Ben Tryon

1B Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 22 L/R A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	AHOU	51	.267/.353/.444	2	1	66	—	.213/.275/.319
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBHOU	161	.212/.274/.330	4	2	70	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBHOU	57	.217/.280/.339	1	1	73	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%81

ISO71

wRC+69

wOBA65

Whiff%55

BB%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsTravis Blankenhorn (age 22) · Ademar Rifaela (age 22) · Alex Glenn (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .272 / .327

PA70

HR2

K%31

BB%7

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	51	45	12	2	0	2	6	13	0	1	1	267	353	444	797	178	333	25	12	356	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	18	0	1	1	213	275	319	594	106	297	35	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	18	0	1	1	213	275	319	594	106	321	35	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	51	45	12	2	0	2	6	13	0	1	1	267	353	444	797	178	333	25	12	356	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	18	0	1	1	213	275	319	594	106	297	35	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	18	0	1	1	213	275	319	594	106	297	35	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	161	147	32	5	1	4	12	50	1	2	1	212	274	330	604	118	291	31	7	272	70	-6	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	165	151	32	5	1	4	12	50	1	2	1	215	278	336	614	121	291	30	7	276	73	-5	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	57	53	11	2	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	217	280	339	619	121	296	30	7	278	73	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	53	11	2	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	208	263	302	565	94	286	30	7	278	71	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	125	23	0	11	46	194	0	11	0	207	263	300	563	93	286	30	7	278	71	-21	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	286	263	55	9	1	7	21	90	1	4	2	209	270	331	601	122	287	31	7	273	71	-8	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	124	20	2	16	48	205	2	9	5	207	269	328	596	120	285	32	7	273	71	-22	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ben Tryon (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	211/272/327	117	291	2	1	31%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Ademar Rifaela 2017 · A	22	39→45	46→50	44→45	38	202/248/330	128	280	14	5	33%	5%	61	-1.5	221/267/351	130	318	14	5	33%	5%	73	-0.6	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Alex Glenn 2013 · A	22	39→42	48→55	53→50	39	198/264/339	141	300	15	10	38%	7%	70	-0.9	213/268/361	148	284	15	11	29%	6%	76	-0.4	210/261/367	156	270	16	12	28%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Dillon Paulson 2019 · A	22	40→36	47→50	50→30	48	205/279/349	145	264	14	4	27%	9%	78	-0.3	206/284/335	129	302	13	4	33%	10%	76	-0.4	192/275/318	126	272	13	2	32%	10%	67	-0.7
✕David Washington 2013 · A	22	40→38	45→55	49→45	38	197/254/318	121	305	12	6	38%	7%	61	-1.5	201/263/338	137	318	15	5	39%	7%	69	-0.9	198/259/360	162	317	21	5	42%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Gabriel Moncada 2024 · A	22	42→41	45	43→40	43	205/280/327	121	299	12	3	34%	8%	73	-0.6	183/248/268	85	290	7	3	36%	7%	47	-2.6	147/215/203	56	242	3	1	38%	7%	18	-1.9
✕Peyton Williams 2024 · A	23	43	45→50	45→30	42	213/283/332	118	297	13	5	32%	7%	75	-0.5	217/276/343	126	311	14	3	33%	7%	75	-0.5	212/272/343	131	299	14	0	33%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Donald Lutz 2011 · A	22	40→49	43→50	50→45	40	202/253/312	110	269	10	8	28%	6%	59	-1.7	224/267/358	134	308	14	6	31%	5%	74	-0.5	217/262/369	152	289	16	8	30%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→43	46→50	48→45	40	204/263/326	122	290	14	8	34%	7%	65	-1.2	207/272/334	127	292	12	6	31%	8%	72	-0.7	201/268/329	128	278	11	4	30%	8%	67	-0.8
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Sandber Pimentel 2017 · A	22	41→40	47→50	43→30	43	207/280/335	128	294	15	2	34%	8%	75	-0.5	205/270/343	138	324	18	3	39%	8%	73	-0.6	189/254/324	136	298	19	0	41%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2015 · A	22	41	47→55	53→50	36	211/240/345	133	266	15	9	27%	4%	61	-1.5	205/244/289	84	282	6	8	28%	5%	49	-2.4	202/238/261	60	287	0	6	28%	4%	36	-0.8
✕Jaime Ortiz 2010 · A	22	39→48	46→45	46→40	40	199/256/324	125	272	14	4	32%	6%	63	-1.4	221/267/329	108	280	10	4	24%	5%	68	-1.0	227/268/331	105	283	9	2	22%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Alexis Rivera 2016 · A	22	41	44→45	49→50	41	205/261/317	113	282	11	10	31%	6%	63	-1.4	227/269/334	107	305	10	8	28%	5%	69	-0.9	242/270/333	91	317	8	6	26%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Schnell 2022 · A	22	37→45	44→50	52→50	37	175/251/281	106	313	12	14	45%	8%	52	-2.2	187/248/305	118	326	13	8	44%	7%	56	-1.9	212/263/364	153	309	17	13	36%	6%	72	-0.5