Gustavo Garcia

P DSL Brewers Gold

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	11	7	45	3.63	3.17	17.5%	9.8%	—	K 11.9% · BB 12.3% · FIP 4.06
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers G…	6	4	23	6.35	5.57	12.4%	9.5%	—	K 8.4% · BB 11.9% · FIP 6.82
2027PROJ	19	MLB—	3	3	18	6.07	6.07	10.9%	14.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLB—	3	3	21	5.76	5.67	13.6%	13.6%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff25Control35Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsFelix Cepeda (age 19) · Luis De Jesus (age 19) · Denis Diaz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.07

FIP6.07

K%10.9%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%-3.8%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	11	7	45	183	32	18	1	64%	4.1	11.9%	12.3%	-0.4%	0.7%	3.63	4.06	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	11	7	45	183	32	18	1	64%	4.1	11.9%	12.3%	-0.4%	0.7%	3.63	4.06	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	11	7	45	183	32	18	1	64%	4.1	17.5%	9.8%	7.7%	0.5%	3.63	3.17	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	6	4	23	105	13	10	4	67%	3.8	8.4%	11.9%	-3.5%	5.3%	6.35	6.82	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	6	4	23	105	13	10	4	67%	3.8	8.4%	11.9%	-3.5%	5.3%	6.35	6.82	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	6	4	23	105	13	10	4	67%	3.8	12.4%	9.5%	2.9%	3.8%	6.35	5.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	—	3	3	18	76	8	11	2	100%	6.0	10.9%	14.7%	-3.8%	3.0%	6.07	6.07	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	7	7	42	178	24	24	5	100%	6.0	13.6%	13.6%	0.0%	2.9%	5.76	5.67	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	3	3	21	89	12	12	3	100%	7.0	13.6%	13.6%	0.0%	2.9%	5.76	5.67	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	21	88	12	12	3	100%	6.9	13.6%	13.6%	0.0%	2.9%	5.76	5.29	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	116	116	29	100%	6.0	13.6%	13.6%	0.0%	2.9%	5.76	5.29	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		17	11	67	288	31	35	7	65%	4.0	10.6%	12.2%	-1.5%	2.4%	4.54	5.07	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	33	200	855	91	104	21	65%	4.0	10.6%	12.2%	-1.5%	2.4%	4.54	5.07	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gustavo Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.07	10.9%	14.7%	3.0%	—	5.67	13.6%	0.0%	42	-0.40	—	—	—
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	88
Luis De Jesus R 2018 · 6.00 FIP	19	SP-	6.00	11.9%	15.6%	3.5%	.274	6.24	12.9%	-8.4%	21	+0.24	4.19	108	88
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	88
Miguel Vinicio R 2019 · 5.69 FIP	19	SP-	5.69	13.8%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	3.99	16.9%	1.4%	47	-1.70	3.63	164	86
Xavier Javier R 2017 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP-	6.80	6.7%	23.8%	2.3%	.289	5.53	11.0%	-7.1%	65	-1.27	4.47	188	84
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	84
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	83
Adrian Alcantara R 2018 · 5.99 FIP	18	SP-	5.99	10.9%	18.3%	2.7%	.326	5.15	17.0%	8.7%	96	-0.84	3.76	309	82
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	82
Ramon Santos R 2015 · 6.07 FIP	20	SP	6.07	7.2%	14.3%	3.2%	.352	4.52	13.3%	3.4%	191	-1.55	3.74	355	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	82
Gerson Calzadilla R 2022 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	12.6%	11.6%	3.0%	.287	3.36	17.0%	8.3%	37	-1.78	3.36	130	82
Josh Swales R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	11.8%	14.6%	2.9%	.356	5.64	15.1%	1.4%	66	+0.13	5.51	129	81
Alvaro Galindo R 2017 · 5.31 FIP	19	SP-	5.31	9.2%	12.3%	2.6%	.312	7.56	12.5%	-5.2%	27	+2.25	3.54	174	81
Maiker Manuel R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	19	SP-	5.12	12.3%	15.2%	2.1%	.329	4.59	15.2%	6.7%	101	-0.53	4.56	148	81
Feliberto Bonilla R 2017 · 5.98 FIP	19	SP-	5.98	6.7%	15.3%	2.8%	.348	6.37	9.8%	-7.6%	56	+0.39	5.13	151	81
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	80
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	80
Erik Manoah Jr. R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP-	5.67	12.9%	13.1%	3.7%	.269	5.64	14.5%	-0.3%	220	-0.03	3.47	322	80
Adrian Acosta R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	19	SP-	6.02	7.9%	21.7%	1.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	120	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	12.8%	13.9%	1.15	5.85
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*