Juan MaceroSS DSL LAD Mega
Age 18 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .257 / .219
PA70
HR0
K%24
BB%7
BABIP255
ISO31
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.01.02.00.40.71.01.21.41.51.51.51.41.2+$77M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$7M+$7M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.5$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.4$5M+$3M
2037Arb-3$6M+1.2$4M+$2M
Totals $17M $36M +$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 202175 36501 15306 104 206291251542 46236 157 243 44
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 202165 46801 25216 104 279393345738 67306 1012 335 115
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKLAD 10591 17300 10273 72 187288220508 33262 2610 229 33 -8 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
YTD18 ROKLAD 10585 21400 16193 72 247385294679 47313 1815 323 105 +1 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.5
ROS18 ROKLAD 0% 7064 12200 5171 21 188257219476 31281 247 259 56 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
ROS18 MLBLAD 0% 01 0000 000 00 278 244 45 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKLAD 10592 17300 10273 72 185288217506 33258 2610 229 33 -8 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
TOT18 ROKLAD 175155 29500 15444 93 187276219495 32259 259 241 43 -11 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBLAD 34% 254228 50913 20624 51 219294307601 88283 248 270 65 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.0
202820 MLBLAD 48% 380341 761325 30916 72 223297317614 94286 248 280 72 -12 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.4
202921 MLBLAD 54% 474425 961727 381138 92 226301325626 99287 248 286 77 -12 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.7
203022 MLBLAD 57% 540482 1101939 441279 103 228305336641 108288 248 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.0
203123 MLBLAD 58% 585522 12021310 4813710 113 230307339646 109289 238 293 82 -12 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.2
203224 MLBLAD 57% 614547 12722311 5114311 123 232310344654 112290 238 295 84 -11 +1 +0 +7 +17 1.4
203325 MLBLAD 57% 626558 13022312 5214611 123 233311348658 115290 238 296 84 -11 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203426 MLBLAD 57% 634565 13122312 5314811 123 232310345655 113290 238 296 85 -11 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203527 MLBLAD 55% 634565 13022312 5314811 123 230308343652 113290 238 296 85 -11 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203628 MLBLAD 55% 629560 12922312 5314811 123 230309345654 114289 248 295 84 -11 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.4
203729 MLBLAD 53% 619550 12621311 5314711 113 229309338648 109289 249 294 83 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.2
203830 MLBLAD 53% 609541 12421311 5214611 113 229310340650 111288 249 291 81 -13 +1 -2 +7 +17 1.0
203931 MLBLAD 52% 594528 11820210 5114410 103 223304326630 102286 249 287 78 -15 +1 -3 +6 +17 0.7
202719 MLBLAD 34% 8779 17301 7211 20 215287291578 76280 248 256 54 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202820 MLBLAD 48% 184164 36612 15443 41 220297305602 85282 248 264 60 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202921 MLBLAD 54% 257230 51914 21614 51 222298322620 100283 248 270 65 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203022 MLBLAD 57% 306273 621115 25725 62 227304330633 103284 248 274 68 -11 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.1
203123 MLBLAD 58% 337300 691226 28796 62 230308343652 113285 238 277 70 -11 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203224 MLBLAD 57% 350312 711226 29826 72 228305337642 109286 238 278 71 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203325 MLBLAD 57% 355317 721226 29836 72 227304334638 107286 238 279 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203426 MLBLAD 57% 359320 731227 30846 72 228306344650 116286 238 280 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203527 MLBLAD 55% 352313 711226 30826 72 227307335642 109286 239 280 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203628 MLBLAD 55% 345307 701226 29816 62 228307339646 111285 238 279 72 -11 +0 -0 +4 +10 0.3
203729 MLBLAD 53% 331294 661116 28786 62 224305330635 105285 248 277 71 -11 +0 -1 +4 +9 0.2
203830 MLBLAD 53% 321285 631115 27776 61 221302319621 98284 248 275 69 -11 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.1
203931 MLBLAD 52% 310275 601015 27755 51 218300316616 98282 249 271 66 -12 +1 -1 +3 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 38943470 7811331865 32591966 7420 225304330634 105285 248 276 69 -136 +7 -4 +42 +110 2.0
/ 162G 650579 13022311 5415311 123 225303330633 105284 248 276 69 -23 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.3
Career 74646651 151525834126 6181747131 14640 228306334640 106288 238 290 80 -169 +13 -7 +80 +211 13.1
/ 162G 650579 13222311 5415211 133 228305333639 105289 238 290 80 -15 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 202165 46801 25216 104 279393345738 67306 1012 335 115 +3 +0 +6 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
84,0646876229303335+44+247.46.4
/1626641112+7.1+3.91.2pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Juan Macero (OGILVIE) 18 50 20 50 45 187/276/219 32259 09 25% 9% 43 -0.4
Jose Astudillo
2022 · A
18 43 37→30 52→50 46 204/257/278 73249 39 19% 6% 46 -2.0 230/283/304 74270 315 15% 6% 63 -0.9 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Carlos Arroyo
2019 · A
18 50 35→30 50 51 231/310/281 51284 313 19% 8% 70 -0.3 221/279/288 67257 415 15% 6% 58 -1.2 184/235/2496524351925%4%28-1.1
Dubal Baez
2011 · A
18 46 36→30 50→60 46 214/289/282 68300 47 28% 8% 61 -1.0 214/302/264 50297 218 26% 8% 63 -0.8 217/309/2473030402825%8%58-0.3
Mikey Edie
2015 · A
18 48 37→30 47→50 45 227/308/301 74283 513 20% 6% 75 -0.0 214/275/269 55304 215 29% 5% 51 -1.7 197/249/2414429011231%3%29-1.1
Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A
18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
Jesus Alastre
2015 · A
18 51 34→30 44→50 41 236/305/293 57301 111 21% 4% 71 -0.3 227/280/294 67292 39 22% 4% 59 -1.1 249/282/342923484928%2%67-0.1
Shaydron Buckridge
2007 · A
19 46 35→30 48→50 45 214/275/271 58272 35 22% 6% 52 -1.6 219/291/274 55280 27 21% 7% 60 -1.0 259/340/295363060914%9%82+0.2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2014 · A
19 50→56 34→40 50→55 44 234/282/287 53301 214 22% 6% 57 -1.2 235/286/279 44295 19 19% 5% 57 -1.2 264/312/3417729962114%5%81+0.3
Luis Reynoso
2013 · A
18 46 36→30 47→50 47 218/281/289 71285 39 24% 8% 59 -1.1 197/253/259 62298 47 33% 7% 39 -2.5 175/230/216412823537%6%16-1.1
Manuel Falcon
2008 · A
18 43 35→30 49→50 41 200/260/254 54286 28 29% 6% 41 -2.3 227/283/274 47287 110 20% 6% 56 -1.3 240/298/2723229501117%6%60-0.4
Jerry Puentes
2009 · A
18 48 34→30 49→50 46 222/273/276 54274 29 19% 6% 51 -1.7 224/277/275 51292 110 22% 6% 53 -1.5 219/272/2604129201023%6%44-0.7
Rafael Herrera
2019 · A
18 43 35→40 52→50 45 200/267/266 67269 212 25% 7% 47 -1.9 218/286/298 80291 412 24% 8% 63 -0.8 229/304/3108129741722%9%71-0.1
Jose Monserrate
2023 · A
18 47 38→40 51→50 46 221/290/309 87287 513 23% 7% 68 -0.5 215/293/282 67300 321 27% 9% 63 -0.9 180/265/2254528813434%9%34-0.6
Edward Duran
2022 · A
18 49→45 37→40 49→50 46 231/297/312 81291 39 21% 7% 72 -0.2 217/290/287 70281 28 22% 8% 63 -0.9 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
Kelvin Fajardo
2014 · A
18 44 35→30 46→50 48 204/261/260 56246 36 18% 7% 43 -2.2 222/278/270 48270 16 17% 6% 52 -1.6 224/280/257332660615%6%49-0.7
Deiber Olivera
2012 · A
19 44 38→40 50→45 44 210/259/296 86269 48 23% 6% 50 -1.7 236/277/312 76275 37 15% 4% 63 -0.9 255/291/322672892712%3%69-0.1
Yeison Santana
2019 · A
18 45 35→30 47→55 52 206/294/273 67286 28 26% 10% 61 -1.0 214/282/293 79315 58 31% 8% 60 -1.0 210/282/2685731031531%8%51-0.6
Braulio Vasquez
2017 · A
18 50 35→45 49→65 42 230/289/291 61328 315 29% 6% 63 -0.9 205/264/271 66305 411 32% 6% 46 -2.0 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
Luis De La Cruz
2007 · A
18 46 35→40 49→30 42 216/270/279 63299 310 27% 6% 51 -1.7 201/241/267 66262 37 23% 5% 35 -2.8 244/267/328842954318%3%57-0.3
Sterling Guzman
2016 · A
18 47 37→40 52→45 47 220/283/299 79285 48 23% 7% 62 -0.9 208/271/299 91293 77 29% 7% 57 -1.2 155/215/2519621312233%6%18-0.9