Jake Brink

P Daytona Tortugas

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	ACIN	15	9	57	8.42	6.12	16.0%	9.3%	—	K 11.9% · BB 11.0% · FIP 7.22
2027PROJ	24	MLBCIN	6	6	40	5.45	5.45	15.5%	10.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCIN	3	3	22	5.23	5.16	17.5%	10.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCIN	5	5	34	5.09	5.03	18.7%	10.0%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Ryan Jensen (age 25) · Cha Seung Baek (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%15.5%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	15	9	57	268	43	25	14	60%	3.8	11.9%	11.0%	0.9%	6.8%	8.42	7.22	—
2026	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	15	9	57	268	43	25	14	60%	3.8	11.9%	11.0%	0.9%	6.8%	8.42	7.22	—
2026	23	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	15	9	57	268	43	25	14	60%	3.8	16.0%	9.3%	6.7%	5.2%	8.42	6.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CIN	6	6	40	169	26	18	6	100%	6.7	15.5%	10.7%	4.8%	3.5%	5.45	5.45	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	52	218	38	22	7	100%	6.5	17.5%	10.1%	7.5%	3.4%	5.23	5.16	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	52	218	41	22	7	100%	6.5	18.7%	10.0%	8.8%	3.4%	5.09	5.03	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	51	214	41	21	7	100%	6.3	18.9%	10.0%	8.9%	3.4%	5.04	5.03	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	3	3	22	93	16	9	3	100%	7.3	17.5%	10.1%	7.5%	3.4%	5.23	5.16	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	5	5	34	144	27	14	5	100%	6.8	18.7%	10.0%	8.8%	3.4%	5.09	5.03	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CIN	6	6	39	165	31	16	6	100%	6.5	18.9%	10.0%	8.9%	3.4%	5.04	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	15	95	403	75	40	14	100%	6.4	18.5%	10.0%	8.5%	3.4%	5.10	4.68	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	157	84	29	100%	6.3	18.5%	10.0%	8.5%	3.4%	5.10	4.68	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		15	9	57	268	32	30	18	60%	3.8	11.9%	11.0%	0.9%	6.8%	8.42	7.22	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	32	200	946	112	104	64	60%	3.8	11.9%	11.0%	0.9%	6.8%	8.42	7.22	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Brink (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	15.5%	10.7%	3.5%	—	5.07	18.4%	8.4%	154	-0.38	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	87
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	84
Cha Seung Baek R 2004 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP-	4.77	14.4%	7.2%	3.6%	.288	3.95	15.7%	10.0%	108	-0.82	3.35	280	83
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	83
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	82
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	82
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	81
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	80
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	80
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	80
Alfredo Aceves R 2008 · 4.86 FIP	25	SP-	4.86	13.3%	8.3%	3.3%	.233	3.69	17.6%	10.9%	210	-1.17	3.53	541	79
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	79
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	79
Matt Wise R 2000 · 5.35 FIP	24	SP-	5.35	12.3%	7.4%	4.3%	.266	4.98	23.7%	15.6%	49	-0.37	3.33	302	79
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	79
Jon Rauch R 2002 · 5.99 FIP	23	SP-	5.99	14.6%	9.2%	5.4%	.228	3.36	17.6%	10.5%	62	-2.63	2.87	595	78
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Burke Badenhop R 2008 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	16.1%	9.2%	3.2%	.308	3.13	18.0%	11.5%	203	-1.54	2.67	512	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	48	17.8%	10.2%	1.33	5.19
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*