Justin Stransky

C South Bend Cubs

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ACHC	51	.163/.265/.186	0	2	1	—	.133/.204/.156
2026	23	A+CHC	312	.209/.343/.331	6	11	57	—	.178/.278/.275
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBCHC	1	.221/.303/.333	0	0	80	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBCHC	113	.223/.305/.339	2	2	82	0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBCHC	197	.224/.305/.343	4	4	84	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.6M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%90

Whiff%86

Chase%82

BB%76

Z-Con%73

Speed66

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsGraysen Tarlow (age 23) · Tyler Smith (age 24) · Daniel Lyons (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .303 / .333

PA1

HR0

K%24

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	43	7	1	0	0	6	12	0	2	0	163	265	186	451	23	212	24	12	214	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	312	254	53	11	1	6	46	50	6	11	1	209	343	331	674	122	230	16	15	309	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	45	6	1	0	0	4	17	0	2	0	133	204	156	360	22	193	33	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	312	269	48	9	1	5	31	64	6	11	1	178	278	275	553	97	202	21	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	45	6	1	0	0	4	17	0	2	0	133	204	156	360	22	200	33	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	43	7	1	0	0	6	12	0	2	0	163	265	186	451	23	212	24	12	214	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	312	269	48	9	1	5	31	64	6	11	1	178	278	275	553	97	209	21	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	312	254	53	11	1	6	46	50	6	11	1	209	343	331	674	122	230	16	15	309	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	47	6	1	0	0	4	17	0	2	0	128	204	149	353	21	193	33	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	312	272	48	9	1	5	31	64	6	11	1	176	278	272	550	96	202	21	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	51	47	6	1	0	0	4	17	0	2	0	128	204	149	353	21	193	33	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	312	272	48	9	1	5	31	64	6	11	1	176	278	272	550	96	202	21	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	362	322	71	14	2	6	33	85	4	7	2	219	301	330	631	111	276	23	9	287	80	-8	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	221	303	333	636	112	279	0	0	289	80	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	38%	297	264	58	11	2	5	27	70	4	6	1	221	303	337	639	116	277	24	9	290	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	356	316	71	14	2	7	33	83	4	7	2	222	304	340	644	118	278	23	9	292	84	-7	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	385	342	76	15	2	7	36	90	4	7	2	222	304	341	645	119	278	23	9	292	84	-7	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	401	357	79	15	2	8	37	95	4	7	2	222	302	340	642	118	277	24	9	291	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	404	360	79	15	2	8	37	96	4	6	2	220	300	337	637	117	277	24	9	289	82	-9	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	404	361	78	15	2	7	36	98	4	6	2	217	297	329	626	112	275	24	9	284	78	-10	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.4
2034	31	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	382	341	73	14	2	6	34	94	4	5	2	213	292	319	611	106	272	25	9	278	74	-12	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	355	318	65	12	1	5	31	89	3	4	4	208	285	306	592	99	267	25	9	270	69	-13	-1	-4	+6	+8	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	38%	113	101	22	4	1	2	10	27	1	2	0	223	305	339	644	116	280	24	9	292	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	197	175	40	8	1	4	18	46	2	4	1	224	305	343	648	119	281	23	9	293	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	236	209	46	9	1	4	22	55	3	4	1	224	305	344	649	120	281	23	9	294	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	259	230	51	10	1	5	24	61	3	4	1	223	304	342	646	119	281	24	9	292	83	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	260	231	51	10	1	5	24	62	3	4	1	222	302	339	641	117	280	24	9	290	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	260	232	50	10	1	4	23	63	3	4	1	219	298	331	629	112	278	24	9	286	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	246	220	47	9	1	4	22	60	2	3	1	215	293	321	614	107	274	24	9	279	74	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	228	204	42	8	1	3	20	57	2	3	2	209	287	309	595	99	270	25	9	272	69	-8	-0	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1799	1602	349	68	8	31	163	431	19	28	8	218	298	328	626	110	277	24	9	287	77	-44	+2	-7	+32	+39	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	126	25	3	11	59	156	7	10	3	218	298	328	626	111	277	24	9	287	77	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3610	3207	683	131	17	62	330	858	40	66	19	213	294	322	617	109	269	24	9	281	77	-79	+3	-10	+58	+70	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	123	24	3	11	59	154	7	12	3	213	293	322	616	109	269	24	9	281	77	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.7	1,801	32	28	219	296	332	+32	+20	3.8	3.8
/162	664	12	10	+11.9	+7.4	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Stransky (OGILVIE)	24	50	37	51	54	217/299/327	110	276	4	5	24%	9%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Graysen Tarlow 2024 · A	23	45	43→30	49→40	50	217/307/331	113	283	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	211/291/285	74	299	6	6	29%	8%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	313	6	7	28%	8%	76	-0.1
✕Tyler Smith 2015 · AA	24	49→54	41→40	47→50	48	235/305/339	103	298	8	10	23%	8%	84	+0.1	233/291/317	84	297	6	8	22%	7%	74	-0.6	226/283/300	74	288	5	7	22%	6%	63	-1.0
✕Daniel Lyons 2009 · A	24	47	40	50	48	223/304/325	102	285	7	13	23%	8%	81	-0.1	196/280/278	82	263	5	14	25%	9%	62	-1.4	163/256/221	59	224	3	15	26%	10%	40	-1.4
✕Tony Delmonico 2011 · A	24	48	43→45	50→40	48	233/312/339	106	299	10	6	24%	8%	88	+0.4	218/306/327	109	301	10	4	29%	9%	83	+0.1	214/310/337	123	288	13	1	28%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	47→51	43→45	50→45	46	227/301/344	117	302	9	8	26%	8%	84	+0.2	200/277/304	104	277	9	9	29%	9%	66	-1.1	177/259/273	96	245	9	9	30%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Noah Cardenas 2024 · A	24	47→45	40→45	45	53	222/321/319	97	298	7	9	26%	11%	87	+0.4	191/290/299	108	255	11	6	28%	10%	72	-0.7	160/269/272	112	204	15	4	28%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Zach Humphreys 2023 · AA	25	45	43→40	49→50	52	221/304/327	106	290	11	12	26%	10%	82	-0.0	212/285/304	92	286	7	15	26%	9%	69	-0.9	198/271/277	78	269	5	16	26%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Shane Justis 2008 · A	25	50→52	43→40	52→50	48	244/305/359	114	284	11	10	18%	7%	88	+0.5	241/299/331	90	283	5	10	16%	6%	80	-0.2	243/301/325	82	284	4	9	15%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Christian Herrera 2006 · AAA	24	50	43→40	50→45	51	240/313/356	116	304	9	11	23%	9%	91	+0.6	253/311/350	97	335	6	10	24%	7%	88	+0.5	252/306/329	77	330	4	7	23%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Eric Fryer 2010 · A	24	49→59	41→45	49→50	45	237/296/342	105	299	8	10	23%	7%	81	-0.1	233/299/340	107	304	9	10	25%	7%	82	+0.0	229/299/334	104	302	9	9	25%	8%	77	-0.1
✕Tommy Field 2011 · A	24	47→50	45	50→45	44	228/300/351	123	298	12	10	26%	7%	86	+0.3	229/294/350	121	293	12	8	25%	7%	83	+0.1	223/292/352	129	279	13	7	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Brian Finegan 2006 · A	24	51→53	42→40	48→50	44	246/304/355	109	301	9	10	21%	6%	88	+0.4	224/282/313	89	297	6	14	25%	6%	70	-0.9	207/264/280	73	284	5	17	27%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	47→52	40	49→50	46	225/293/314	89	300	7	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	216/287/298	82	290	6	14	26%	8%	68	-1.0	212/288/284	72	281	5	16	24%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	44	46→40	49→50	49	214/312/344	129	290	14	11	29%	10%	89	+0.5	212/309/310	98	304	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.1	207/293/299	92	288	9	15	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	48	41→40	52→50	52	228/308/335	106	279	7	14	20%	9%	84	+0.2	258/320/336	78	312	4	11	17%	8%	88	+0.5	285/343/346	61	340	2	10	16%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Kevin Nolan 2013 · A	25	50→49	41→45	47→50	49	241/301/352	111	291	7	10	19%	8%	85	+0.2	233/278/328	95	272	7	8	17%	6%	71	-0.8	228/269/313	86	261	6	7	15%	5%	62	-1.2
✕Chris Westervelt 2006 · A	24	46	44→45	47→45	51	224/302/348	125	278	11	4	23%	9%	86	+0.3	214/278/341	127	304	14	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	172/236/294	122	249	19	5	38%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Tim Hutting 2006 · AA	24	52	38→40	50	47	243/313/327	84	312	4	11	22%	7%	84	+0.2	229/289/316	87	295	7	9	24%	7%	73	-0.6	220/278/287	67	283	7	5	23%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Mitch Canham 2009 · A	24	48→49	43→40	54→45	52	234/305/349	115	285	9	10	21%	9%	86	+0.3	219/279/309	90	267	6	6	19%	7%	68	-1.0	205/266/276	71	263	2	11	21%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	46→53	44→50	52→50	48	225/288/347	122	284	10	11	24%	8%	79	-0.2	239/302/352	113	310	10	9	24%	8%	86	+0.3	246/309/351	105	316	11	6	24%	8%	86	+0.1

Justin Stransky

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps