Xander Bogaerts
SS San Diego Padres
Age 34
R/R
6'2" / 218 lbs
MLB
HR +5%
Svc 12.244 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | MLBSD | 463 | .264/.311/.381 | 11 | 13 | 96 | 1.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLBSD | 552 | .263/.333/.391 | 11 | 20 | 104 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLBSD | 606 | .231/.334/.344 | 13 | 22 | 96 | 2.2 |
| 2027PROJ | 34 | MLBSD | 526 | .260/.341/.389 | 12 | 17 | 111 | 2.5 |
| 2028PROJ | 35 | MLBSD | 459 | .250/.329/.366 | 10 | 9 | 101 | 1.0 |
| 2029PROJ | 36 | MLBSD | 398 | .239/.317/.342 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 0.2 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service12.244First FA2028NTC
2027Ext$25M2028Ext$25M2029Ext$25M2030Ext$25M2031Ext$25M2032Ext$25M2033Ext$25M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
xwOBA61
Bat Spd53
Avg EV48
Speed42
Form.262/.353/.395 · rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .264/.342/.394
CompsCameron Maybin (age 34) · Jerry Hairston Jr. (age 34) · Tadahito Iguchi (age 33)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 113111vR 103
AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .341 / .389
PA526
HR12
SB17
K%18
BB%10
BABIP299
ISO127
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$47M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 58 / POW 55
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1117 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
299
818
—
wRC+
99
99
—
wOBA
314
315
—
ISO
120
128
▶R
BABIP
293
298
—
K%
13.7%
17.5%
◀◀L
BB%
8.4%
7.2%
◀L
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 280 | 239 | 75 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 314 | 404 | 423 | 826 | 109 | 353 | 13 | 11 | 368 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 265 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 260 | 329 | 509 | 838 | 249 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 97 | 92 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 326 | 354 | 598 | 952 | 272 | 373 | 22 | 1 | 410 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 435 | 384 | 116 | 27 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 85 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 302 | 380 | 505 | 885 | 203 | 353 | 20 | 10 | 388 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 50 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 364 | 690 | 114 | 323 | 26 | 10 | 308 | 90 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 20 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 256 | 225 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 284 | 369 | 453 | 822 | 169 | 320 | 17 | 11 | 366 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 259 | 219 | 68 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 311 | 410 | 502 | 912 | 192 | 378 | 20 | 14 | 399 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 594 | 538 | 129 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 138 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 240 | 301 | 362 | 663 | 123 | 296 | 23 | 7 | 295 | 80 | -14 | -1 | -6 | +6 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 654 | 613 | 196 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 101 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 320 | 356 | 421 | 777 | 101 | 372 | 15 | 5 | 345 | 112 | +10 | +1 | +10 | +7 | +14 | 4.3 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 719 | 652 | 192 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 58 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 294 | 358 | 446 | 804 | 152 | 335 | 17 | 8 | 357 | 123 | +20 | +1 | -7 | +8 | +16 | 3.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 635 | 571 | 156 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 116 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 273 | 344 | 403 | 747 | 130 | 327 | 18 | 9 | 335 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +7 | +14 | 3.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 580 | 513 | 148 | 45 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 102 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 364 | 522 | 887 | 234 | 317 | 18 | 9 | 384 | 136 | +25 | +1 | -0 | +6 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 698 | 614 | 190 | 52 | 0 | 33 | 76 | 122 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 309 | 387 | 555 | 943 | 246 | 338 | 17 | 11 | 408 | 154 | +45 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +15 | 6.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 225 | 203 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 300 | 366 | 502 | 869 | 202 | 329 | 18 | 9 | 381 | 137 | +10 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 603 | 529 | 156 | 34 | 1 | 23 | 62 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 295 | 374 | 493 | 868 | 198 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 379 | 136 | +26 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +13 | 4.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 631 | 557 | 171 | 38 | 0 | 15 | 57 | 118 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 307 | 381 | 456 | 837 | 149 | 362 | 19 | 9 | 371 | 129 | +22 | +1 | +8 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 665 | 596 | 170 | 31 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 285 | 354 | 440 | 793 | 154 | 319 | 17 | 8 | 351 | 127 | +21 | +3 | +6 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 463 | 428 | 113 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 79 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 264 | 311 | 381 | 692 | 117 | 297 | 17 | 6 | 306 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 400 | 273 | 673 | 91 | 286 | 27 | 27 | 332 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 552 | 491 | 129 | 30 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 94 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 263 | 333 | 391 | 724 | 128 | 299 | 17 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +8 | +6 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 606 | 520 | 120 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 77 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 231 | 334 | 344 | 679 | 113 | 266 | 18 | 13 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +4 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 2.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 7675 | 6869 | 1942 | 402 | 19 | 210 | 670 | 1379 | 62 | 148 | 25 | 283 | 352 | 438 | 790 | 156 | 324 | 18 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +208 | +20 | +21 | +80 | +166 | 50.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 280 | 248 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 218 | 295 | 274 | 569 | 56 | 247 | 16 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 273 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 100 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 209 | 260 | 407 | 667 | 198 | 261 | 34 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 97 | 92 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 293 | 323 | 511 | 834 | 217 | 354 | 28 | 1 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 435 | 400 | 101 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 120 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 253 | 308 | 420 | 728 | 167 | 321 | 28 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 50 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 364 | 690 | 114 | 323 | 26 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 20 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 256 | 235 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 272 | 329 | 413 | 742 | 140 | 320 | 20 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 259 | 228 | 71 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 311 | 387 | 487 | 874 | 175 | 401 | 24 | 10 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 594 | 539 | 125 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 138 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 232 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 117 | 296 | 23 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -14 | -1 | -6 | +6 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 654 | 614 | 190 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 309 | 346 | 404 | 750 | 94 | 372 | 15 | 5 | 334 | 112 | +10 | +1 | +10 | +7 | +14 | 4.3 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 719 | 652 | 187 | 30 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 287 | 351 | 437 | 788 | 150 | 335 | 17 | 8 | 350 | 123 | +20 | +1 | -7 | +8 | +16 | 3.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 635 | 577 | 151 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 116 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 262 | 327 | 386 | 713 | 125 | 327 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +7 | +14 | 3.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 580 | 517 | 143 | 40 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 102 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 277 | 348 | 505 | 853 | 228 | 317 | 18 | 9 | 370 | 136 | +25 | +1 | -0 | +6 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 698 | 616 | 183 | 46 | 0 | 34 | 74 | 122 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 297 | 374 | 537 | 912 | 240 | 338 | 17 | 11 | 396 | 154 | +45 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +15 | 6.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 225 | 205 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 288 | 348 | 483 | 831 | 195 | 329 | 18 | 8 | 370 | 137 | +10 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 603 | 531 | 152 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 60 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 286 | 364 | 482 | 846 | 196 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 369 | 136 | +26 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +13 | 4.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 631 | 559 | 165 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 118 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 295 | 369 | 436 | 805 | 141 | 362 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | +22 | +1 | +8 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 665 | 596 | 173 | 33 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 290 | 358 | 448 | 806 | 158 | 319 | 17 | 8 | 355 | 127 | +21 | +3 | +6 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 463 | 428 | 115 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 79 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 269 | 315 | 388 | 703 | 119 | 297 | 17 | 6 | 309 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 250 | 583 | 83 | 231 | 33 | 20 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 552 | 494 | 132 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 94 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 267 | 333 | 399 | 732 | 132 | 299 | 17 | 8 | 323 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +8 | +6 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 606 | 522 | 122 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 234 | 334 | 349 | 683 | 115 | 266 | 18 | 12 | 311 | 96 | -3 | +4 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 280 | 248 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 218 | 295 | 274 | 569 | 56 | 256 | 16 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 280 | 239 | 75 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 314 | 404 | 423 | 826 | 109 | 353 | 13 | 11 | 368 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 273 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 100 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 209 | 260 | 407 | 667 | 198 | 268 | 34 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 265 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 260 | 329 | 509 | 838 | 249 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 493 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 146 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 260 | 309 | 436 | 745 | 176 | 331 | 27 | 5 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 532 | 476 | 146 | 37 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 106 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 307 | 375 | 523 | 898 | 216 | 357 | 20 | 8 | 392 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 506 | 146 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 128 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 289 | 357 | 439 | 796 | 150 | 361 | 23 | 9 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 565 | 488 | 143 | 25 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 108 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 293 | 384 | 467 | 851 | 174 | 346 | 19 | 12 | 376 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 594 | 539 | 125 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 138 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 232 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 117 | 285 | 23 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -14 | -1 | -6 | +6 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2014 | 21 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 594 | 538 | 129 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 138 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 240 | 301 | 362 | 663 | 123 | 296 | 23 | 7 | 295 | 80 | -14 | -1 | -6 | +6 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 654 | 614 | 190 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 309 | 346 | 404 | 750 | 94 | 360 | 15 | 5 | 334 | 112 | +10 | +1 | +10 | +7 | +14 | 4.3 |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 654 | 613 | 196 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 101 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 320 | 356 | 421 | 777 | 101 | 372 | 15 | 5 | 345 | 112 | +10 | +1 | +10 | +7 | +14 | 4.3 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 719 | 652 | 187 | 30 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 287 | 351 | 437 | 788 | 150 | 324 | 17 | 8 | 350 | 123 | +20 | +1 | -7 | +8 | +16 | 3.8 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 719 | 652 | 192 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 58 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 294 | 358 | 446 | 804 | 152 | 335 | 17 | 8 | 357 | 123 | +20 | +1 | -7 | +8 | +16 | 3.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 635 | 577 | 151 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 116 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 262 | 327 | 386 | 713 | 125 | 311 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +7 | +14 | 3.2 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 635 | 571 | 156 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 116 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 273 | 344 | 403 | 747 | 130 | 327 | 18 | 9 | 335 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +7 | +14 | 3.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 580 | 517 | 143 | 40 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 102 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 277 | 348 | 505 | 853 | 228 | 300 | 18 | 9 | 370 | 136 | +25 | +1 | -0 | +6 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 580 | 513 | 148 | 45 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 102 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 364 | 522 | 887 | 234 | 317 | 18 | 9 | 384 | 136 | +25 | +1 | -0 | +6 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 698 | 616 | 183 | 46 | 0 | 34 | 74 | 122 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 297 | 374 | 537 | 912 | 240 | 320 | 17 | 11 | 396 | 154 | +45 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +15 | 6.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 698 | 614 | 190 | 52 | 0 | 33 | 76 | 122 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 309 | 387 | 555 | 943 | 246 | 338 | 17 | 11 | 408 | 154 | +45 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +15 | 6.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 225 | 205 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 288 | 348 | 483 | 831 | 195 | 312 | 18 | 8 | 370 | 137 | +10 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 225 | 203 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 300 | 366 | 502 | 869 | 202 | 329 | 18 | 9 | 381 | 137 | +10 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 603 | 531 | 152 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 60 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 286 | 364 | 482 | 846 | 196 | 319 | 19 | 10 | 369 | 136 | +26 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +13 | 4.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 603 | 529 | 156 | 34 | 1 | 23 | 62 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 295 | 374 | 493 | 868 | 198 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 379 | 136 | +26 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +13 | 4.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 631 | 559 | 165 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 118 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 295 | 369 | 436 | 805 | 141 | 346 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | +22 | +1 | +8 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 631 | 557 | 171 | 38 | 0 | 15 | 57 | 118 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 307 | 381 | 456 | 837 | 149 | 362 | 19 | 9 | 371 | 129 | +22 | +1 | +8 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 665 | 596 | 173 | 33 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 290 | 358 | 448 | 806 | 158 | 326 | 17 | 8 | 355 | 127 | +21 | +3 | +6 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | — | 665 | 596 | 170 | 31 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 285 | 354 | 440 | 793 | 154 | 319 | 17 | 8 | 351 | 127 | +21 | +3 | +6 | +7 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 440 | 117 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 84 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 266 | 316 | 384 | 700 | 118 | 302 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 478 | 439 | 115 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 83 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 262 | 314 | 378 | 692 | 116 | 296 | 17 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 552 | 494 | 132 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 94 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 267 | 333 | 399 | 732 | 132 | 305 | 17 | 8 | 323 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +8 | +6 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | — | 552 | 491 | 129 | 30 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 94 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 263 | 333 | 391 | 724 | 128 | 299 | 17 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +3 | +8 | +6 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 606 | 522 | 122 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 234 | 334 | 349 | 683 | 115 | 269 | 18 | 12 | 311 | 96 | -3 | +4 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | — | 606 | 520 | 120 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 77 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 231 | 334 | 344 | 679 | 113 | 266 | 18 | 13 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +4 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 280 | 251 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 215 | 295 | 271 | 565 | 56 | 247 | 16 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 296 | 275 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 100 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 207 | 260 | 404 | 664 | 196 | 261 | 34 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 492 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 146 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 260 | 309 | 437 | 746 | 177 | 327 | 27 | 5 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 506 | 146 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 128 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 289 | 357 | 439 | 796 | 150 | 357 | 23 | 9 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 594 | 543 | 125 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 138 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 230 | 292 | 346 | 639 | 116 | 296 | 23 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 654 | 615 | 190 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 309 | 346 | 403 | 749 | 94 | 372 | 15 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 719 | 649 | 187 | 30 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 288 | 351 | 439 | 790 | 151 | 335 | 17 | 8 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 635 | 574 | 151 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 116 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 263 | 327 | 389 | 716 | 125 | 327 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 580 | 518 | 143 | 40 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 102 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 276 | 348 | 504 | 852 | 228 | 317 | 18 | 9 | 370 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 698 | 617 | 183 | 46 | 0 | 34 | 74 | 122 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 297 | 374 | 536 | 911 | 240 | 338 | 17 | 11 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 225 | 204 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 289 | 348 | 485 | 834 | 196 | 329 | 18 | 8 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 603 | 533 | 152 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 60 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 285 | 364 | 480 | 844 | 195 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 631 | 561 | 165 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 118 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 294 | 369 | 435 | 804 | 141 | 362 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 665 | 597 | 173 | 33 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 290 | 358 | 447 | 805 | 157 | 319 | 17 | 8 | 355 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 443 | 117 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 84 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 264 | 316 | 381 | 697 | 117 | 294 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 552 | 498 | 132 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 94 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 265 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 131 | 299 | 17 | 8 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 606 | 522 | 122 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 234 | 334 | 349 | 683 | 115 | 266 | 18 | 12 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 443 | 117 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 84 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 264 | 316 | 381 | 697 | 117 | 294 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 552 | 498 | 132 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 94 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 265 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 131 | 299 | 17 | 8 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 606 | 522 | 122 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 234 | 334 | 349 | 683 | 115 | 266 | 18 | 12 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB MLE | SD | 100% | 526 | 464 | 122 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 54 | 93 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 264 | 345 | 394 | 739 | 130 | 305 | 18 | 10 | 332 | 111 | +7 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 2.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB CTX | SD | 100% | 526 | 464 | 121 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 54 | 93 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 260 | 341 | 389 | 730 | 129 | 299 | 18 | 10 | 328 | 111 | +7 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 2.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 35 | MLB MLE | SD | 100% | 459 | 407 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 85 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 253 | 333 | 371 | 703 | 117 | 296 | 19 | 10 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB MLE | SD | 100% | 398 | 354 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 77 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 242 | 320 | 347 | 667 | 104 | 288 | 19 | 10 | 302 | 91 | -4 | -0 | -7 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB CTX | SD | 100% | 459 | 407 | 102 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 85 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 250 | 329 | 366 | 695 | 116 | 291 | 19 | 10 | 314 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB CTX | SD | 100% | 398 | 354 | 84 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 77 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 317 | 342 | 659 | 103 | 283 | 19 | 10 | 299 | 91 | -4 | -0 | -7 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 8532 | 7630 | 2128 | 432 | 21 | 227 | 755 | 1541 | 67 | 160 | 30 | 279 | 349 | 430 | 779 | 151 | 320 | 18 | 9 | 345 | 113 | +204 | +20 | +8 | +90 | +185 | 51.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 162 | 33 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 117 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 279 | 349 | 430 | 780 | 151 | 321 | 18 | 9 | 345 | 113 | +16 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 3.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 10696 | 9607 | 2595 | 494 | 37 | 286 | 897 | 2045 | 90 | 194 | 51 | 270 | 338 | 419 | 757 | 148 | 314 | 19 | 8 | 335 | 113 | +210 | +21 | +8 | +95 | +196 | 54.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 157 | 30 | 2 | 17 | 55 | 124 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 269 | 337 | 414 | 751 | 146 | 312 | 19 | 8 | 335 | 113 | +15 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 3.9 | |