Duane Underwood Jr.
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION21 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.67
FIP4.64
xFIP4.89
SIERA5.26
K%22.0%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.3%
IP22
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p1320.1%
K%
p1014.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.385
CT+4.9
FB-0.5
CH-0.7
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 16 | 16 | 78 | 306 | 54 | 24 | 6 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 2.41 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 18 | 18 | 73 | 330 | 62 | 35 | 7 | 13.6% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 24 | 138 | 585 | 98 | 50 | 13 | 13.6% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.43 | 5.06 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 28 | 21 | 123 | 528 | 108 | 39 | 9 | 18.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 4.45 | 3.64 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 45 | 10 | 93 | 420 | 108 | 42 | 10 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 2.4% | 5.11 | 3.78 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 17 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 30.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.66 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 43 | 0 | 73 | 320 | 65 | 26 | 9 | 20.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.97 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 57 | 3 | 65 | 292 | 64 | 28 | 1 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 0.4% | 4.02 | 2.63 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 35 | 1 | 44 | 189 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 5.68 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 32 | 2 | 39 | 171 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 20.6% | 14.7% | 3.5% | 3.26 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 22 | — | 22 | 92 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 22.0% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 316 | 95 | 747 | 3229 | 572 | 309 | 87 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +9.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 25 | 200 | 864 | 153 | 83 | 23 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Duane Underwood Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 22.0% | 10.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.91 | 21.2% | 10.0% | 20 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Cashner R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.44 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 786 | 78 |
| Nate Long R 2023 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 78 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 577 | 72 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 277 | 71 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.69 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 5.63 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 74 | +0.94 | 4.69 | 261 | 71 |
| Nestor Molina R 2024 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.12 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 401 | 69 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.14 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .315 | 5.02 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.88 | 3.67 | 469 | 69 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.03 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .283 | 4.89 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 279 | +0.86 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 68 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .260 | 4.11 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 180 | -0.76 | 2.49 | 433 | 68 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.07 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | .313 | 4.18 | 21.5% | 14.8% | 424 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 869 | 66 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.90 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 11.5% | 416 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 918 | 66 |
| Cory Riordan R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 66 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.60 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | .253 | 4.27 | 22.7% | 15.9% | 197 | -1.33 | 2.87 | 864 | 65 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.94 | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 219 | 64 |
| Jake Peavy R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 64 |
| Félix Hernández R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.93 | 18.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | .278 | 5.62 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 72 | +0.69 | 3.65 | 682 | 63 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 63 |
| Marco Estrada R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 62 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.13 | 13.6% | 6.6% | 68 | +0.22 | 4.91 | 225 | 62 |
| James Shields R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.36 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | .292 | 5.12 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 517 | +0.76 | 4.36 | 720 | 61 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.