Juan Macero

SS DSL LAD Mega

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1397ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	202	.279/.393/.345	1	10	40	—	.185/.281/.214
2026	18	ROKDSL LAD Mega	154	.244/.373/.299	0	9	28	—	.149/.255/.179
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBLAD	264	.217/.286/.286	2	5	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBLAD	46	.217/.288/.295	0	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBLAD	113	.221/.293/.308	1	2	75	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%86

Whiff%80

K%72

Chase%57

BB%46

Speed46

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsFrancisco Martinez (age 19) · Wilfredo Tovar (age 18) · Daniel Padilla (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .284 / .284

PA79

HR0

K%23

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	202	165	46	8	0	1	25	21	6	10	4	279	393	345	738	67	306	10	12	335	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	154	127	31	7	0	0	23	26	3	9	2	244	373	299	672	55	304	17	15	318	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	202	173	32	5	0	0	17	25	6	10	4	185	281	214	494	29	198	12	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	154	134	20	4	0	0	16	32	3	9	2	149	255	179	434	30	194	21	10	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	202	173	32	5	0	0	17	25	6	10	4	185	281	214	494	29	211	12	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	202	165	46	8	0	1	25	21	6	10	4	279	393	345	738	67	306	10	12	335	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	154	134	20	4	0	0	16	32	3	9	2	149	255	179	434	30	194	21	10	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	154	127	31	7	0	0	23	26	3	9	2	244	373	299	672	55	304	17	15	318	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	202	177	32	5	0	0	17	25	6	10	4	181	281	209	490	28	198	12	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	154	134	20	4	0	0	16	32	3	9	2	149	255	179	434	30	194	21	10	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	202	177	32	5	0	0	17	25	6	10	4	181	281	209	490	28	198	12	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	154	134	20	4	0	0	16	32	3	9	2	149	255	179	434	30	194	21	10	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	264	239	52	9	1	2	20	62	3	5	1	217	286	286	572	69	283	23	8	263	64	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	133	120	27	5	1	1	10	31	2	3	1	221	292	302	594	81	285	23	8	272	70	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	233	210	47	8	1	3	18	54	3	4	1	225	297	315	612	90	286	23	8	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	344	309	71	12	2	5	27	78	5	7	2	228	300	326	626	98	287	23	8	284	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	421	379	87	15	2	7	33	96	6	8	2	231	303	334	637	104	288	23	8	289	81	-9	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	468	422	98	17	3	8	37	106	6	9	3	233	305	341	646	109	290	23	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	496	446	105	18	3	9	40	112	7	9	3	233	305	343	648	110	290	23	8	293	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	512	459	107	18	3	9	41	116	7	10	3	233	305	344	649	111	289	23	8	293	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	516	463	107	18	3	9	41	118	7	9	3	232	304	341	646	109	289	23	8	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	512	459	107	18	3	9	41	118	7	9	3	230	302	337	639	107	288	23	8	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	LAD	58%	502	451	104	18	3	8	40	117	6	8	3	228	300	331	631	103	287	23	8	286	80	-12	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	490	442	99	17	2	7	39	116	6	7	3	225	296	324	620	99	286	24	8	282	77	-14	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	46	41	8	1	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	217	288	295	583	78	278	24	9	267	70	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	113	101	23	4	1	1	9	26	2	2	1	221	293	308	601	88	280	23	8	274	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	187	167	38	6	1	3	15	43	3	4	1	224	296	319	616	96	281	23	8	280	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	238	214	48	8	1	4	19	54	3	5	1	226	299	328	627	102	282	23	8	285	81	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	265	238	55	9	1	5	21	60	4	5	1	228	301	335	636	107	283	23	8	288	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	280	252	58	10	1	5	22	63	4	5	2	229	301	337	639	108	283	22	8	289	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	289	260	59	10	1	5	23	65	4	5	2	229	301	338	640	109	283	22	8	289	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	286	257	59	10	1	5	23	65	4	5	2	228	301	336	636	108	283	23	8	288	84	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	281	253	57	9	1	5	22	65	4	5	2	226	299	331	630	105	282	23	8	286	82	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	LAD	58%	292	263	59	10	1	5	23	68	4	4	2	224	296	325	621	101	281	23	8	282	80	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	271	245	54	9	1	4	21	64	3	4	2	221	293	318	611	97	280	24	8	278	77	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2548	2291	518	86	10	42	202	584	36	45	16	226	299	327	626	101	284	23	8	284	78	-57	+3	-2	+27	+55	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	133	22	3	11	52	149	9	11	4	228	301	332	633	104	286	23	8	284	78	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5062	4539	1026	176	26	75	406	1137	72	103	33	226	300	326	626	100	283	22	8	283	78	-107	+6	-4	+50	+102	4.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	23	3	10	52	146	9	13	4	226	300	328	627	101	283	22	8	283	78	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 154 PAwOBA .313 → .209 (−103)K% 16.9% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.88%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.94%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	10.40%
HBP% /PA	1.95%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.36%
Singles /BIP	23.76%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.969	×0.995	15.57%
Doubles /BIP	6.93%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.969	×0.995	4.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.969	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .313 → .209; ISO .055 → .033; BABIP .304 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 202 PAwOBA .334 → .228 (−105)K% 10.4% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.40%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	12.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.38%	÷1.022	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.54%
HBP% /PA	2.97%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.09%
Singles /BIP	25.69%	÷1.031	×0.680	×1.003	×1.008	17.13%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.093	×0.600	×1.003	×1.008	3.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.003	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.69%	÷1.075	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 106, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .334 → .228; ISO .067 → .038; BABIP .306 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,626	41	47	231	299	335	+28	+21	4.5	4.2
/162	664	10	12	+7.1	+5.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Macero (OGILVIE)	19	50	20	50	45	215/284/284	69	283	0	1	23%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Martinez 2010 · A	19	42→52	35→40	50→55	42	199/243/252	53	254	3	15	23%	5%	40	-3.1	227/268/308	81	306	6	14	26%	5%	62	-1.4	234/277/316	82	314	6	16	26%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2010 · A	18	40→50	35→40	49→60	44	188/234/253	65	225	2	15	17%	5%	37	-3.3	224/267/286	62	263	2	11	15%	5%	57	-1.8	264/316/335	71	296	3	13	11%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Daniel Padilla 2016 · A	19	44	35→30	52→55	44	207/262/261	54	265	3	14	22%	6%	49	-2.4	204/280/263	59	267	2	16	22%	9%	57	-1.8	188/286/229	41	238	0	27	18%	12%	53	-0.7
✕Jose Gomez 2016 · A	19	42→52	35→40	46→50	46	194/250/249	56	224	2	13	14%	5%	43	-2.8	243/283/308	65	296	3	13	18%	4%	68	-1.0	253/287/311	58	316	3	13	20%	3%	66	-0.7
✕Francisco Lugo 2012 · A	20	43→53	35→30	49→45	51	194/259/254	60	222	2	8	13%	7%	47	-2.5	208/241/289	81	250	5	9	18%	4%	47	-2.5	287/316/348	62	336	5	9	16%	3%	85	+0.2
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2014 · A	19	40→50	35→45	50	47	187/245/247	60	235	1	9	20%	7%	40	-3.0	222/271/288	66	282	2	9	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/288/321	77	324	3	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Carlos Perdomo 2009 · A	19	41	35→30	51→50	45	188/235/251	63	211	3	10	12%	4%	37	-3.3	212/252/269	57	231	2	9	9%	4%	47	-2.5	245/300/302	57	274	4	13	12%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Carlos Tocci 2015 · A	19	45→55	35→40	42→45	39	212/253/273	61	275	2	7	23%	4%	49	-2.4	250/290/323	73	317	3	8	21%	4%	74	-0.6	266/308/338	72	332	3	8	20%	4%	81	-0.1
✕Joshua Magee 2011 · A	19	40	36→30	47→55	40	192/237/254	62	259	3	9	27%	5%	38	-3.2	208/255/277	69	277	4	14	25%	5%	51	-2.3	214/263/271	57	281	4	20	24%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Dixon Machado 2011 · A	19	41→51	35→45	54→55	47	190/247/244	55	232	2	18	19%	7%	40	-3.0	202/258/245	43	256	2	15	20%	7%	45	-2.7	254/310/331	78	304	5	12	17%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	191/245/253	62	254	3	9	25%	5%	42	-2.9	219/272/310	91	283	7	7	24%	6%	65	-1.2	198/260/284	86	272	8	6	29%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Allen Córdoba 2016 · A	20	46→51	35→45	50→55	44	216/263/272	57	258	3	12	18%	5%	53	-2.1	228/278/310	82	286	5	13	21%	6%	67	-1.1	233/296/332	99	290	8	22	21%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	40	36→40	49→55	44	192/255/259	67	259	3	9	26%	7%	47	-2.5	200/270/286	86	236	7	13	18%	6%	59	-1.6	204/271/288	85	250	7	15	21%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	41	35→30	46→50	44	194/262/257	63	252	3	10	23%	6%	50	-2.3	210/261/295	85	275	6	7	25%	5%	57	-1.8	221/250/302	81	284	6	0	24%	2%	50	-0.5
✕Dustin Peterson 2014 · A	19	46→51	35→45	50→45	38	215/258/272	57	301	2	6	28%	4%	50	-2.3	207/247/294	87	286	7	3	29%	5%	51	-2.2	240/285/359	119	300	14	2	24%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	39	36→40	52→55	45	184/248/252	68	235	3	13	22%	6%	43	-2.8	196/262/276	80	267	6	17	27%	7%	54	-2.0	194/268/275	82	258	8	24	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	40→50	35→45	53→50	43	189/237/252	63	250	2	12	24%	6%	38	-3.2	194/238/262	68	291	3	10	32%	5%	40	-3.0	233/284/360	127	349	14	14	35%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Adrián Sanchez 2010 · A	19	41→48	36→45	52→50	44	193/239/263	70	231	3	13	18%	5%	41	-3.0	231/256/304	73	280	4	12	19%	2%	56	-1.9	245/278/342	97	288	7	15	17%	4%	72	-0.3
✕Cesar Fuentes 2006 · A	19	43	36→30	52→45	41	203/240/268	65	257	3	9	22%	4%	42	-2.9	200/259/255	55	246	3	7	19%	6%	47	-2.5	199/252/262	63	254	6	6	23%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Randolph Gassaway 2014 · A	19	43→47	36→40	49→40	43	205/251/276	70	265	2	7	23%	6%	49	-2.4	213/253/308	95	290	8	8	28%	5%	57	-1.8	228/268/311	84	299	7	2	25%	5%	61	-1.0

Juan Macero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps