Joan Hernandez

IF DSL Braves

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKATL	51	.211/.412/.211	0	7	39	—	.146/.314/.146
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBATL	161	.225/.315/.282	1	5	75	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBATL	51	.228/.318/.294	0	2	79	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBATL	143	.231/.321/.304	1	5	82	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%91

Chase%80

BB%77

Z-Con%69

Whiff%58

wRC+45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsLuis Tejada (age 19) · Leandro Cedeño (age 17) · Angel Molina (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .312 / .280

PA56

HR0

K%22

BB%9

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	51	38	8	0	0	0	10	6	3	7	3	211	412	211	622		250	12	20	322	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	51	41	6	0	0	0	7	7	3	7	3	146	314	146	460		170	14	14	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	51	41	6	0	0	0	7	7	3	7	3	146	314	146	460		176	14	14	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	51	38	8	0	0	0	10	6	3	7	3	211	412	211	622		250	12	20	322	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	51	41	6	0	0	0	7	7	3	7	3	146	314	146	460		170	14	14	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	51	41	6	0	0	0	7	7	3	7	3	146	314	146	460		170	14	14	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	161	142	31	3	1	1	15	35	3	5	1	225	315	282	597	57	290	22	9	278	75	-5	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	148	130	29	3	1	1	14	32	3	5	1	228	318	294	612	65	292	22	9	284	79	-4	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	296	259	60	7	2	3	28	64	7	10	2	231	321	304	625	73	293	22	9	290	82	-6	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	411	360	84	10	2	5	38	89	10	14	2	233	323	313	637	80	294	22	9	294	85	-7	+2	+0	+0	+9	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	493	433	102	13	3	6	46	106	11	17	3	235	325	322	646	86	295	22	9	297	87	-7	+2	+0	+0	+11	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	548	480	114	15	3	8	51	118	12	19	3	237	326	329	654	92	296	22	9	300	89	-7	+3	+0	+0	+12	0.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	584	512	121	16	3	8	54	126	13	20	4	238	327	331	658	93	296	22	9	301	90	-7	+2	+0	+0	+13	0.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	606	531	127	16	4	9	57	130	13	20	4	238	327	332	659	94	297	21	9	302	90	-7	+2	+0	+0	+13	0.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	617	540	130	17	4	9	58	133	14	20	4	238	327	333	660	95	296	22	9	302	91	-7	+2	+0	+0	+13	0.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	619	543	129	16	4	9	58	134	13	20	4	237	326	330	656	93	296	22	9	301	90	-8	+2	+0	+0	+13	0.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	616	540	127	16	3	9	58	135	13	17	3	235	324	325	649	90	295	22	9	298	88	-9	+2	-1	+0	+13	0.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	607	533	124	16	3	8	56	134	13	14	3	233	321	319	639	86	293	22	9	294	85	-11	+2	-1	+0	+13	0.3
2039	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	597	525	120	15	3	7	55	134	12	11	2	229	317	310	627	81	291	22	9	289	82	-13	+1	-2	+0	+13	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	51	45	9	1	0	0	5	11	1	2	0	228	318	294	612	65	292	22	10	284	79	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	143	126	28	3	1	1	13	31	3	5	1	231	321	304	625	73	293	22	9	290	82	-3	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	223	195	45	6	1	2	21	48	5	7	1	233	323	313	637	80	294	22	9	294	85	-4	+1	+0	+0	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	279	245	58	7	2	4	26	60	6	9	2	235	325	322	646	86	295	22	9	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	316	277	65	8	2	4	29	68	7	11	2	237	326	329	654	92	296	22	9	300	89	-4	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	333	292	70	9	2	5	31	72	7	11	2	238	327	331	658	93	296	22	9	301	90	-4	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	344	301	72	9	2	5	32	74	8	11	2	238	327	332	659	94	297	22	9	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	349	305	72	9	2	5	33	75	8	11	2	238	327	333	660	95	296	21	9	302	91	-4	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	343	301	71	9	2	5	32	74	7	11	2	237	326	330	656	93	296	22	9	301	90	-4	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	338	296	70	9	2	5	32	74	7	9	2	235	324	325	649	90	295	22	9	298	88	-5	+1	-0	+0	+7	0.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	325	285	66	8	2	4	30	72	7	8	2	233	321	319	639	86	293	22	9	294	85	-6	+1	-1	+0	+7	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	314	275	64	8	2	4	29	71	7	6	1	229	317	310	627	81	291	23	9	289	82	-7	+1	-1	+0	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3358	2943	690	86	20	44	313	730	73	101	19	234	323	322	645	88	295	22	9	297	87	-50	+13	-2	+0	+73	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	135	17	4	9	61	141	14	20	4	237	326	328	654	91	297	22	9	297	87	-10	+2	-0	+0	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6249	5477	1283	161	35	82	585	1354	138	196	38	234	324	321	645	87	295	22	9	296	87	-95	+24	-4	+0	+134	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	135	17	4	9	61	141	14	20	4	237	326	328	654	91	298	22	9	296	87	-10	+2	-0	+0	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Murtaugh'41-'51 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,937 PA	4.4	2,937	8	49	248*	321*	347*	+12	-4	5.0	6.6
/162	664	2	11	+2.8	-1.0	1.1	pk7: 8
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,414	45	104	236	321	324	+0	+0	5.7	5.1
/162	664	9	20	+0.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Febles'98-'03 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,892 PA	2.8	1,892	24	68	239*	316*	342*	+6	-4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	8	24	+2.2	-1.5	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joan Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	223/312/280	57	290	0	2	22%	9%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Tejada 2012 · A	19	36→44	38→45	45→50	46	178/257/254	76	245	6	11	28%	8%	48	-2.5	194/243/261	67	274	3	11	29%	5%	42	-2.9	216/264/322	106	271	10	7	23%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Leandro Cedeño 2016 · A	17	40→49	38→50	49→40	46	192/249/273	81	238	6	5	21%	6%	48	-2.5	209/254/330	121	276	12	3	28%	5%	63	-1.4	233/281/383	150	317	20	1	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Angel Molina 2016 · A	18	39	37→40	48→55	44	189/256/262	73	242	5	10	23%	6%	49	-2.4	175/223/250	75	218	6	11	22%	4%	33	-3.6	145/184/212	67	173	6	14	20%	3%	9	-1.8
✕Yermín Mercedes 2012 · A	19	44→53	35→50	43→45	44	205/251/272	67	245	2	6	17%	4%	48	-2.5	202/266/265	63	240	3	7	16%	6%	53	-2.1	242/292/392	150	282	20	3	21%	6%	92	+0.5
✕Jose Rojas 2012 · A	19	42	36→40	47→45	48	196/259/263	66	250	3	7	22%	8%	49	-2.4	180/250/260	80	214	4	4	17%	8%	46	-2.6	164/235/245	81	191	5	3	16%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Aldrem Corredor 2014 · A	18	43→53	35→45	45→40	52	198/261/256	59	231	1	6	15%	8%	48	-2.5	203/279/264	61	258	2	5	20%	9%	57	-1.8	202/282/256	55	259	2	3	21%	10%	56	-0.6
●Jonathan Aranda 2018 · A	20	44→54	35→55	50→45	43	205/258/265	60	265	2	12	22%	5%	49	-2.4	217/273/297	80	282	4	6	23%	7%	62	-1.4	272/349/433	161	346	18	4	25%	8%	120	+2.3
●Rangel Ravelo 2011 · A	19	44→54	37→50	42→45	41	211/246/283	72	263	4	4	21%	4%	48	-2.5	248/289/327	79	303	3	5	18%	5%	74	-0.5	264/334/421	157	300	18	0	18%	8%	111	+1.1
✕Alan Sharkey 2013 · A	19	44	35→30	48→45	48	206/261/261	55	247	2	9	17%	7%	49	-2.4	199/261/269	70	254	3	6	21%	7%	51	-2.2	194/263/266	71	251	4	4	22%	8%	50	-0.9
✕José Osuna 2011 · A	18	37→47	43→55	40→45	44	185/238/291	106	213	10	5	20%	5%	49	-2.4	219/263/337	118	258	11	6	19%	5%	68	-1.0	252/300/421	169	288	17	4	19%	6%	101	+0.9
✕Ramy Perez 2014 · A	19	41	37→30	51→50	46	196/254/268	72	251	4	7	23%	7%	48	-2.5	171/224/224	53	217	2	8	21%	5%	28	-3.9	144/194/180	36	179	1	8	19%	4%	5	-1.6
✕Dustin Geiger 2012 · A	20	41→48	39→50	44→40	37	202/238/295	94	272	5	4	28%	4%	48	-2.5	215/266/349	134	283	15	4	29%	6%	72	-0.7	211/270/347	135	274	16	3	28%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Kevin Berard 2011 · A	19	44	37→30	50→55	35	204/250/275	71	332	4	8	38%	5%	48	-2.5	196/252/257	61	305	3	13	34%	6%	45	-2.7	207/275/256	49	302	2	18	30%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Eddy Melo 2013 · A	19	43	35→30	45	52	195/261/256	61	227	1	6	14%	8%	49	-2.4	190/251/251	61	253	2	5	24%	7%	43	-2.8	144/206/174	30	203	0	0	27%	7%	8	-1.4
✕Alberto Acosta 2008 · A	18	39	37→30	45→30	44	187/255/260	73	262	4	4	29%	7%	48	-2.5	186/256/259	73	262	5	4	29%	7%	48	-2.5	146/227/200	55	200	5	1	28%	8%	22	-1.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2013 · A	19	36	38→40	41→45	44	179/256/256	78	239	6	7	27%	7%	48	-2.5	186/257/254	68	236	4	6	21%	7%	47	-2.5	166/243/221	55	204	3	6	19%	8%	34	-1.1
★Marcell Ozuna 2010 · A	19	41→51	40→65	47→45	40	202/251/296	95	279	8	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	209/256/340	131	290	14	8	32%	6%	66	-1.1	268/358/500	232	311	32	0	24%	12%	142	+4.6
✕Steven Mateo 2012 · A	19	40	36→30	37→50	44	191/260/255	64	271	4	4	29%	8%	49	-2.4	189/280/256	67	271	3	8	28%	10%	57	-1.8	192/270/254	63	279	2	6	29%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Crisford Adames 2014 · A	19	39	35→30	42→45	52	183/271/237	53	237	2	3	22%	10%	49	-2.4	193/261/259	66	244	3	5	20%	8%	49	-2.4	184/250/249	65	228	2	4	19%	7%	40	-1.1
✕Jhonny Gomez 2010 · A	20	39	34→30	41→40	53	181/272/233	52	227	2	6	20%	9%	49	-2.4	214/279/269	55	282	3	5	23%	7%	59	-1.7	214/277/260	47	288	3	4	25%	7%	54	-0.9

Joan Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps