Player 836593 — OGILVIE

Player 8365931B DSL Orioles Orange

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+51

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .258 / .269

PA60

HR0

K%32

BB%8

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	15	13	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	154	267	231	497	77	222	27	13	239	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	142	33	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	222	33	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	15	13	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	154	267	231	497	77	222	27	13	239	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	142	33	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	142	33	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	200	182	35	9	1	1	15	65	1	2	1	194	260	272	532	78	291	32	8	244	51	-12	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	103	93	19	4	1	1	8	33	1	1	0	196	263	278	541	82	290	32	8	247	54	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	196	263	278	541	82	290	—	—	247	54	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	178	162	31	8	1	1	14	57	1	1	0	191	260	272	531	80	286	32	8	238	47	-9	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	114	29	4	4	51	208	4	4	0	193	262	275	537	83	286	32	8	238	47	-37	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836593 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	192/258/269	77	291	0	0	32%	8%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	36	183/235/261	77	267	3	10	31%	4%	40	-3.1	200/260/334	134	278	14	16	32%	5%	68	-1.0	183/246/324	141	255	15	27	33%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Marcus Knecht 2015 · A	25	39→42	42→45	48→50	40	194/255/300	106	273	8	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	193/261/277	84	281	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	167/243/236	69	251	2	13	31%	7%	36	-2.6
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	36→37	40→45	40	42	179/238/262	82	236	8	3	27%	6%	42	-2.9	200/266/314	114	276	12	3	30%	7%	64	-1.3	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Grant Buckner 2013 · A	25	43→41	40	44→40	40	210/263/298	87	287	7	6	29%	5%	59	-1.7	212/261/315	103	270	9	5	24%	5%	62	-1.4	208/256/315	107	255	10	3	22%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7