Player 837629 — OGILVIE

Player 8376291B DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .243 / .231

PA77

HR0

K%40

BB%8

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	64	8	3	0	0	11	33	2	1	0	125	273	172	445	47	258	42	14	225	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	67	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	75	195	104	299	30	168	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	67	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	75	195	104	299	30	185	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	64	8	3	0	0	11	33	2	1	0	125	273	172	445	47	258	42	14	225	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	68	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	74	195	103	298	29	168	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	68	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	74	195	103	298	29	168	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	200	179	30	6	1	1	16	80	3	2	1	169	245	233	478	64	290	40	8	223	37	-15	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	132	119	21	4	1	1	10	51	2	1	0	173	249	243	492	71	290	39	8	229	41	-9	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	173	249	245	494	71	291	—	—	230	41	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	287	256	37	8	1	1	24	122	5	3	0	145	232	195	427	51	269	43	8	204	24	-15	+0	+0	-4	+5	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	83	18	2	2	54	276	11	7	0	143	229	191	420	48	266	42	8	204	24	-47	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.3	209	1	2	172	245	241	-3	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	4	7	-8.9	+0.0	-3.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837629 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	167/243/231	64	290	0	1	40%	8%	37	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Chandler Seagle 2021 · A	25	41	38→40	49→45	37	191/248/274	83	307	5	6	37%	6%	48	-2.5	191/244/267	76	287	5	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	77	276	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/266/305	105	332	10	6	40%	7%	62	-1.4	164/241/273	109	265	13	0	40%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Matt O'Neill 2023 · AA	25	37	39→45	46→45	43	165/261/247	83	316	6	4	45%	11%	49	-2.4	177/251/270	93	302	9	4	41%	9%	49	-2.4	188/262/285	97	277	9	2	33%	9%	54	-0.6
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	187/230/257	70	298	5	6	38%	5%	36	-3.3	193/258/295	102	281	9	9	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/254/290	109	255	10	10	32%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Julio Carrion 2023 · A	24	39	41→40	49→45	38	181/265/272	91	318	9	6	42%	8%	55	-1.9	191/250/284	93	355	8	6	45%	6%	51	-2.2	154/192/229	75	308	6	0	50%	3%	13	-1.4
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	202/254/301	99	322	8	8	38%	6%	56	-1.9	183/241/291	108	277	11	8	36%	5%	50	-2.3	169/229/274	105	250	11	8	35%	5%	39	-1.4
✕John Nester 2014 · A	25	38	39→40	44→40	42	186/252/269	83	284	7	6	35%	8%	49	-2.4	204/262/292	88	306	6	6	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/241/247	67	275	3	0	33%	7%	36	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps