Xander Bogaerts

SS San Diego Padres
Age 34 R/R 6'2" / 218 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 12.244 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202431MLBSD463.264/.311/.3811113961.6
202532MLBSD552.263/.333/.39111201043.3
202633MLBSD606.231/.334/.3441322962.2
2027PROJ34MLBSD526.260/.341/.38912171112.5
2028PROJ35MLBSD459.250/.329/.3661091011.0
2029PROJ36MLBSD398.239/.317/.34273910.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 3.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service12.244First FA2028NTC
2027Ext$25M2028Ext$25M2029Ext$25M2030Ext$25M2031Ext$25M2032Ext$25M2033Ext$25M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
xwOBA61
Bat Spd53
Avg EV48
Speed42
Form.262/.353/.395 · rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .264/.342/.394
CompsCameron Maybin (age 34) · Jerry Hairston Jr. (age 34) · Tadahito Iguchi (age 33)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 113111vR 103
AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .341 / .389
PA526
HR12
SB17
K%18
BB%10
BABIP299
ISO127
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+7BATRUN: +2.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +5.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +11.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +2.50+2.5WAR
0.02.04.02.51.00.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$47M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 58 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT58
Whiff%
904.9%
xAVG
580.258
POWER55
Barrel%
325.9
Avg EV
4889.0
Bat Spd
5371.6
EYE55
Chase%
9017.6%
SPEED50
Sprint
4227.1
DEFENSE55
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%19%▼20% over 61 PA (45d) · proj 18%
BB%12%▲▲14% over 108 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.134·.140 over 93 AB (60d) · proj .130
HR/BB3.0%·2.8% over 72 BBE (60d) · proj 3.2%
BABIP.309▲.357 over 70 BIP (60d) · proj .305
SLASH.262/.353/.395·proj .264/.342/.394
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1117 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
299
818
—
wRC+
99
99
—
wOBA
314
315
—
ISO
120
128
▶R
BABIP
293
298
—
K%
13.7%
17.5%
◀◀L
BB%
8.4%
7.2%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2013
Service   12.244 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2028
NTC
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$25M+2.5$20M-$5M
2028Ext$25M+1.0$7M-$15M
2029Ext$25M+0.2$0.7M-$20M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $76M $28M -$41M
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$41M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201017 ROKDSL Red Sox — 280239 75753 30376 45 314404423826 109353 1311 368 60 — — — — — —
201118 AGreenville Drive — 296265 6914216 25712 13 260329509838 249291 248 361 80 — — — — — —
201219 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 9792 301005 1213 11 326354598952 272373 221 410 115 — — — — — —
201219 A+Salem Red Sox — 435384 11627315 43855 44 302380505885 203353 2010 388 99 — — — — — —
201320 MLBBoston Red Sox — 5044 11201 5130 10 250327364690 114323 2610 308 90 -1 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.3
201320 AAAPawtucket Red Sox — 256225 641109 28442 22 284369453822 169320 1711 366 105 — — — — — —
201320 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 259219 681266 35512 51 311410502912 192378 2014 399 140 — — — — — —
201421 MLBBoston Red Sox — 594538 12928112 391388 23 240301362663 123296 237 295 80 -14 -1 -6 +6 +13 -0.2
201522 MLBBoston Red Sox — 654613 1963537 321013 102 320356421777 101372 155 345 112 +10 +1 +10 +7 +14 4.3
201623 MLBBoston Red Sox — 719652 19234121 581236 134 294358446804 152335 178 357 123 +20 +1 -7 +8 +16 3.8
201724 MLBBoston Red Sox — 635571 15632610 561166 151 273344403747 130327 189 335 104 +3 +3 +5 +7 +14 3.2
201825 MLBBoston Red Sox — 580513 14845323 551026 82 288364522887 234317 189 384 136 +25 +1 -0 +6 +13 4.5
201926 MLBBoston Red Sox — 698614 19052033 761222 42 309387555943 246338 1711 408 154 +45 +0 -3 +7 +15 6.6
202027 MLBBoston Red Sox — 225203 618011 21410 80 300366502869 202329 189 381 137 +10 +2 -1 +2 +5 1.8
202128 MLBBoston Red Sox — 603529 15634123 621135 51 295374493868 198333 1910 379 136 +26 +1 -3 +6 +13 4.3
202229 MLBBoston Red Sox — 631557 17138015 5711810 82 307381456837 149362 199 371 129 +22 +1 +8 +7 +14 5.2
202330 MLBSan Diego Padres — 665596 17031219 561107 192 285354440793 154319 178 351 127 +21 +3 +6 +7 +14 5.2
202431 MLBSan Diego Padres — 463428 11315111 28791 133 264311381692 117297 176 306 96 -2 +1 +5 +2 +10 1.6
202431 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 1511 2100 440 00 182400273673 91286 2727 332 47 — — — — — —
202532 MLBSan Diego Padres — 552491 12930011 48944 202 263333391724 128299 179 322 104 +3 +3 +8 +6 +12 3.3
202633 MLBSan Diego Padres — 606520 12018113 771094 221 231334344679 113266 1813 310 96 -3 +4 +0 +6 +13 2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 76756869 194240219210 670137962 14825 283352438790 156324 189 350 123 +208 +20 +21 +80 +166 50.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201017 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox — 280248 54531 21456 45 218295274569 56247 168 257 60 — — — — — —
201118 A MLEGreenville Drive — 296273 5711213 171002 13 209260407667 198261 346 286 80 — — — — — —
201219 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 9792 27804 1273 11 293323511834 217354 281 338 115 — — — — — —
201219 A+ MLESalem Red Sox — 435400 10121214 271205 44 253308420728 167321 286 314 99 — — — — — —
201320 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 5044 11201 5130 10 250327364690 114323 2610 301 90 -1 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.3
201320 AAA MLEPawtucket Red Sox — 256235 64908 18522 22 272329413742 140320 207 323 105 — — — — — —
201320 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 259228 711175 26632 51 311387487874 175401 2410 375 140 — — — — — —
201421 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 594539 12525112 381388 23 232292349641 117296 236 287 80 -14 -1 -6 +6 +13 -0.2
201522 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 654614 1903137 311013 102 309346404750 94372 155 334 112 +10 +1 +10 +7 +14 4.3
201623 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 719652 18730122 581236 134 287351437788 150335 178 350 123 +20 +1 -7 +8 +16 3.8
201724 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 635577 15128710 501166 151 262327386713 125327 188 321 104 +3 +3 +5 +7 +14 3.2
201825 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 580517 14340324 511026 82 277348505853 228317 189 370 136 +25 +1 -0 +6 +13 4.5
201926 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 698616 18346034 741222 42 297374537912 240338 1711 396 154 +45 +0 -3 +7 +15 6.6
202027 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 225205 597011 19410 80 288348483831 195329 188 370 137 +10 +2 -1 +2 +5 1.8
202128 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 603531 15230124 601135 51 286364482846 196333 1910 369 136 +26 +1 -3 +6 +13 4.3
202229 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 631559 16534015 5511810 82 295369436805 141362 199 359 129 +22 +1 +8 +7 +14 5.2
202330 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 665596 17333219 561107 192 290358448806 158319 178 355 127 +21 +3 +6 +7 +14 5.2
202431 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 463428 11516111 28791 133 269315388703 119297 176 309 96 -2 +1 +5 +2 +10 1.6
202431 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 1512 2100 350 00 167333250583 83231 3320 238 47 — — — — — —
202532 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 552494 13232011 45944 202 267333399732 132299 178 323 104 +3 +3 +8 +6 +12 3.3
202633 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 606522 12219113 751094 221 234334349683 115266 1812 311 96 -3 +4 +0 +6 +13 2.2
201017 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox — 280248 54531 21456 45 218295274569 56256 168 257 60 — — — — — —
201017 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox — 280239 75753 30376 45 314404423826 109353 1311 368 60 — — — — — —
201118 A MLEGreenville Drive — 296273 5711213 171002 13 209260407667 198268 346 286 80 — — — — — —
201118 A RAWGreenville Drive — 296265 6914216 25712 13 260329509838 249291 248 361 80 — — — — — —
201219 A+ MLE2 teams — 532493 12829218 271468 55 260309436745 176331 275 318 102 — — — — — —
201219 A+ RAW2 teams — 532476 14637320 441068 55 307375523898 216357 208 392 102 — — — — — —
201320 AA MLE3 teams — 565506 14623713 501284 83 289357439796 150361 239 345 120 — — — — — —
201320 AA RAW3 teams — 565488 14325616 681084 83 293384467851 174346 1912 376 120 — — — — — —
201421 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 594539 12525112 381388 23 232292349641 117285 236 287 80 -14 -1 -6 +6 +13 -0.2
201421 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 594538 12928112 391388 23 240301362663 123296 237 295 80 -14 -1 -6 +6 +13 -0.2
201522 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 654614 1903137 311013 102 309346404750 94360 155 334 112 +10 +1 +10 +7 +14 4.3
201522 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 654613 1963537 321013 102 320356421777 101372 155 345 112 +10 +1 +10 +7 +14 4.3
201623 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 719652 18730122 581236 134 287351437788 150324 178 350 123 +20 +1 -7 +8 +16 3.8
201623 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 719652 19234121 581236 134 294358446804 152335 178 357 123 +20 +1 -7 +8 +16 3.8
201724 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 635577 15128710 501166 151 262327386713 125311 188 321 104 +3 +3 +5 +7 +14 3.2
201724 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 635571 15632610 561166 151 273344403747 130327 189 335 104 +3 +3 +5 +7 +14 3.2
201825 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 580517 14340324 511026 82 277348505853 228300 189 370 136 +25 +1 -0 +6 +13 4.5
201825 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 580513 14845323 551026 82 288364522887 234317 189 384 136 +25 +1 -0 +6 +13 4.5
201926 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 698616 18346034 741222 42 297374537912 240320 1711 396 154 +45 +0 -3 +7 +15 6.6
201926 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 698614 19052033 761222 42 309387555943 246338 1711 408 154 +45 +0 -3 +7 +15 6.6
202027 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 225205 597011 19410 80 288348483831 195312 188 370 137 +10 +2 -1 +2 +5 1.8
202027 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 225203 618011 21410 80 300366502869 202329 189 381 137 +10 +2 -1 +2 +5 1.8
202128 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 603531 15230124 601135 51 286364482846 196319 1910 369 136 +26 +1 -3 +6 +13 4.3
202128 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 603529 15634123 621135 51 295374493868 198333 1910 379 136 +26 +1 -3 +6 +13 4.3
202229 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 631559 16534015 5511810 82 295369436805 141346 199 359 129 +22 +1 +8 +7 +14 5.2
202229 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 631557 17138015 5711810 82 307381456837 149362 199 371 129 +22 +1 +8 +7 +14 5.2
202330 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 665596 17333219 561107 192 290358448806 158326 178 355 127 +21 +3 +6 +7 +14 5.2
202330 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 665596 17031219 561107 192 285354440793 154319 178 351 127 +21 +3 +6 +7 +14 5.2
202431 MLB MLE2 teams — 478440 11717111 31841 133 266316384700 118302 186 307 94 -3 +1 +5 +2 +10 1.5
202431 MLB RAW2 teams — 478439 11516111 32831 133 262314378692 116296 177 307 94 -3 +1 +5 +2 +10 1.5
202532 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 552494 13232011 45944 202 267333399732 132305 178 323 104 +3 +3 +8 +6 +12 3.3
202532 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 552491 12930011 48944 202 263333391724 128299 179 322 104 +3 +3 +8 +6 +12 3.3
202633 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 606522 12219113 751094 221 234334349683 115269 1812 311 96 -3 +4 +0 +6 +13 2.2
202633 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 606520 12018113 771094 221 231334344679 113266 1813 310 96 -3 +4 +0 +6 +13 2.2
201017 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox — 280251 54531 21456 45 215295271565 56247 168 257 60 — — — — — —
201118 A MLEGreenville Drive — 296275 5711213 171002 13 207260404664 196261 346 286 80 — — — — — —
201219 A+ MLE2 teams — 532492 12829218 271468 55 260309437746 177327 275 318 102 — — — — — —
201320 AA MLE3 teams — 565506 14623713 501284 83 289357439796 150357 239 345 120 — — — — — —
201421 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 594543 12525112 381388 23 230292346639 116296 236 287 80 — — — — — —
201522 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 654615 1903137 311013 102 309346403749 94372 155 334 112 — — — — — —
201623 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 719649 18730122 581236 134 288351439790 151335 178 350 123 — — — — — —
201724 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 635574 15128710 501166 151 263327389716 125327 188 321 104 — — — — — —
201825 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 580518 14340324 511026 82 276348504852 228317 189 370 136 — — — — — —
201926 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 698617 18346034 741222 42 297374536911 240338 1711 396 154 — — — — — —
202027 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 225204 597011 19410 80 289348485834 196329 188 370 137 — — — — — —
202128 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 603533 15230124 601135 51 285364480844 195333 1910 369 136 — — — — — —
202229 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 631561 16534015 5511810 82 294369435804 141362 199 359 129 — — — — — —
202330 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 665597 17333219 561107 192 290358447805 157319 178 355 127 — — — — — —
202431 MLB MLE2 teams — 478443 11717111 31841 133 264316381697 117294 186 307 94 — — — — — —
202532 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 552498 13232011 45944 202 265333396729 131299 178 323 104 — — — — — —
202633 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 606522 12219113 751094 221 234334349683 115266 1812 311 96 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202431 MLB MLE2 teams — 478443 11717111 31841 133 264316381697 117294 186 307 94 — — — — — —
202532 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 552498 13232011 45944 202 265333396729 131299 178 323 104 — — — — — —
202633 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 606522 12219113 751094 221 234334349683 115266 1812 311 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202734 MLB MLESD 100% 526464 12222112 54933 175 264345394739 130305 1810 332 111 +7 +1 -1 +6 +11 2.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202734 MLB CTXSD 100% 526464 12121112 54933 175 260341389730 129299 1810 328 111 +7 +1 -1 +6 +11 2.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202835 MLB MLESD 100% 459407 1031819 46853 93 253333371703 117296 1910 317 101 +0 +1 -6 +5 +10 1.0
202936 MLB MLESD 100% 398354 861417 39772 32 242320347667 104288 1910 302 91 -4 -0 -7 +4 +9 0.2
202835 MLB CTXSD 100% 459407 10217110 46853 93 250329366695 116291 1910 314 101 +0 +1 -6 +5 +10 1.0
202936 MLB CTXSD 100% 398354 841317 39772 32 239317342659 103283 1910 299 91 -4 -0 -7 +4 +9 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 85327630 212843221227 755154167 16030 279349430779 151320 189 345 113 +204 +20 +8 +90 +185 51.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 16233217 581175 122 279349430780 151321 189 345 113 +16 +2 +1 +7 +14 3.9
Career— MLE — 106969607 259549437286 897204590 19451 270338419757 148314 198 335 113 +210 +21 +8 +95 +196 54.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 15730217 551245 123 269337414751 146312 198 335 113 +15 +2 +1 +7 +14 3.9