Player 836617 — OGILVIE

Player 8366171B DSL Orioles Orange

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 129 proj PA

wRC+70

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .290 / .297

PA129

HR2

K%29

BB%9

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	144	36	10	0	6	36	36	8	1	1	250	426	444	870	194	288	19	19	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	155	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	148	298	245	543	97	174	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	155	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	148	298	245	543	97	182	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	144	36	10	0	6	36	36	8	1	1	250	426	444	870	194	288	19	19	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	156	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	147	298	244	541	96	174	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	156	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	147	298	244	541	96	174	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	241	213	44	9	1	3	22	69	4	2	1	206	292	300	592	94	287	29	9	272	70	-8	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	190	168	35	7	1	3	17	54	3	1	0	209	294	309	603	101	287	28	9	276	73	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	209	294	309	603	101	287	—	—	276	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	510	437	83	18	2	8	54	135	13	3	1	190	298	295	593	105	252	26	11	266	66	-11	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	106	23	3	10	69	172	17	4	1	190	299	296	595	106	253	26	11	266	66	-22	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	319	4	2	208	291	307	-4	+0	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	9	4	-9.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836617 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	204/290/297	93	287	2	1	29%	9%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	216/281/312	96	287	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.9	238/297/375	137	293	13	8	23%	5%	90	+0.6	243/303/387	143	295	14	8	22%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A	25	43→38	41→40	43→45	42	213/277/308	96	273	9	5	25%	6%	67	-1.1	193/266/279	86	272	8	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	93/190/126	33	148	4	0	37%	6%	-5	-1.3
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	193/270/272	79	283	7	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	215/305/341	126	282	13	8	26%	10%	86	+0.3	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jeremy Cruz 2012 · A	25	45→43	41→45	45	40	218/262/321	102	289	9	7	27%	5%	63	-1.3	222/267/337	115	302	11	7	29%	5%	69	-0.9	224/255/367	143	306	16	0	32%	2%	68	-0.2
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/274/298	107	258	11	5	29%	9%	64	-1.3	195/276/301	106	276	9	7	31%	8%	65	-1.2	110/220/193	83	161	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Adam Abraham 2012 · A	25	43→45	44→45	44→40	43	213/273/334	121	277	11	5	27%	7%	72	-0.7	221/281/340	119	286	11	4	26%	7%	76	-0.4	223/283/338	116	279	11	2	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→33	40→50	46→45	45	206/264/301	94	266	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	199/246/325	126	276	14	6	32%	5%	59	-1.6	191/239/324	133	257	16	5	32%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	213/301/309	96	285	6	10	25%	9%	77	-0.3	204/305/297	93	275	5	10	24%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	45	41→45	48→40	41	218/261/320	102	281	7	5	25%	5%	63	-1.4	224/267/334	110	287	11	7	25%	5%	68	-1.0	222/260/327	105	278	12	5	24%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Marcus Knecht 2015 · A	25	39→42	42→45	48→50	40	194/255/300	106	273	8	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	193/261/277	84	281	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	167/243/236	69	251	2	13	31%	7%	36	-2.6
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	40	197/249/279	82	279	5	5	30%	6%	49	-2.4	230/288/350	120	280	13	4	22%	7%	80	-0.1	226/288/339	113	276	12	2	22%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Zach Zubia 2023 · A	25	38→33	43→45	46→30	52	184/296/291	107	292	12	3	37%	13%	72	-0.7	200/293/327	127	303	16	4	36%	11%	78	-0.3	187/281/316	129	273	18	2	36%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Kyler Fedko 2024 · A	24	42	43→50	50→55	52	208/295/320	112	268	10	10	25%	10%	77	-0.3	203/283/334	131	259	15	18	26%	9%	76	-0.4	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Deibinson Romero 2011 · A	24	41→45	39→50	45→40	44	200/270/288	88	281	7	3	30%	8%	59	-1.6	218/283/344	126	274	14	3	25%	7%	78	-0.3	226/298/362	137	274	14	2	22%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	44	40→45	49→50	43	212/278/311	99	286	7	9	27%	7%	68	-1.0	213/273/316	103	296	9	13	30%	6%	67	-1.1	206/261/305	100	289	10	17	31%	5%	57	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps