Player 837840 — OGILVIE

Player 8378401B DSL CLE Mendoza

Age — —/— ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .295 / .289

PA119

HR1

K%30

BB%11

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	179	129	37	9	2	4	46	39	4	7	2	287	486	481	967	194	384	22	26	436	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	179	143	24	6	1	2	32	48	4	7	2	168	335	266	601	98	235	27	18	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	179	143	24	6	1	2	32	48	4	7	2	168	335	266	601	98	237	27	18	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	179	129	37	9	2	4	46	39	4	7	2	287	486	481	967	194	384	22	26	436	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	179	141	24	6	1	2	32	48	4	7	2	170	335	270	605	99	235	27	18	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	179	141	24	6	1	2	32	48	4	7	2	170	335	270	605	99	235	27	18	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	229	199	39	7	2	2	25	69	3	6	1	200	297	291	589	91	289	30	11	272	71	-8	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	182	158	32	6	1	2	20	54	2	5	1	203	299	301	600	98	288	30	11	277	73	-6	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	203	299	299	598	96	289	—	—	276	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	480	405	77	16	3	5	65	138	7	15	4	190	312	281	594	91	273	29	14	278	74	-10	+1	+0	-5	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	548	105	22	4	7	88	187	9	20	5	192	313	285	597	93	275	29	14	278	74	-22	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	301	3	8	203	296	299	-4	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	8	17	-9.0	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837840 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	198/295/289	90	289	1	3	30%	11%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→45	55→60	43	194/260/285	90	269	7	19	29%	7%	55	-1.9	215/270/336	121	283	13	28	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	41→45	41→40	49→50	41	198/277/294	96	292	8	11	33%	7%	65	-1.2	214/291/318	104	318	9	11	33%	7%	75	-0.5	211/293/311	100	318	10	12	34%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	43	41→45	50	46	197/314/296	98	306	9	10	34%	10%	80	-0.1	209/311/330	121	327	12	13	36%	10%	86	+0.3	168/302/289	121	270	14	18	38%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A	24	40→50	41→45	53→55	42	196/255/297	101	272	7	15	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/275/329	99	292	6	27	22%	6%	70	-0.8	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	43→40	42→45	51→50	46	210/284/313	103	270	9	17	25%	8%	71	-0.8	205/265/339	134	271	15	11	29%	6%	70	-0.9	193/250/343	150	249	19	7	30%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Kyler Fedko 2024 · A	24	42	43→50	50→55	52	208/295/320	112	268	10	10	25%	10%	77	-0.3	203/283/334	131	259	15	18	26%	9%	76	-0.4	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→47	42→45	52→45	43	191/259/289	98	263	10	12	30%	7%	56	-1.9	208/278/306	98	280	7	8	26%	8%	67	-1.1	205/279/304	99	274	6	6	25%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→48	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	95	251	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.6	217/293/338	121	276	12	18	24%	8%	80	-0.2	228/301/359	131	273	14	24	21%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→41	41→45	55→50	48	190/277/293	103	282	8	19	33%	10%	64	-1.3	198/279/320	122	314	11	14	37%	10%	71	-0.8	175/269/315	140	286	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46	40	51→50	43	219/283/319	100	307	7	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	215/284/319	104	288	8	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	197/272/296	98	255	8	12	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	40→39	41→45	54→55	43	195/279/295	99	285	9	20	32%	8%	65	-1.2	193/280/317	124	321	13	15	41%	8%	72	-0.7	149/258/287	138	249	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/283/291	84	275	5	14	25%	9%	65	-1.2	204/289/333	129	276	14	8	29%	9%	78	-0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Otto Kemp 2024 · A	24	41→49	40→50	51→50	44	196/281/291	94	288	7	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	221/302/364	143	294	14	14	29%	6%	90	+0.6	216/301/368	151	282	17	14	28%	6%	90	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps