Player 840719 — OGILVIE

Player 8407191B DSL Arizona Black

Age — —/— ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .247 / .233

PA72

HR1

K%38

BB%8

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	60	49	12	0	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	245	362	306	668	61	407	38	13	306	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	60	51	7	0	0	0	6	28	1	1	0	137	241	137	379		271	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	60	51	7	0	0	0	6	28	1	1	0	137	241	137	379		280	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	60	49	12	0	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	245	362	306	668	61	407	38	13	306	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	60	53	7	0	0	0	6	28	1	1	0	132	241	132	373		271	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	60	53	7	0	0	0	6	28	1	1	0	132	241	132	373		271	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	181	32	3	1	2	15	76	2	2	1	178	249	235	484	57	291	38	8	226	39	-14	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	124	113	20	2	1	1	9	46	1	1	0	181	253	245	497	63	290	37	7	231	43	-8	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	185	256	252	508	67	298	—	—	235	43	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	256	230	38	3	1	2	20	101	3	3	0	165	241	213	454	48	277	39	8	223	37	-14	+0	+0	-4	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	97	8	3	5	51	256	8	8	0	166	243	216	459	50	278	39	8	223	37	-45	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 840719 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	176/247/233	57	291	1	1	38%	8%	39	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	77	276	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/266/305	105	332	10	6	40%	7%	62	-1.4	164/241/273	109	265	13	0	40%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Chandler Seagle 2021 · A	25	41	38→40	49→45	37	191/248/274	83	307	5	6	37%	6%	48	-2.5	191/244/267	76	287	5	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	202/254/301	99	322	8	8	38%	6%	56	-1.9	183/241/291	108	277	11	8	36%	5%	50	-2.3	169/229/274	105	250	11	8	35%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Julio Carrion 2023 · A	24	39	41→40	49→45	38	181/265/272	91	318	9	6	42%	8%	55	-1.9	191/250/284	93	355	8	6	45%	6%	51	-2.2	154/192/229	75	308	6	0	50%	3%	13	-1.4
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕John Nester 2014 · A	25	38	39→40	44→40	42	186/252/269	83	284	7	6	35%	8%	49	-2.4	204/262/292	88	306	6	6	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/241/247	67	275	3	0	33%	7%	36	-1.2
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	38	42→45	53→50	36	183/253/287	104	309	10	12	41%	7%	54	-2.0	197/260/292	95	358	8	14	44%	7%	57	-1.8	166/230/234	68	350	5	22	50%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Scott Schreiber 2021 · A	25	38	43→45	47→45	34	187/237/295	108	309	11	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	221/273/358	137	301	16	10	31%	5%	77	-0.3	225/273/365	140	298	18	10	30%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	38→33	39→40	46→45	41	188/247/272	83	275	7	8	33%	7%	47	-2.5	201/257/300	99	319	8	8	37%	7%	57	-1.8	185/247/298	113	311	10	7	41%	7%	51	-0.8