Emil Martinez

SS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	189	.207/.305/.268	2	5	6	—	.129/.209/.159
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTEX	299	.197/.262/.261	2	4	49	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	27	.202/.268/.276	0	0	55	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%72

Whiff%62

K%52

Chase%51

BB%29

ISO27

CompsDennys Riera (age 19) · Jose Sanabria (age 19) · Richard Rodriguez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .260 / .259

PA52

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	164	34	4	0	2	20	40	3	5	6	207	305	268	573	61	258	21	11	269	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	170	22	2	0	1	14	51	3	5	6	129	209	159	367	29	177	27	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	170	22	2	0	1	14	51	3	5	6	129	209	159	367	29	175	27	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	164	34	4	0	2	20	40	3	5	6	207	305	268	573	61	258	21	11	269	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	170	22	2	0	1	14	51	3	5	6	129	209	159	367	29	177	27	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	170	22	2	0	1	14	51	3	5	6	129	209	159	367	29	177	27	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	299	273	54	8	2	2	21	80	3	4	1	197	262	261	523	65	267	27	7	241	49	-18	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	79	72	14	2	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	201	268	275	543	73	269	27	8	249	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	27	25	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	202	268	276	545	75	269	26	7	250	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	27	25	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	200	259	240	499	40	278	26	7	250	25	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	120	24	0	0	48	169	0	0	0	199	258	239	498	40	277	26	7	250	25	-35	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	320	289	44	5	0	2	24	86	5	7	6	152	230	190	420	38	207	27	8	205	25	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	89	10	0	4	49	175	10	14	12	152	229	189	418	37	206	27	8	205	25	-37	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 189 PAwOBA .265 → .177 (−89)K% 21.2% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.16%	÷0.954	×1.220	—	—	27.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.58%	÷1.019	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.33%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.12%
Singles /BIP	22.58%	÷1.003	×0.680	×1.033	×1.008	15.94%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷1.026	×0.600	×1.033	×1.008	1.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.033	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.61%	÷0.995	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.77%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .265 → .177; ISO .061 → .032; BABIP .258 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emil Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	45	40	195/260/259	64	267	0	1	27%	7%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	37	35→30	44→50	45	174/256/231	57	244	2	10	27%	8%	42	-2.9	192/268/246	54	280	2	10	29%	9%	49	-2.4	187/263/230	43	278	1	11	30%	9%	42	-1.4
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Joshua Magee 2011 · A	19	40	36→30	47→55	40	192/237/254	62	259	3	9	27%	5%	38	-3.2	208/255/277	69	277	4	14	25%	5%	51	-2.3	214/263/271	57	281	4	20	24%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	36	38→30	47→50	40	176/233/252	76	246	6	6	30%	6%	37	-3.3	196/235/315	119	275	14	7	33%	4%	53	-2.1	203/230/369	166	271	24	10	35%	2%	59	-0.4
✕Johan Cruz 2015 · A	19	33	35→40	46→45	43	163/225/224	60	221	3	11	27%	6%	28	-3.9	201/238/286	85	282	7	5	30%	4%	46	-2.6	187/239/264	77	268	7	2	31%	6%	40	-1.4
✕Jean Joseph 2024 · A	19	37	35→45	43→45	46	177/255/231	54	249	3	10	28%	8%	41	-3.0	196/263/289	93	270	8	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	190/257/293	103	252	10	4	27%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	174/232/240	66	253	3	8	31%	5%	34	-3.5	184/249/254	70	260	3	5	28%	6%	44	-2.8	164/227/230	66	246	3	2	33%	6%	29	-1.3
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	37	35→30	41→45	43	177/257/230	54	251	3	8	28%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/270	72	273	5	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	187/282/246	59	249	4	4	24%	8%	54	-1.0
✕Felix Familia 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	50→45	37	175/230/233	58	267	2	6	33%	5%	32	-3.7	177/256/228	51	241	2	6	25%	8%	41	-3.0	178/252/210	32	236	2	3	24%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Jose Toussen 2009 · A	19	38	34→30	46→50	44	180/243/235	55	242	2	10	25%	7%	37	-3.3	199/255/256	57	252	3	11	21%	6%	46	-2.6	210/261/255	45	258	2	14	18%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Victor Soto 2008 · A	19	36	37→40	47→60	42	175/230/255	80	235	4	12	27%	6%	36	-3.3	182/238/251	69	249	2	21	26%	6%	38	-3.2	168/222/228	59	231	1	30	26%	5%	25	-1.1
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2024 · A	19	38	36→30	42→45	54	180/281/243	63	224	4	4	20%	10%	55	-1.9	184/265/255	71	280	4	4	32%	8%	51	-2.3	170/260/237	67	285	5	4	38%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	36	37→30	42→40	52	171/273/237	65	238	5	5	28%	11%	51	-2.2	189/277/252	63	258	4	5	25%	10%	55	-2.0	153/253/179	26	205	2	3	23%	11%	28	-1.2
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Andres Martinez 2014 · A	19	41	36→30	47→45	45	193/264/262	68	274	3	8	29%	8%	51	-2.2	198/268/259	61	263	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	183/260/230	47	240	1	10	22%	7%	40	-0.9
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	37	35→30	42→50	47	177/265/234	57	240	3	5	26%	8%	47	-2.5	188/264/250	62	241	2	8	21%	7%	49	-2.4	174/252/228	54	219	1	10	19%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	36	35→40	46→40	46	169/251/228	58	226	2	6	24%	7%	40	-3.1	185/251/258	73	258	4	6	28%	6%	46	-2.6	166/233/236	69	232	4	4	28%	6%	33	-1.0