Player 837842 — OGILVIE

Player 837842— DSL Orioles Black

Age — —/— ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION114 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .319 / .354

PA187

HR3

SB8

K%24

BB%10

BABIP297

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	BAL	—	114	95	26	8	0	3	14	20	2	12	2	274	378	453	831	179	307	18	12	354	129	+4	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.7
YTD	—	ROK	BAL	—	114	84	30	10	0	3	25	14	2	12	2	357	514	583	1.097	226	386	12	22	468	216	+15	+2	+0	-2	+3	1.8
ROS	—	ROK	BAL	0%	187	164	38	9	1	3	19	44	2	8	1	232	319	354	673	122	294	24	10	305	91	-2	+1	+0	-3	+5	0.1
ROS	—	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	BAL	—	114	96	26	8	0	3	14	20	2	12	2	271	378	448	826	177	303	18	12	354	129	+4	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.7
TOT	—	ROK	BAL	—	301	259	64	17	1	6	33	64	4	20	3	247	341	390	731	143	301	21	11	323	106	+2	+3	+0	-5	+9	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BAL	0%	304	268	62	15	1	6	30	72	3	8	1	231	316	362	678	131	291	24	10	304	91	-3	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.1
2028	25	MLB	BAL	0%	401	355	82	19	2	8	39	94	4	10	1	231	314	363	677	132	291	23	10	306	92	-3	+2	+0	-7	+11	0.2
2029	25	MLB	BAL	0%	466	413	96	22	2	10	45	109	5	12	2	232	315	368	683	136	291	23	10	308	94	-3	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.3
2030	25	MLB	BAL	0%	510	449	105	24	2	11	50	119	6	13	2	234	319	370	689	136	291	23	10	309	94	-3	+2	+0	-9	+14	0.4
2031	25	MLB	BAL	0%	541	477	112	26	2	12	53	127	6	14	2	235	319	373	692	138	290	23	10	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.5
2032	25	MLB	BAL	0%	563	497	116	27	2	12	55	132	6	14	2	233	317	368	685	135	290	23	10	310	95	-3	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.5
2033	25	MLB	BAL	0%	579	510	119	27	2	13	57	135	7	15	2	233	319	371	689	137	290	23	10	310	96	-3	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.6
2034	25	MLB	BAL	0%	591	521	121	28	2	13	58	138	7	15	2	232	317	369	686	136	290	23	10	311	96	-3	+2	+0	-11	+17	0.6
2027	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	304	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	305	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	307	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		294	—	—	307	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4142	3654	851	197	16	88	406	970	46	109	15	233	317	368	685	135	291	23	10	309	94	-27	+16	+0	-74	+117	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	134	31	3	14	64	152	7	17	2	234	318	372	690	138	293	23	10	309	94	-4	+3	+0	-12	+18	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,256	89	108	233	314	368	-48	+0	5.9	5.8
	/162	664	14	17	233	314	368	-7.4	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 6
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837842 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	247/341/390	143	301	6	20	21%	11%	106	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Collin Cowgill 2010 · A	24	47→56	42→50	52→55	43	223/292/336	113	310	9	11	29%	7%	76	+0.1	252/308/372	120	310	10	20	21%	7%	92	+1.2	258/313/374	116	314	10	23	20%	7%	90	+0.9
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Cole Gillespie 2008 · A	24	47→57	45→50	48→50	51	228/313/354	126	292	12	13	25%	10%	90	+1.0	230/305/370	140	296	12	14	25%	9%	91	+1.1	256/320/365	109	307	9	13	19%	8%	94	+0.7
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	43→47	42→60	50	48	209/288/318	109	263	8	11	23%	8%	71	-0.3	208/265/373	165	269	18	10	29%	6%	75	-0.0	250/295/458	208	274	27	11	20%	6%	108	+1.3
●Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	65	-0.7	252/300/352	100	305	7	17	19%	6%	83	+0.6	284/331/408	124	327	14	8	17%	5%	106	+1.1
●Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	49→53	44→55	50→45	48	239/304/362	123	299	11	8	23%	8%	88	+0.9	247/307/403	156	296	18	6	22%	8%	100	+1.7	252/313/421	168	295	20	4	21%	8%	104	+1.6
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	44→54	43→50	53→50	44	216/281/329	114	290	9	11	28%	7%	70	-0.3	243/299/384	141	299	12	10	22%	7%	91	+1.1	247/310/396	149	300	13	11	21%	7%	96	+1.2
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→47	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	85	+0.7	225/280/320	95	320	6	8	29%	6%	66	-0.6	218/274/305	87	319	4	6	31%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Eli White 2019 · AA	25	49	41→50	49→60	42	230/288/337	107	320	7	12	29%	6%	74	-0.1	213/280/330	117	302	11	13	31%	7%	70	-0.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
●Cal Stevenson 2022 · AA	25	45→55	44→45	50→60	50	221/295/338	116	287	12	16	26%	10%	78	+0.2	232/319/349	117	305	11	24	25%	11%	91	+1.1	242/335/362	120	310	11	30	23%	12%	99	+1.0