Adbert Alzolay
P
Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 208 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION22 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.18
FIP4.36
xFIP4.88
SIERA4.42
K%23.8%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%15.6%
IP23
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p3322.9%
K%
p1617.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.390
SI (24%)
CT (8%)
FB-1.2 (44%)
SL-3.4 (48%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | A | South Bend Cubs | 22 | 20 | 120 | 498 | 81 | 28 | 9 | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 4.34 | 4.22 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 22 | 22 | 114 | 463 | 108 | 34 | 8 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 2.99 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 8 | 8 | 40 | 171 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 13.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 20 | 18 | 82 | 362 | 107 | 40 | 15 | 27.2% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 5.18 | 4.49 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 6 | 4 | 21 | 87 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 33.3% | 14.9% | 1.1% | 2.95 | 2.79 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 22 | 128 | 530 | 131 | 33 | 26 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.79 | 4.38 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 11 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 36.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 4.56 | 1.53 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 58 | 0 | 64 | 253 | 67 | 13 | 5 | 26.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.67 | 2.57 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 21 | 1 | 20 | 90 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.31 | 6.93 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 3.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | NYM | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 23.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 4.18 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 29 | 125 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 3.96 | 3.17 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 23.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 4.44 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 206 | 100 | 623 | 2599 | 556 | 201 | 85 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 4.07 | +9.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 32 | 200 | 834 | 178 | 65 | 27 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adbert Alzolay (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | — | 4.61 | 23.0% | 14.4% | 20 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 81 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 79 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.25 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .297 | 2.38 | 34.6% | 26.8% | 138 | -0.87 | 1.99 | 494 | 79 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 78 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 77 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 77 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 76 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.26 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .207 | 4.46 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 17 | +1.20 | 2.39 | 332 | 76 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 76 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 76 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.79 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.38 | 3.40 | 295 | 76 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.62 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .321 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 4.6% | 23 | +1.12 | 2.86 | 249 | 75 |
| Joe Kelly R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.45 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .312 | 2.75 | 29.2% | 18.8% | 81 | -0.70 | 2.48 | 556 | 75 |
| Aaron Barrett R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.66 | 23.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .246 | 4.50 | 19.9% | 6.4% | 38 | +0.84 | 1.86 | 119 | 75 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 75 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 73 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.21 | 22.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 333 | 73 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.90 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .327 | 2.55 | 21.2% | 16.5% | 23 | -1.35 | 2.37 | 354 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.