Daniel Meza

SS DSL Rockies
Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKCOL170.229/.402/.2440740—.156/.296/.163
202618ROKCOL121.202/.417/.2140638—.140/.304/.151
2027PROJMLE19MLBCOL231.188/.279/.2431453-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBCOL41.203/.294/.2790159-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%96
BB%95
Whiff%52
Z-Con%47
wOBA44
wRC+42
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsYohairo Cuevas (age 19) · Vladi Gomez (age 18) · German Ortiz (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .277 / .240
PA63
HR0
K%29
BB%10
ISO55
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.02728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Rockies — 170131 30200 35443 72 229402244647 15341 2621 321 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Rockies — 12184 17100 31310 64 202417214632 12315 2626 309 38 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 170141 22100 25523 72 156296163459 7240 3115 228 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 12193 13100 22380 64 140304151455 11210 3118 224 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 170141 22100 25523 72 156296163459 7244 3115 228 40 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 170131 30200 35443 72 229402244647 15341 2621 321 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 12193 13100 22380 64 140304151455 11232 3118 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 12184 17100 31310 64 202417214632 12315 2626 309 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 170140 22100 25523 72 157296164460 7240 3115 228 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 12198 13100 22380 64 133304143447 10210 3118 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 170140 22100 25523 72 157296164460 7240 3115 228 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 12198 13100 22380 64 133304143447 10210 3118 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLECOL 0% 231203 38511 24662 41 188279243522 55268 2910 246 53 -13 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLECOL 34% 118104 21311 12331 21 194285260545 66271 2810 255 59 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202820 MLB CTXCOL 34% 4137 7100 4110 10 203294279573 76283 2710 266 59 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4137 7100 4110 10 189268216485 27269 2710 266 46 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 1111600 631740 160 189268216484 27269 2710 266 46 -32 +3 +0 +7 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 472394 65611 651415 167 165291193484 28251 3014 236 46 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650543 88811 901947 2210 162290186476 24247 3014 236 46 -33 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rockies · 121 PAwOBA .306 → .224 (−82)K% 25.6% → 31.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.62%÷1.000×1.220——31.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.62%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00818.07%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP30.19%÷1.000×0.680×0.980×1.00820.27%
Doubles /BIP1.89%÷1.000×0.600×0.980×1.0081.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×0.980×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .306 → .224; ISO .012 → .008; BABIP .315 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rockies · 170 PAwOBA .316 → .228 (−89)K% 25.9% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.88%÷1.026×1.220——30.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.59%÷1.007×0.700—×1.02214.63%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.700—×1.0221.26%
Singles /BIP32.18%÷1.026×0.680×1.050×1.02222.90%
Doubles /BIP2.30%÷1.107×0.600×1.050×1.0221.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.050×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.864×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .316 → .228; ISO .015 → .009; BABIP .341 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).