Player 837842 — OGILVIE

Player 8378421B DSL Orioles Black

Age — —/— ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 126 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .291 / .306

PA126

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	188	144	37	12	1	4	38	26	3	19	3	257	422	438	859	181	282	14	20	384	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	188	157	24	7	1	2	25	32	3	19	3	153	281	248	529	96	171	17	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	188	157	24	7	1	2	25	32	3	19	3	153	281	248	529	96	175	17	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	188	144	37	12	1	4	38	26	3	19	3	257	422	438	859	181	282	14	20	384	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	188	158	24	7	1	2	25	32	3	19	3	152	281	247	528	95	171	17	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	188	158	24	7	1	2	25	32	3	19	3	152	281	247	528	95	171	17	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	238	212	45	10	2	2	22	62	2	7	1	213	293	309	602	96	286	26	9	275	72	-8	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	188	167	36	8	1	2	17	49	2	6	1	215	295	318	613	102	286	26	9	279	75	-6	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	218	298	324	622	106	291	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	502	436	84	20	3	5	54	114	6	29	5	193	290	287	577	94	245	23	11	267	67	-10	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	109	26	4	6	70	148	8	38	6	193	291	285	576	92	247	23	11	267	67	-20	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	314	4	10	215	292	315	-4	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	8	21	-9.0	+0.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837842 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	211/291/306	95	286	1	4	26%	9%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→45	55→60	43	194/260/285	90	269	7	19	29%	7%	55	-1.9	215/270/336	121	283	13	28	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	49→48	38→40	53→55	47	232/294/310	78	296	6	15	23%	7%	73	-0.6	222/304/296	74	290	6	18	23%	9%	74	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	43→40	42→45	51→50	46	210/284/313	103	270	9	17	25%	8%	71	-0.8	205/265/339	134	271	15	11	29%	6%	70	-0.9	193/250/343	150	249	19	7	30%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	51→50	39→45	54→50	46	239/297/327	87	315	6	19	25%	7%	78	-0.3	235/282/335	100	295	8	15	22%	6%	74	-0.6	234/277/328	95	281	8	14	19%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	43→47	40	51→50	49	206/289/302	96	264	7	15	23%	8%	70	-0.8	196/279/271	75	271	4	12	27%	9%	60	-1.6	170/265/220	50	242	2	11	27%	9%	42	-1.7
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→51	40→45	53→55	40	226/275/318	92	294	7	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	228/297/335	107	282	9	16	21%	6%	81	-0.1	225/300/334	109	273	9	18	20%	6%	81	-0.0
✕River Town 2024 · A	25	44→38	42→40	54→50	49	216/299/317	102	268	10	18	22%	8%	78	-0.3	215/304/301	86	265	6	11	20%	9%	76	-0.4	191/302/252	61	231	2	5	16%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/283/291	84	275	5	14	25%	9%	65	-1.2	204/289/333	129	276	14	8	29%	9%	78	-0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→45	38→40	50	46	230/290/312	82	295	5	14	23%	7%	72	-0.7	226/293/298	72	303	4	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	231/308/275	44	315	2	12	24%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2011 · A	25	47	40	51→50	45	224/287/320	96	303	6	13	27%	7%	73	-0.6	200/259/285	85	283	6	15	30%	6%	55	-2.0	143/202/191	48	204	4	22	31%	5%	11	-1.6
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→46	40→45	54→55	43	211/279/300	89	305	8	21	32%	8%	65	-1.2	209/301/293	84	310	6	16	31%	9%	74	-0.6	202/314/273	72	299	5	18	30%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A	24	40→50	41→45	53→55	42	196/255/297	101	272	7	15	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/275/329	99	292	6	27	22%	6%	70	-0.8	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46	40	51→50	43	219/283/319	100	307	7	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	215/284/319	104	288	8	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	197/272/296	98	255	8	12	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	49→50	39→40	53→55	50	230/306/315	86	310	5	17	26%	10%	79	-0.2	219/298/312	93	307	7	17	28%	9%	76	-0.4	175/283/245	70	255	5	31	30%	12%	55	-0.4
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→48	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	95	251	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.6	217/293/338	121	276	12	18	24%	8%	80	-0.2	228/301/359	131	273	14	24	21%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→44	43→45	50	44	210/276/328	118	277	10	12	27%	7%	71	-0.8	229/287/331	102	310	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	232/290/322	90	317	6	7	27%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	40→39	41→45	54→55	43	195/279/295	99	285	9	20	32%	8%	65	-1.2	193/280/317	124	321	13	15	41%	8%	72	-0.7	149/258/287	138	249	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps