Matt Dunaway
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 27
RHP
5'11" / 232 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 9 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.3%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP9
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 8 | 1 | 15 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12% | 1.8 | 12.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 1.84 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 8 | 1 | 15 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12% | 1.8 | 16.1% | 3.6% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 1.84 | 3.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 12 | 1 | 17 | 78 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.10 | 7.41 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 25 | 115 | 24 | 10 | 5 | — | — | 21.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 6.80 | 6.35 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.03 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 81 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 2 | 31 | 134 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 10% | 1.6 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.17 | 5.92 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 128 | 13 | 200 | 855 | 126 | 62 | 49 | 10% | 1.6 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.17 | 5.92 | -1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Dunaway (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 22.3% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 81 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 81 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 80 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 80 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .237 | 2.64 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.75 | 2.45 | 394 | 80 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2029 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 78 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 78 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 78 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 78 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.30 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.16 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.86 | 2.80 | 155 | 78 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .340 | 3.99 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 94 | +0.46 | 2.67 | 177 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 77 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 25.7% | 8.4% | 3.6% | .333 | 4.53 | 17.6% | 6.1% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.54 | 214 | 77 |
| Heath Hembree R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | .292 | 3.96 | 27.3% | 18.8% | 162 | +0.27 | 2.67 | 382 | 77 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 77 |