Player 836599 — OGILVIE

Player 836599— DSL Astros Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION96 act + 64 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .339

PA64

HR1

K%25

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	HOU	—	96	81	14	3	1	1	14	22	1	6	2	173	302	272	574	99	224	23	15	267	63	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
YTD	—	ROK	HOU	—	96	73	18	4	2	1	22	15	1	6	2	247	427	397	824	151	298	16	23	380	149	+5	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.7
ROS	—	ROK	HOU	0%	64	56	12	2	1	1	7	16	1	2	1	214	312	339	652	125	278	25	11	280	72	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	275	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	HOU	—	96	82	14	3	1	1	14	22	1	6	2	171	302	268	570	98	220	23	15	267	63	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
TOT	—	ROK	HOU	—	160	137	26	5	2	2	21	38	2	8	3	190	306	299	606	109	247	24	13	272	66	-6	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	0%	160	141	30	6	2	2	17	40	1	5	1	213	302	326	628	113	280	25	11	285	76	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	281	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	224	197	42	8	3	3	24	56	2	7	2	213	305	330	635	117	281	25	11	284	75	-6	+1	+0	-4	+6	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	122	23	9	9	70	162	6	20	6	213	306	332	638	119	280	25	11	284	75	-18	+2	+0	-12	+18	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	318	3	10	214	301	318	-5	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	7	20	214	301	318	-9.5	+0.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836599 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	190/306/299	109	247	2	8	24%	13%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→46	38→40	50	46	232/292/315	82	298	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.3	229/297/301	72	307	4	12	25%	8%	69	-0.4	236/315/281	45	322	2	12	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	43→40	54→55	45	217/293/331	114	301	9	20	29%	8%	76	+0.0	209/307/325	116	287	11	20	28%	10%	81	+0.4	198/306/304	106	267	10	24	27%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Kyle Gaedele 2014 · A	24	44→43	42→45	55→50	42	210/274/325	116	302	9	17	32%	7%	66	-0.6	200/268/341	141	320	15	12	40%	8%	68	-0.5	176/260/344	168	320	21	7	48%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	50→51	39→40	53→55	50	232/309/319	87	314	6	17	26%	10%	79	+0.3	221/300/314	93	310	7	17	28%	9%	74	-0.1	179/288/250	72	261	5	31	30%	12%	53	-0.3
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46→45	40→45	51→50	42	218/282/319	100	311	7	11	30%	7%	67	-0.5	220/289/331	111	296	9	11	27%	8%	73	-0.1	208/283/321	112	268	11	12	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	45	245/301/332	87	326	5	19	26%	7%	78	+0.2	229/276/328	99	293	8	15	24%	6%	66	-0.6	222/267/316	94	272	8	14	21%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→42	42→45	55→50	48	190/278/297	107	285	9	19	34%	10%	61	-1.0	196/278/323	127	324	12	14	39%	10%	67	-0.5	170/264/317	147	295	14	11	43%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	47→44	37→40	51→55	51	221/300/301	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	71	-0.3	219/280/293	74	278	4	16	21%	7%	59	-1.1	224/278/281	57	285	2	20	21%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	48→53	38→40	52→55	47	224/295/304	81	307	5	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	225/290/308	83	316	7	11	29%	8%	67	-0.5	221/282/297	76	309	7	9	29%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Jacob Buchberger 2023 · AA	25	46	41→45	54→50	45	224/281/321	97	293	8	13	26%	7%	67	-0.5	209/271/315	106	292	11	13	30%	7%	62	-0.9	195/259/298	102	276	12	13	32%	7%	49	-1.3
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A	24	40→50	40→45	53→55	42	197/257/297	100	275	7	15	30%	7%	51	-1.7	229/274/327	98	294	7	27	23%	6%	65	-0.7	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1