Cristhian Espinosa

P DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 155 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ROKDSL Phillies …	17	25	3.24	2.98	16.7%	5.9%	—	K 11.3% · BB 7.4% · FIP 3.97
2026	23	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	7	16	1.69	3.48	12.1%	4.5%	—	K 8.2% · BB 5.7% · FIP 4.29
2027PROJ	24	MLB—	10	11	4.42	4.42	19.0%	7.2%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLB—	10	10	4.36	4.33	20.1%	7.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJosh Advocate (age 24) · Vince Vannelle (age 24) · Roberto Novoa (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%19.0%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%11.8%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	17	0	25	102	17	6	1	0%	1.5	11.3%	7.4%	4.0%	1.6%	3.24	3.97	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	17	0	25	102	17	6	1	0%	1.5	11.3%	7.4%	4.0%	1.6%	3.24	3.97	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	17	0	25	102	17	6	1	0%	1.5	16.7%	5.9%	10.8%	1.0%	3.24	2.98	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	7	0	16	66	8	3	1	0%	2.3	8.2%	5.7%	2.6%	2.1%	1.69	4.29	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	7	0	16	66	8	3	1	0%	2.3	8.2%	5.7%	2.6%	2.1%	1.69	4.29	—
2026	23	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	7	0	16	66	8	3	1	0%	2.3	12.1%	4.5%	7.6%	1.5%	1.69	3.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	—	10	0	11	46	9	3	1	0%	1.1	19.0%	7.2%	11.8%	3.0%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	22	0	23	96	19	7	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	7.3%	12.8%	3.0%	4.36	4.33	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	10	0	10	42	8	3	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	7.3%	12.8%	3.0%	4.36	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	8	3	1	0%	1.1	20.1%	7.3%	12.8%	3.0%	4.36	3.95	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	62	21	0%	1.1	20.1%	7.3%	12.8%	3.0%	4.36	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		24	0	41	168	17	11	3	0%	1.7	10.1%	6.7%	3.4%	1.8%	2.63	4.09	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	0	200	820	83	55	15	0%	1.7	10.1%	6.7%	3.4%	1.8%	2.63	4.09	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristhian Espinosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	19.0%	7.2%	3.0%	—	4.33	20.1%	12.8%	23	-0.09	—	—	—
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	90
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	87
Roberto Novoa R 2004 · 4.90 FIP	24	SU	4.90	16.0%	6.4%	4.3%	.304	4.56	18.4%	9.9%	121	-0.34	3.41	142	85
Micah Dallas R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	18.7%	7.1%	3.0%	.273	4.34	17.8%	8.2%	104	+0.30	3.60	202	85
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	85
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	85
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	85
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	84
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	84
Ocean Gabonia R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	23	SU	3.71	19.7%	6.8%	2.6%	.316	2.79	18.4%	8.6%	41	-0.92	2.79	144	84
Austin Maddox R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	15.1%	5.1%	2.7%	.265	3.34	19.2%	9.1%	130	-0.59	3.25	156	84
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Hector Noesí R 2011 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	18.2%	7.3%	2.3%	.320	4.89	16.1%	8.4%	306	+1.16	3.73	613	83
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	83
Jackson Rees R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.354	1.90	28.2%	20.8%	62	-2.57	1.90	103	83
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83