Daniel Meza — OGILVIE

Daniel MezaSS DSL Rockies

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 73 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .260 / .200

PA73

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP256

ISO31

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	170	145	24	1	0	0	21	60	3	7	2	166	284	172	456	7	279	35	12	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	170	131	30	2	0	0	35	44	3	7	2	229	402	244	647	15	341	26	21	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	COL	—	69	55	9	1	0	0	10	26	0	4	2	164	292	182	474	18	300	38	14	217	24	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	COL	—	69	49	10	1	0	0	16	18	0	4	2	204	400	224	624	20	312	26	23	298	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	18	ROK	COL	0%	73	65	11	2	0	0	7	22	1	2	1	169	260	200	460	31	270	30	10	241	43	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	COL	—	69	56	9	1	0	0	10	26	0	4	2	161	292	179	471	18	290	38	14	217	24	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	COL	—	142	120	20	3	0	0	17	48	1	6	3	167	275	192	467	25	274	34	12	230	34	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	COL	34%	229	202	39	6	1	2	23	67	2	4	1	193	282	262	544	69	274	29	10	255	54	-12	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	COL	48%	360	317	63	9	2	4	36	103	4	7	2	199	289	278	566	79	277	29	10	266	61	-16	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	COL	54%	458	403	82	12	2	7	46	128	6	9	3	203	295	295	590	92	279	28	10	272	67	-17	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2030	22	MLB	COL	57%	527	463	96	15	2	8	53	146	6	10	3	207	297	300	597	93	281	28	10	276	70	-18	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2031	23	MLB	COL	58%	575	505	106	16	3	9	58	159	7	11	3	210	300	307	607	97	281	28	10	279	71	-19	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.5
2032	24	MLB	COL	61%	605	531	112	17	3	10	62	167	7	11	3	211	302	311	612	100	282	28	10	281	73	-19	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2033	25	MLB	COL	63%	623	546	115	17	3	11	64	171	8	12	3	211	303	313	616	103	282	27	10	282	74	-19	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2027	19	MLB	COL	34%	79	70	14	2	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	200	291	271	563	71	294	29	10	262	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	COL	48%	174	152	32	5	1	2	18	50	2	3	1	211	302	296	598	86	297	29	10	272	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	COL	54%	248	218	48	8	1	4	25	69	3	5	1	220	309	321	630	101	299	28	10	280	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	COL	57%	298	262	57	9	1	5	30	83	4	6	2	218	307	317	624	99	301	28	10	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	COL	58%	331	290	65	10	2	6	34	91	4	6	2	224	314	334	649	110	302	27	10	287	78	-8	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB	COL	61%	369	323	73	11	2	7	38	102	5	7	2	226	317	337	654	111	303	28	10	289	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB	COL	63%	391	343	78	12	2	8	40	108	5	7	2	227	317	344	661	117	303	28	10	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1890	1659	367	57	9	33	193	526	24	35	10	221	311	326	638	105	301	28	10	284	76	-52	+3	+0	+20	+54	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	126	20	3	11	66	181	8	12	3	221	310	324	634	103	301	28	10	284	76	-18	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	3620	3177	648	95	16	51	370	1023	44	73	21	204	296	292	588	88	281	28	10	272	67	-137	+6	+0	+39	+103	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	116	17	3	9	66	184	8	13	4	204	295	291	586	88	282	28	10	272	67	-25	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	170	131	30	2	0	0	35	44	3	7	2	229	402	244	647	15	341	26	21	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,032	30	38	207	294	299	+22	+15	0.9	1.1
	/162	664	10	13	207	294	299	+7.1	+4.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Meza (OGILVIE)	18	30	20	50	60	167/275/192	25	274	0	6	34%	12%	34	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	43	-2.2	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	63	-0.9	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	60	-0.3
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Carlos Goris 2019 · A	18	35	35→30	51→55	43	166/241/233	66	250	2	7	32%	8%	28	-3.2	189/268/264	75	265	5	12	28%	9%	48	-1.9	169/264/229	60	224	6	21	25%	11%	35	-1.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Iraj Serrano 2017 · A	18	38	35→30	50	50	178/255/236	59	221	2	10	20%	8%	36	-2.7	208/295/256	48	264	1	10	19%	9%	57	-1.2	206/304/235	29	266	0	10	20%	10%	54	-0.5
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	39	37→45	46→45	39	187/248/267	80	274	3	8	31%	6%	40	-2.4	216/272/305	89	319	3	8	31%	6%	59	-1.1	238/290/344	106	352	2	8	31%	5%	73	-0.0
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A	18	37	38→30	46→45	44	182/246/261	79	250	5	8	28%	7%	37	-2.6	193/263/271	78	270	6	6	28%	8%	47	-1.9	194/266/259	66	250	6	5	24%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Ronier Lascarro 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	47→50	47	199/274/261	62	291	2	7	30%	9%	50	-1.8	201/287/276	75	283	4	9	27%	10%	59	-1.1	200/308/280	80	249	4	10	19%	12%	66	-0.3
✕Sauris Mejia 2015 · A	18	42	35→40	48→50	45	193/273/252	59	282	2	13	30%	8%	47	-1.9	205/290/285	80	293	6	12	29%	9%	63	-0.9	189/292/264	75	265	7	15	28%	11%	56	-0.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	52	-1.6	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	38	-2.6	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Kleininger Teran 2007 · A	18	43	36→30	46→45	46	204/263/271	66	266	4	5	24%	7%	46	-2.0	214/282/273	59	266	2	5	19%	8%	55	-1.4	228/286/289	61	277	1	3	17%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/265	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	40	-2.4	198/256/259	61	255	3	6	22%	6%	40	-2.4	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Rivero 2016 · A	18	40	35→30	50→45	41	187/246/248	61	276	2	9	31%	7%	33	-2.9	203/264/252	49	281	1	7	26%	7%	42	-2.3	198/265/227	29	270	0	7	24%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6