Olmedo Barria

P DSL Mets Orange

Age 20 RHP ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	13	45	2.00	1.74	26.9%	3.5%	—	K 18.3% · BB 4.4% · FIP 2.56
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	26	27	3.96	3.96	21.3%	5.4%	0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	20	21	3.94	3.90	21.9%	5.6%	0.2

Next 2 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsOsiel Rodriguez (age 20) · Ian Koenig (age 22) · Grant Dyer (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.96

FIP3.96

K%21.3%

BB%5.4%

K-BB%15.9%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	13	0	45	171	46	6	1	0%	3.5	18.3%	4.4%	13.9%	0.8%	2.00	2.56	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	13	0	45	171	46	6	1	0%	3.5	18.3%	4.4%	13.9%	0.8%	2.00	2.56	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	13	0	45	171	46	6	1	0%	3.5	26.9%	3.5%	23.4%	0.6%	2.00	1.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	26	0	27	114	24	6	3	0%	1.0	21.3%	5.4%	15.9%	2.9%	3.96	3.96	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	40	0	42	179	39	10	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	5.6%	16.3%	2.8%	3.94	3.90	+0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	20	0	21	89	19	5	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	5.6%	16.3%	2.8%	3.94	3.90	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	88	19	5	3	0%	1.0	21.9%	5.6%	16.3%	2.8%	3.94	3.52	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	48	29	0%	1.1	21.9%	5.6%	16.3%	2.8%	3.94	3.52	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		13	0	45	171	31	8	1	0%	3.5	18.3%	4.4%	13.9%	0.8%	2.00	2.56	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	0	200	760	139	33	6	0%	3.5	18.3%	4.4%	13.9%	0.8%	2.00	2.56	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Olmedo Barria (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.96	21.3%	5.4%	2.9%	—	3.90	21.9%	16.3%	42	-0.06	—	—	—
Osiel Rodriguez R 2022 · 3.38 FIP	20	SU	3.38	19.6%	6.6%	2.0%	.306	5.31	22.3%	7.4%	92	+1.93	3.38	124	87
Ian Koenig R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	22	SU	3.69	20.0%	6.6%	2.6%	.310	5.34	15.0%	7.6%	295	+1.65	3.69	314	86
Grant Dyer R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	21	SU	3.40	26.9%	7.2%	3.0%	.236	3.70	18.5%	12.1%	92	+0.30	2.96	118	80
J.T. Hintzen R 2018 · 3.22 FIP	22	SU	3.22	20.1%	7.0%	1.7%	.303	4.37	24.1%	15.1%	123	+1.15	3.22	205	78
Cristian Charle R 2021 · 3.00 FIP	21	SU	3.00	18.3%	5.5%	1.4%	.306	4.80	20.1%	9.1%	117	+1.80	3.00	188	77
Juan Jimenez R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	21	SU	3.45	18.2%	7.2%	1.8%	.327	5.51	17.2%	2.6%	80	+2.06	3.45	115	77
Ronald Dominguez R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	21	SU	3.28	19.4%	5.3%	2.1%	.273	3.35	17.4%	12.2%	152	+0.07	3.24	208	77
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	76
Sam Delaplane R 2017 · 3.18 FIP	22	SU	3.18	24.6%	7.7%	2.1%	.342	2.86	32.7%	23.4%	128	-0.32	2.57	194	76
Scooter Hightower R 2015 · 3.23 FIP	21	SW	3.23	18.7%	4.4%	2.1%	.304	2.86	19.6%	14.6%	68	-0.37	2.86	160	76
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	75
Irving Cota R 2024 · 5.05 FIP	20	SU	5.05	18.9%	8.1%	4.6%	.279	3.64	14.3%	7.7%	109	-1.41	2.49	194	75
Landon Harper R 2023 · 3.68 FIP	22	SU	3.68	17.2%	4.4%	2.7%	.299	4.46	18.3%	13.2%	185	+0.78	3.68	258	75
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	75
Jake Elliott R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	21	SU	3.82	19.2%	7.1%	2.6%	.353	3.81	18.1%	10.0%	202	-0.01	2.91	354	74
Matt Russell R 2021 · 2.83 FIP	22	SU	2.83	21.1%	4.6%	1.7%	.314	4.37	15.1%	3.4%	160	+1.54	2.83	178	74
Jon Olczak R 2015 · 2.98 FIP	21	SU	2.98	25.9%	5.5%	2.5%	.302	3.09	21.2%	12.7%	133	+0.11	2.53	322	74
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	74
Ryan Watson R 2021 · 3.11 FIP	23	SW	3.11	21.9%	6.8%	1.8%	.324	4.48	19.6%	10.9%	229	+1.37	3.11	416	74
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	21.7%	5.5%	1.11	3.95
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Dale Thayer ('15)	1.3	63	20.4%	6.3%	1.07	3.47
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Bobby Tiefenauer ('52-'68, 0 WAR*)	1.6	63	20.4%*	6.7%*	1.10*	4.53*
Tony Castillo ('88-'98, 4 WAR*)	2.6	59	18.5%*	7.3%*	0.98*	3.76*