Irving Cota
P
Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 22
RHP
6'5" / 175 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 59 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%14.4%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 14 | 2 | 39 | 171 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 14% | 2.8 | 17.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 3.66 | 2.49 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 14 | 2 | 39 | 171 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 14% | 2.8 | 25.1% | 5.3% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 3.66 | 1.60 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 46 | 194 | 53 | 13 | 6 | 6% | 2.7 | 18.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.96 | 5.33 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 46 | 194 | 53 | 13 | 6 | 6% | 2.7 | 27.3% | 6.7% | 20.6% | 3.1% | 2.96 | 3.34 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 12 | 99 | 406 | 85 | 22 | 6 | 48% | 3.9 | 15.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 12 | 99 | 406 | 85 | 22 | 6 | 48% | 3.9 | 20.9% | 5.4% | 15.5% | 1.5% | 4.20 | 2.84 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 8 | 6 | 29 | 118 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 3.7 | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 2.15 | 3.06 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 59 | 250 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 14.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.93 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 89 | 368 | 54 | 26 | 9 | — | — | 14.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.01 | 4.31 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 43 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 47 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.57 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 50 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 50 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 60 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 50 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 44 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 45 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 227 | 0 | 239 | 1009 | 183 | 79 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.16 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 66 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 64 | 21 | 213 | 889 | 141 | 62 | 20 | 33% | 3.3 | 15.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.55 | 3.90 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 20 | 200 | 835 | 132 | 58 | 19 | 33% | 3.3 | 15.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.55 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Irving Cota (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 14.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.59 | 17.6% | 9.7% | 188 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Joshua Torres R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.34 | 12.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | .308 | 2.67 | 23.4% | 15.2% | 108 | -1.67 | 2.13 | 217 | 88 |
| Geno Encina R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 87 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.78 | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | .310 | 5.84 | 16.6% | 1.7% | 52 | +1.06 | 4.59 | 120 | 87 |
| Houston Roth R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 87 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 86 |
| Connor Johnstone R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.49 | 15.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | .272 | 4.58 | 12.9% | 7.9% | 166 | +0.09 | 3.90 | 319 | 86 |
| Jormy Nivar R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.98 | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .286 | 5.00 | 14.0% | 2.2% | 44 | +0.02 | 1.98 | 180 | 85 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | .307 | 4.64 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 149 | +0.12 | 3.33 | 210 | 85 |
| Colton Hock R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.42 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.60 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 102 | -0.82 | 3.41 | 253 | 85 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 85 |
| Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .354 | 3.46 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 89 | -1.45 | 3.06 | 165 | 85 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .277 | 3.65 | 19.4% | 11.4% | 83 | -0.37 | 3.43 | 167 | 84 |
| A.J. Bogucki R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.95 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.30 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 87 | +0.35 | 3.95 | 142 | 84 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 14.4% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .265 | 6.19 | 14.0% | -3.2% | 29 | +2.23 | 3.96 | 186 | 83 |
| Matt Marsh R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 83 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 83 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.20 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .263 | 4.46 | 16.6% | 7.3% | 292 | +0.26 | 4.13 | 405 | 83 |
| Kyle Smith R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.75 | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .326 | 3.33 | 15.2% | 9.5% | 76 | -1.42 | 3.33 | 159 | 83 |
| Nick Davila R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .297 | 3.92 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 196 | -0.04 | 3.26 | 360 | 83 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.37 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .370 | 4.86 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 63 | +0.49 | 4.37 | 114 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 62 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 1.13 | 4.65 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Luis Cessa ('23) | 8 | 53 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 1.40 | 4.43 |