Jake Arrieta
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1986-03-06
Age (2026)40
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | 33 | 33 | 229 | 870 | 236 | 46 | 10 | 100% | 6.9 | 27.1% | 5.3% | 21.8% | 1.2% | 1.77 | 2.13 | +8.6 |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | 33 | 33 | 229 | 870 | 236 | 46 | 10 | 100% | 6.9 | 27.1% | 5.3% | 21.8% | 1.1% | 1.77 | 2.21 | +8.3 |
| 2016 | 30 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | 31 | 31 | 197 | 795 | 190 | 75 | 16 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 3.10 | 3.42 | +3.6 |
| 2016 | 30 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | 31 | 31 | 197 | 795 | 190 | 75 | 16 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 3.10 | 3.37 | +3.7 |
| 2017 | 31 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 30 | 168 | 707 | 163 | 52 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 3.4% | 3.53 | 3.94 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 31 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 30 | 168 | 707 | 163 | 52 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 3.53 | 3.87 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 32 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 31 | 173 | 724 | 138 | 57 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 3.96 | 3.97 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 32 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 31 | 173 | 724 | 138 | 57 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 3.96 | 4.07 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 24 | 136 | 594 | 110 | 48 | 21 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.37 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 33 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 24 | 136 | 594 | 110 | 48 | 21 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.55 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | 9 | 9 | 44 | 190 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 4.36 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | 9 | 9 | 44 | 190 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 35 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | 24 | 24 | 99 | 469 | 83 | 41 | 24 | 100% | 4.1 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 7.39 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 35 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | 24 | 24 | 99 | 469 | 83 | 41 | 24 | 100% | 4.1 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 7.39 | 5.83 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 182 | 182 | 1046 | 4349 | 952 | 335 | 121 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 3.74 | +14.6 | ||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 182 | 182 | 1046 | 4349 | 952 | 335 | 121 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 3.75 | +14.5 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 35 | 35 | 200 | 832 | 182 | 64 | 23 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 3.75 | +2.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 182 | 182 | 1046 | 4349 | 952 | 335 | 119 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 3.71 | 3.73 | +14.6 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 35 | 35 | 200 | 832 | 182 | 64 | 23 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 3.71 | 3.73 | +2.8 | |