Luis Almeida

SS DSL Pirates Black

Age 19 R/R ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Pirates B…	98	.188/.323/.275	0	4	10	—	.119/.229/.179
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPIT	208	.207/.279/.288	1	5	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	60	.211/.284/.301	0	2	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	152	.215/.288/.311	1	4	71	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed69

Whiff%52

Z-Con%52

K%39

ISO34

BB%29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsLuis Liberato (age 19) · Yordalin Peña (age 19) · Óscar Mercado (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .276 / .286

PA85

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	98	80	15	5	1	0	12	23	4	4	3	188	323	275	598	88	259	23	12	281	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	98	84	10	3	1	0	8	28	4	4	3	119	229	179	408	60	161	29	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	98	84	10	3	1	0	8	28	4	4	3	119	229	179	408	60	175	29	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	98	80	15	5	1	0	12	23	4	4	3	188	323	275	598	88	259	23	12	281	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	98	86	10	3	1	0	8	28	4	4	3	116	229	174	404	58	161	29	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	98	86	10	3	1	0	8	28	4	4	3	116	229	174	404	58	161	29	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	208	188	39	8	2	1	15	58	3	5	1	207	279	288	567	82	289	28	7	260	62	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	176	158	34	7	2	1	13	48	3	5	1	211	284	300	584	90	290	27	7	267	67	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	313	280	60	12	3	3	24	84	6	9	2	214	288	311	599	97	291	27	8	273	71	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	415	373	81	16	4	5	32	111	7	12	3	218	291	321	612	103	292	27	8	278	74	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	482	434	96	19	4	7	37	127	8	14	4	220	294	329	623	109	293	26	8	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	526	471	105	21	4	8	41	138	9	16	4	223	297	336	633	113	294	26	8	286	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	552	495	111	22	5	9	43	144	9	16	4	223	297	338	635	115	294	26	8	287	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	567	509	113	22	5	9	44	148	9	17	5	223	297	340	637	116	294	26	8	288	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	571	513	115	23	5	9	44	150	9	17	5	222	296	337	633	115	293	26	8	286	80	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	569	511	113	22	5	9	44	151	9	16	5	221	294	333	627	112	293	27	8	284	78	-15	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	561	504	110	22	4	8	43	150	9	15	5	218	292	327	618	108	291	27	8	280	76	-16	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	60	55	11	2	1	0	4	16	1	2	0	211	284	301	585	89	291	27	7	267	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	152	137	28	6	1	1	11	41	3	4	1	215	288	311	599	96	293	27	7	273	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	225	202	43	9	2	2	17	60	4	7	2	218	291	320	611	102	293	27	8	278	74	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	273	245	53	11	2	3	21	72	5	8	2	220	294	327	621	107	294	26	8	282	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	297	267	58	12	2	4	23	78	5	9	2	223	296	334	631	111	295	26	8	285	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	312	280	62	13	3	4	24	82	5	9	2	223	297	336	633	113	295	26	8	286	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	320	287	64	13	3	5	25	84	5	9	3	223	297	337	634	114	295	26	8	287	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	317	284	64	13	3	5	25	83	5	9	3	222	296	335	631	113	294	26	8	285	80	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	312	280	62	13	3	4	24	83	5	9	3	221	294	331	625	110	294	27	8	283	78	-8	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	300	269	58	12	2	4	23	80	5	8	3	218	292	325	617	107	293	27	8	280	76	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2568	2306	503	104	22	32	197	679	43	74	21	218	292	324	616	106	293	26	8	282	76	-68	+6	-1	+28	+56	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	127	26	6	8	50	172	11	19	5	217	292	324	616	106	292	26	8	282	76	-17	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4915	4410	963	192	43	68	379	1303	83	143	41	218	292	328	620	109	292	27	8	280	76	-130	+13	-2	+52	+104	3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	127	25	6	9	50	172	11	19	5	218	291	328	619	110	291	26	8	280	76	-18	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,653	37	77	221	291	331	+28	+18	3.8	3.6
/162	664	9	19	+7.1	+4.5	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Almeida (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	205/276/286	81	289	0	2	28%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Yordalin Peña 2024 · A	19	36→37	37→55	55	41	176/232/253	77	233	4	10	26%	5%	37	-3.3	188/246/290	102	278	8	14	33%	6%	51	-2.2	184/241/311	127	279	12	17	37%	6%	52	-1.2
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A	19	38→48	37→50	52→60	40	182/240/255	73	262	4	13	30%	6%	40	-3.0	193/242/260	67	241	4	23	20%	5%	42	-2.9	245/308/380	135	288	13	27	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→50	53→50	37	183/232/269	87	270	4	9	33%	5%	40	-3.0	200/252/309	109	324	9	11	39%	5%	57	-1.8	219/257/356	137	317	16	15	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Edwin Gomez 2007 · A	19	40	34→40	52→50	45	188/248/242	54	254	2	16	26%	7%	40	-3.0	204/287/282	78	267	5	13	23%	10%	65	-1.2	191/302/269	79	238	6	17	20%	12%	68	-0.4
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	191/245/253	62	254	3	9	25%	5%	42	-2.9	219/272/310	91	283	7	7	24%	6%	65	-1.2	198/260/284	86	272	8	6	29%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	40→50	35→45	53→50	43	189/237/252	63	250	2	12	24%	6%	38	-3.2	194/238/262	68	291	3	10	32%	5%	40	-3.0	233/284/360	127	349	14	14	35%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Albert Laboy 2006 · A	19	39→38	37→40	52→45	42	187/233/255	68	227	5	9	20%	4%	38	-3.2	211/255/297	86	256	8	8	20%	5%	55	-1.9	215/263/301	86	251	10	6	18%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	34→44	38→45	49→50	47	168/236/246	78	214	5	7	24%	7%	37	-3.3	204/248/281	77	285	4	8	28%	5%	48	-2.5	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Granden Goetzman 2012 · A	19	39→45	36→45	51→55	41	187/245/251	65	268	3	12	30%	6%	41	-3.0	200/245/289	89	277	6	13	29%	5%	50	-2.3	212/242/319	107	281	7	25	27%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	40→45	38→50	50→45	38	195/232/275	80	260	5	6	27%	4%	41	-3.0	188/231/283	95	306	9	5	40%	5%	43	-2.8	223/288/380	158	332	23	6	38%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	38	37→45	51→55	42	182/249/251	69	265	4	10	31%	7%	43	-2.8	183/257/282	99	270	8	12	33%	8%	54	-2.0	154/234/265	111	235	11	17	37%	8%	40	-0.8
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	37	40→45	47→55	41	182/234/272	91	230	7	11	24%	5%	42	-2.9	196/265/302	106	259	10	14	27%	7%	61	-1.5	185/272/306	121	236	12	20	26%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	36	36→45	56→50	41	174/240/244	70	245	3	14	29%	6%	38	-3.2	186/239/274	88	284	8	9	35%	6%	45	-2.7	182/234/279	97	282	10	10	38%	5%	41	-1.2
✕Nomar Fana 2022 · A	19	39	37→50	48→50	43	187/246/258	71	263	4	9	29%	7%	43	-2.8	186/258/278	92	284	8	11	34%	9%	53	-2.1	169/252/282	112	253	13	14	36%	10%	50	-0.7
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37→40	38→50	57→55	39	180/241/261	81	283	4	21	36%	7%	42	-2.9	190/255/312	122	314	11	20	40%	7%	59	-1.6	197/265/323	127	300	12	19	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	37	36→40	50	41	179/245/245	67	256	3	12	30%	6%	40	-3.0	179/255/273	94	247	6	10	28%	8%	51	-2.2	147/236/256	109	194	8	10	27%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A	19	40	35→40	50→60	47	188/241/250	62	223	3	12	17%	6%	39	-3.1	208/252/273	65	241	2	22	14%	5%	48	-2.5	200/237/254	54	244	1	30	18%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Elier Hernandez 2014 · A	19	42→51	37→50	53→50	35	200/238/277	77	287	3	6	31%	4%	43	-2.8	216/248/302	86	307	6	6	30%	3%	53	-2.1	230/278/366	136	300	14	9	27%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Daniel Montano 2018 · A	19	34→44	39→45	46→50	45	171/236/261	90	223	6	9	25%	7%	40	-3.0	177/222/264	87	248	6	10	30%	5%	35	-3.4	213/289/324	112	322	9	6	34%	9%	73	-0.5

Luis Almeida

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps