Fabian Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Fabian GonzalezOF DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 83 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .276 / .292

PA83

HR1

K%29

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	51	48	8	2	0	0	1	15	2	0	0	167	216	208	424	42	242	29	2	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	51	47	12	3	0	0	2	10	2	0	0	255	314	319	633	64	324	20	4	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TOR	—	125	105	16	7	0	0	14	39	0	9	1	152	252	219	471	67	222	31	11	220	27	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
YTD	18	ROK	TOR	—	125	97	21	10	0	0	22	27	0	9	1	216	361	320	681	103	276	22	18	305	92	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	TOR	0%	83	75	15	4	0	1	7	24	1	3	0	199	276	292	568	93	274	29	8	251	51	-5	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	247	47	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TOR	—	125	106	16	7	0	0	14	39	0	9	1	151	252	217	469	66	219	31	11	220	27	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
TOT	18	ROK	TOR	—	208	180	31	11	0	1	21	63	1	12	1	172	262	250	511	78	245	30	10	233	36	-15	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TOR	34%	238	214	43	11	1	2	20	66	2	5	1	201	275	290	565	89	278	28	8	264	61	-11	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
2027	19	MLB	TOR	34%	82	74	15	4	0	1	7	23	1	2	0	203	280	297	578	95	279	28	9	259	56	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	82	75	15	4	0	1	7	23	1	2	0	200	280	293	574	93	275	28	9	259	56	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	119	32	0	8	55	182	8	16	0	200	280	294	574	94	274	28	8	259	56	-32	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	372	337	66	17	1	3	28	105	5	8	1	196	267	279	546	83	274	28	8	250	49	-21	+1	+0	-2	+11	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	116	30	2	5	49	183	9	14	2	197	269	280	549	83	275	28	8	250	49	-37	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	51	47	12	3	0	0	2	10	2	0	0	255	314	319	633	64	324	20	4	291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	172/262/250	78	245	1	12	30%	10%	36	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Johan Lopez 2018 · A	18	39	36→45	47→55	40	185/242/248	63	252	3	11	27%	5%	32	-3.0	204/265/285	81	246	4	15	18%	6%	51	-1.7	200/275/301	101	259	7	19	24%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	51→55	38	186/249/260	74	297	5	10	37%	6%	39	-2.5	189/259/297	108	290	10	12	36%	7%	53	-1.5	159/234/278	120	248	12	17	39%	7%	35	-0.8
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Israel Mota 2014 · A	18	39	37→45	47→50	45	186/266/260	74	272	4	7	31%	8%	46	-2.0	197/247/292	95	286	8	9	32%	5%	45	-2.1	192/240/304	112	265	12	11	31%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Juan Baez 2023 · A	18	43→37	36→40	49→50	44	203/250/264	61	250	3	15	20%	5%	38	-2.6	224/268/306	82	266	4	13	17%	5%	57	-1.2	213/265/282	69	250	3	11	15%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	39→36	42→45	47→50	46	192/253/301	109	237	9	13	23%	7%	50	-1.7	186/243/279	93	277	8	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	44→28	36→45	52→50	43	203/273/273	70	297	3	14	30%	7%	52	-1.6	193/263/272	79	302	5	16	35%	8%	47	-1.9	205/271/341	136	317	14	17	37%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	30	-3.1	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	42	-2.3	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Adalfi Almonte 2014 · A	18	39	41→40	51→50	47	187/275/288	101	276	7	11	32%	10%	57	-1.2	191/286/274	83	275	6	12	30%	9%	59	-1.1	175/285/243	68	254	5	14	29%	10%	49	-0.6
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Marino Campana 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→55	49→45	36	202/250/277	74	293	3	8	31%	4%	42	-2.3	198/243/301	103	281	9	5	31%	4%	46	-2.0	174/216/306	132	255	15	2	37%	4%	33	-1.2
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Angel Aponte 2018 · A	18	43	40→45	53→55	42	206/274/301	94	284	6	13	28%	6%	59	-1.1	206/265/304	98	285	8	19	29%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	34	-2.8	186/256/285	99	277	9	12	34%	7%	48	-1.9	118/203/228	110	217	14	11	50%	8%	10	-1.7