Player 834331 — OGILVIE

Player 8343311B DSL Padres Brown

Age — —/— ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 155 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .281

PA155

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER28

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	185	41	8	0	0	30	33	1	9	3	222	332	265	597	43	268	15	14	281	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	195	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	144	230	169	400	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	195	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	144	230	169	400	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	185	41	8	0	0	30	33	1	9	3	222	332	265	597	43	268	15	14	281	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	196	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	143	230	168	399	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	196	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	143	230	168	399	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	270	245	53	9	2	2	21	72	2	5	1	214	282	283	565	69	293	27	8	259	62	-12	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	209	189	41	7	1	2	17	55	1	4	1	216	284	292	577	76	292	26	8	264	65	-9	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	213	281	287	568	74	287	—	—	260	65	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	584	525	99	17	2	3	50	136	3	16	5	189	263	246	509	57	247	23	9	235	45	-16	+1	+0	-6	+8	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	110	19	2	3	56	151	3	18	6	188	262	243	506	55	247	23	9	235	45	-28	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	364	3	6	216	281	290	-5	+0	-0.9	-0.5
/162	664	5	11	-9.1	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 834331 (OGILVIE)	25	58	28	50	54	212/280/281	68	293	1	3	26%	8%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Simunic 2011 · A	25	50→56	36→30	52→50	48	230/299/295	65	312	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.7	231/285/296	65	310	4	14	25%	7%	66	-1.1	252/294/288	36	321	2	17	21%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Yhoxian Medina 2015 · A	25	50→53	35→30	45→50	46	235/289/297	62	297	2	10	21%	6%	68	-1.0	234/282/305	71	285	4	11	18%	5%	67	-1.1	241/283/307	66	285	3	12	16%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Nick Blasi 2007 · A	25	46→55	38→40	52→50	43	218/273/301	83	290	5	11	25%	6%	63	-1.4	228/277/311	83	322	7	11	29%	6%	67	-1.1	232/280/305	74	332	7	12	31%	5%	63	-0.9
✕Danny Oh 2015 · A	25	50	35→30	48→50	47	228/302/289	61	308	2	8	25%	8%	72	-0.7	233/282/300	67	297	2	13	21%	6%	65	-1.2	239/282/298	59	299	1	16	19%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Melvin Mercedes 2017 · A	25	48→51	35→30	47→50	48	224/284/284	60	287	2	9	22%	7%	63	-1.4	218/296/281	63	287	2	8	22%	9%	68	-1.0	207/299/259	51	275	1	8	22%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Carter Howell 2023 · A	24	47→51	38→40	50	43	219/282/299	80	307	4	8	28%	7%	66	-1.1	223/281/321	98	300	6	10	26%	7%	70	-0.8	216/277/313	97	288	6	10	25%	7%	64	-1.1
✕Collin Radack 2016 · A	24	50→52	37→30	48→50	42	234/301/301	68	317	4	11	26%	6%	74	-0.5	229/293/294	65	317	4	11	27%	6%	69	-0.9	235/296/255	20	331	0	11	27%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Jhon Florentino 2009 · A	25	50→53	38→40	47→45	40	237/273/323	86	302	5	9	23%	4%	68	-1.0	233/269/325	92	291	6	7	21%	5%	66	-1.1	233/268/325	92	286	6	4	20%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	221/275/299	78	279	4	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	228/276/306	78	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/300	70	292	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Shawn Roof 2010 · AA	25	49	35→30	47→50	44	231/288/287	57	299	2	10	22%	6%	65	-1.2	235/286/292	57	305	2	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	238/286/278	40	308	0	19	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Nick Liles 2012 · A	25	54→62	36→30	52→50	44	255/288/326	71	299	2	13	16%	4%	73	-0.6	238/284/304	66	293	3	10	19%	6%	67	-1.1	248/296/280	32	305	0	9	18%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Grant Hogue 2011 · A	25	52→55	34→30	51→55	42	240/290/296	56	297	2	19	19%	4%	68	-1.0	238/288/298	60	301	2	26	20%	5%	68	-1.0	241/292/293	52	307	1	35	20%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Daniel Amaral 2021 · A	24	48	37→40	53→55	43	223/288/301	77	308	4	16	27%	6%	70	-0.9	212/276/320	108	289	10	20	28%	7%	70	-0.9	205/275/310	105	273	9	31	27%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Steven Tinoco 2013 · A	25	51→52	34→30	44→40	47	238/286/288	51	275	2	5	14%	5%	64	-1.3	211/260/279	68	268	4	7	21%	5%	53	-2.1	153/199/192	39	211	0	3	26%	4%	7	-1.3
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46	40	51→50	43	219/283/319	100	307	7	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	215/284/319	104	288	8	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	197/272/296	98	255	8	12	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Zach Vincej 2015 · A	24	48→52	35→40	45→50	45	222/277/288	65	285	2	9	22%	6%	61	-1.5	229/279/305	76	285	4	8	20%	6%	66	-1.1	231/278/308	77	280	5	7	18%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Julian Williams 2007 · A	24	47	36→30	49→55	48	219/304/291	72	292	3	15	24%	8%	74	-0.6	218/292/286	68	280	3	17	21%	8%	67	-1.1	214/289/258	44	269	0	23	19%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Glynn Davis 2017 · AA	25	49→56	38→40	47→55	41	231/274/314	83	306	5	16	26%	5%	66	-1.1	215/253/310	95	300	7	11	29%	5%	57	-1.8	206/235/294	88	293	5	10	30%	3%	45	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps