241

311

▶▶R

35.5%

34.5%

—

BB%

6.6%

6.4%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.994 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	349	86	26	1	4	50	93	8	3	0	246	354	361	715	115	323	23	12	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	287	74	15	2	11	32	105	10	3	1	258	353	439	792	181	362	32	10	351	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	83	65	18	3	0	3	14	18	4	1	0	277	434	462	895	185	341	22	17	406	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	120	99	22	8	1	2	15	40	6	0	0	222	358	384	742	162	351	33	12	341	118	+3	+0	-5	+5	+3	0.5
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	148	120	28	6	1	7	18	46	9	0	0	233	374	475	849	242	309	31	12	377	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	155	142	25	4	0	5	12	46	1	0	1	176	245	310	555	134	220	30	8	252	57	-8	-0	-6	+5	+3	-0.6
2022	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	123	107	24	8	0	4	11	41	4	0	0	224	320	411	731	187	317	33	9	326	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	351	126	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2024	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	130	116	26	5	1	2	10	35	2	1	0	224	297	336	633	112	296	27	8	284	76	-4	+0	-2	+5	+3	0.2
2024	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	170	144	41	8	0	9	16	44	8	1	0	285	385	528	912	243	348	26	9	399	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	255	59	-14	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2026	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	324	271	74	15	0	16	41	80	11	1	1	273	390	506	896	232	330	25	13	396	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	849	763	161	38	4	21	66	276	16	2	1	211	288	354	641	143	299	33	8	289	82	-18	+0	-18	+23	+18	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	363	72	23	1	3	36	135	8	3	0	198	285	292	577	94	300	33	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	295	63	11	2	10	24	127	10	3	1	214	295	366	661	153	323	38	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	83	68	15	3	0	2	11	26	4	1	0	221	361	353	714	132	304	31	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	120	99	22	8	1	2	15	40	6	0	0	222	358	384	742	162	351	33	12	342	118	+3	+0	-5	+5	+3	0.5
2021	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	148	125	24	5	1	5	13	56	9	0	0	192	313	368	681	176	277	38	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	155	142	25	4	0	5	12	46	1	0	1	176	245	310	555	134	220	30	8	252	57	-8	-0	-6	+5	+3	-0.6
2022	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	123	111	21	7	0	3	7	47	4	0	0	189	262	333	596	144	298	38	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	354	126	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2024	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	130	117	26	5	1	2	9	35	2	1	0	222	289	333	622	111	296	27	7	281	76	-4	+0	-2	+5	+3	0.2
2024	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	170	150	34	7	0	6	11	55	8	1	0	227	314	393	707	167	304	32	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	255	59	-14	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2026	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	324	284	63	12	0	11	28	96	11	1	1	222	316	380	696	158	287	30	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	363	72	23	1	3	36	135	8	3	0	198	285	292	577	94	304	33	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	349	86	26	1	4	50	93	8	3	0	246	354	361	715	115	323	23	12	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	78	14	2	12	34	154	14	4	1	214	306	363	668	148	328	37	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	415	352	92	18	2	14	46	123	14	4	1	261	369	443	812	182	358	30	11	362	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	268	224	46	13	2	7	28	96	15	0	0	205	333	375	708	170	320	36	10	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	268	219	50	14	2	9	33	86	15	0	0	228	367	434	801	205	328	32	12	360	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	278	253	46	11	0	8	19	93	5	0	1	182	253	320	573	138	248	33	7	259	61	-13	-0	-6	+5	+6	-0.8
2022	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	278	249	49	12	0	9	23	87	5	0	1	197	278	353	631	157	260	31	8	285	61	-13	-0	-6	+5	+6	-0.8
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	354	126	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2023	27	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	351	126	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	300	267	60	12	1	8	20	90	10	2	0	225	303	367	670	142	302	30	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	300	260	67	13	1	11	26	79	10	2	0	258	347	442	789	185	324	26	9	349	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	255	59	-14	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2025	29	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	255	59	-14	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2026	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	324	284	63	12	0	11	28	96	11	1	1	222	316	380	696	158	292	30	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	324	271	74	15	0	16	41	80	11	1	1	273	390	506	896	232	330	25	13	396	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	362	72	23	1	3	36	135	8	3	0	199	285	293	578	94	300	33	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	78	14	2	12	34	154	14	4	1	214	306	363	668	148	319	37	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	268	223	46	13	2	7	28	96	15	0	0	206	333	377	710	170	310	36	10	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	278	252	46	11	0	8	19	93	5	0	1	183	253	321	574	139	254	33	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	144	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	271	333	472	806	201	368	28	7	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	300	267	60	12	1	8	20	90	10	2	0	225	303	367	670	142	301	30	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	261	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	188	252	310	562	123	283	38	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	324	282	63	12	0	11	28	96	11	1	1	223	316	383	699	160	287	30	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	300	267	60	12	1	8	20	90	10	2	0	225	303	367	670	142	301	30	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	261	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	188	252	310	562	123	283	38	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	324	282	63	12	0	11	28	96	11	1	1	223	316	383	699	160	287	30	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	31	MLB MLE	WSH	10%	339	302	66	12	1	11	26	99	8	2	1	220	299	376	676	156	285	29	8	303	91	-4	+0	-5	+6	+7	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	31	MLB CTX	WSH	10%	34	30	6	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	220	299	376	676	156	285	29	9	303	91	-0	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	WSH	33%	301	268	58	11	1	9	23	89	7	0	0	214	292	362	655	148	279	30	8	294	85	-5	+0	-8	+5	+7	-0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	WSH	46%	264	236	49	9	0	8	20	80	6	0	0	207	284	345	629	138	272	30	8	284	78	-7	+0	-8	+5	+6	-0.5
2028	32	MLB CTX	WSH	33%	98	89	18	3	0	3	7	29	2	0	0	214	293	362	655	148	280	30	7	294	85	-2	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	WSH	46%	121	108	23	4	0	4	9	37	3	0	0	207	284	345	630	138	273	31	7	284	78	-3	+0	-4	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1068	960	202	45	4	28	82	342	21	2	1	210	287	353	640	143	293	32	8	289	82	-23	+0	-24	+27	+23	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	122	27	2	17	50	208	13	1	1	209	286	349	635	140	291	32	8	289	82	-14	+0	-15	+16	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3342	2967	626	138	10	89	263	1087	91	13	4	211	295	354	649	143	297	33	8	289	82	-34	+0	-40	+39	+38	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	122	27	2	17	51	211	18	3	1	211	296	354	649	142	298	32	8	289	82	-13	+0	-15	+15	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#2Gerald Lairdlast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	37	21	244	305	354	+48	-40	3.7	5.4
/162	664	9	5	+11.9	-9.8	0.9	pk7: 7
#3Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	3.1	2,047	34	1	218*	292*	337*	+35	-0	2.6	3.3
/162	664	11	0	+11.4	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Tom Needham'04-'14 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,651 PA	2.5	1,651	8	20	209*	278*	339*	+28	-1	2.6	3.0
/162	664	3	8	+11.2	-0.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lew Ritter'02-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,580 PA	2.4	1,580	1	55	218*	275*	335*	+26	-1	2.8	2.8
/162	664	0	23	+10.8	-0.4	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	1.7	1,102	29	2	213	286	357	+20	-21	2.5	2.6
/162	664	17	1	+11.9	-12.9	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Riley Adams (OGILVIE)	31	40	50	45	45	218/297/373	155	285	11	2	29%	8%	91	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Recker 2015 · MLB	31	41→48	52→50	42→45	42	216/275/381	165	287	21	5	32%	7%	84	+0.1	204/276/349	145	275	17	5	31%	8%	76	-0.4	193/262/327	134	259	15	2	30%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Eric Haase 2024 · MLB	31	44→42	50→65	48→40	42	227/277/378	151	289	19	6	28%	6%	83	+0.1	224/281/371	147	317	19	5	34%	7%	83	+0.1	213/275/368	155	309	22	1	37%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Brian O'Keefe 2024 · MLB	31	39→42	50	41→40	43	205/263/360	156	263	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.5	196/254/337	141	249	17	5	28%	7%	65	-1.2	174/231/302	128	216	17	3	28%	7%	46	-0.9
✕John Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	45→52	53→55	43→50	40	236/278/404	168	304	22	5	30%	6%	90	+0.6	217/257/382	165	292	20	13	32%	5%	77	-0.3	197/238/348	151	267	18	16	33%	4%	59	-0.8
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	38	208/269/350	142	268	18	6	30%	5%	74	-0.5	213/278/331	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	73	-0.6	163/234/229	66	238	8	0	33%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Jacob Wilson 2021 · AAA	31	46→48	50	46→40	48	237/300/395	158	283	18	6	23%	8%	96	+1.0	220/286/390	170	267	19	6	25%	7%	90	+0.6	195/265/376	181	225	20	0	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Jonathan Aceves 2009 · AAA	31	45	50	48→30	43	232/287/385	152	281	18	5	24%	6%	88	+0.5	215/260/340	125	266	14	4	24%	5%	68	-1.0	228/295/332	104	273	11	1	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2015 · MLB	31	44→48	51→55	44→50	48	227/295/393	167	269	18	5	23%	8%	93	+0.8	214/281/366	152	263	16	7	25%	8%	82	-0.0	161/216/284	123	202	11	4	26%	6%	38	-0.8
✕Tim Federowicz 2019 · MLB	31	46→51	47→50	49→40	43	232/282/367	136	297	14	5	27%	6%	82	-0.0	205/258/332	127	273	15	6	29%	7%	65	-1.2	160/212/265	105	214	15	2	32%	6%	31	-1.5
✕Taylor Motter 2022 · MLB	32	42→49	52→50	47→55	51	220/299/386	166	266	19	4	25%	10%	93	+0.8	208/277/361	153	266	18	8	28%	9%	80	-0.2	185/254/326	141	236	18	8	29%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	40→38	49→50	45	46	208/290/361	153	270	17	5	29%	8%	85	+0.2	192/269/357	165	248	20	6	31%	7%	76	-0.4	145/226/306	160	173	21	1	31%	7%	48	-0.8
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	39→49	53→55	47→30	42	208/273/379	171	290	22	3	35%	8%	82	+0.0	201/273/351	150	292	18	6	36%	8%	76	-0.4	152/235/284	132	216	17	0	37%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Tom Murphy 2022 · MLB	31	44→38	55→65	47→45	51	230/315/408	179	296	24	4	30%	11%	105	+1.7	247/326/430	183	325	22	5	29%	10%	114	+2.3	287/337/536	249	358	31	0	28%	6%	143	+1.2
✕Brandon Larson 2007 · MLB	31	43→40	50	44→45	41	223/276/375	152	289	19	6	30%	6%	82	+0.0	221/266/362	141	276	17	8	26%	5%	75	-0.5	199/230/325	126	230	17	4	23%	4%	51	-0.8
✕Ryan Casteel 2022 · AAA	31	39→49	50→55	47→40	39	206/260/354	148	280	19	4	33%	6%	72	-0.7	200/255/356	156	271	21	5	33%	6%	70	-0.8	164/225/339	176	190	26	0	31%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Kelly Stinnett 2001 · MLB	31	44	49→50	42→40	46	227/290/369	142	262	18	4	21%	6%	86	+0.3	239/307/398	159	296	19	6	25%	8%	99	+1.3	236/306/391	155	302	17	5	26%	7%	98	+0.3
✕Taylor Teagarden 2015 · MLB	31	41→49	54→55	43→30	41	219/279/391	172	298	24	4	34%	8%	87	+0.4	233/291/368	135	351	15	6	35%	7%	86	+0.3	237/291/339	102	381	10	0	38%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Chad Wallach 2022 · MLB	30	39→49	49→50	47→40	43	202/275/344	143	280	17	4	33%	8%	75	-0.5	196/262/326	130	271	15	5	32%	7%	66	-1.1	191/254/323	133	259	17	2	33%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Curt Casali 2020 · MLB	31	49	48→50	40→30	48	244/309/380	137	296	16	3	23%	8%	95	+1.0	230/320/392	162	298	19	5	28%	10%	103	+1.5	207/312/292	85	276	8	0	25%	11%	77	-0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	50→49	47→50	49→45	46	248/306/380	132	316	14	5	26%	7%	94	+0.9	224/280/354	130	280	14	11	25%	7%	78	-0.3	192/244/301	110	234	13	13	24%	6%	49	-1.1

Riley Adams

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps