Mike Paredes

P Minnesota Twins

Age 27 RHP 5'11" / 185 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2028 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBSPIL-6040-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX3 levels	31	3	66	3.02	2.23	23.2%	4.9%	—	K 17.9% · BB 5.8% · FIP 2.86
2025	25	MIX2 levels	38	2	106	2.38	3.14	21.6%	6.6%	—	K 17.6% · BB 7.3% · FIP 3.82
2026	26	MIX3 levels	22	15	83	4.55	4.33	20.6%	6.2%	1.0	K 18.2% · BB 6.0% · FIP 4.66
2027PROJ	27	MLBMIN	14	0	15	4.76	4.78	15.6%	6.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ82% MLB	28	MLBMIN	30	0	32	4.77	4.81	16.2%	7.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ86% MLB	29	MLBMIN	29	0	30	4.86	4.94	16.2%	7.4%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo29

xwOBA vs20

K%10

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 1.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsRamon Delgado (age 29) · Tyler Yates (age 26) · Donovan Hand (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.76

FIP4.78

K%15.6%

BB%6.6%

K-BB%9.0%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†3040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2993.0

Whiff%

p1019.3%

p1012.3%

xwOBA vs

p200.348

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	2	1	4	14	6	1	0	50%	2.0	42.9%	7.1%	35.7%	0.0%	2.25	0.39	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	2	1	4	14	6	1	0	50%	2.0	42.9%	7.1%	35.7%	0.0%	2.25	0.85	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	24	13	85	338	63	16	11	54%	3.6	13.8%	5.6%	8.2%	4.2%	3.27	4.96	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	24	13	85	338	63	16	11	54%	3.6	18.6%	4.7%	13.9%	3.3%	3.27	3.86	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	3	63	262	58	20	4	11%	2.2	17.0%	8.8%	8.3%	1.7%	3.14	3.70	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	3	63	262	58	20	4	11%	2.2	22.1%	7.6%	14.5%	1.5%	3.14	3.04	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	3	66	263	61	13	2	10%	2.1	17.9%	5.8%	12.1%	1.0%	3.02	2.86	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	3	66	263	61	13	2	10%	2.1	17.9%	5.8%	12.1%	1.0%	3.02	2.86	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	3	66	263	61	13	2	10%	2.1	23.2%	4.9%	18.3%	0.8%	3.02	2.23	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	2	106	426	92	28	8	5%	2.8	17.6%	7.3%	10.2%	2.3%	2.38	3.82	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	2	106	426	92	28	8	5%	2.8	17.6%	7.3%	10.2%	2.3%	2.38	3.82	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	2	106	426	92	28	8	5%	2.8	21.6%	6.6%	15.0%	1.9%	2.38	3.14	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	15	83	354	73	22	14	68%	3.8	18.2%	6.0%	12.2%	4.3%	4.55	4.66	+0.7
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	15	83	354	73	22	14	68%	3.8	18.2%	6.0%	12.2%	4.3%	4.55	4.66	+0.7
2026	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	15	83	354	73	22	14	68%	3.8	20.6%	6.2%	14.4%	4.0%	4.55	4.33	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			9	5	34	154	19	13	6	56%	3.8	12.3%	8.4%	3.9%	3.9%	4.72	5.40	-0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	MIN	14	0	15	63	10	4	2	0%	1.1	15.6%	6.6%	9.0%	3.2%	4.76	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	37	0	39	166	27	12	5	0%	1.1	16.2%	7.0%	9.2%	3.3%	4.77	4.81	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	33	0	35	148	24	11	5	0%	1.1	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	3.4%	4.86	4.94	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	30	0	32	135	22	9	4	0%	1.1	16.2%	7.0%	9.2%	3.3%	4.77	4.81	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	29	0	30	127	20	9	4	0%	1.0	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	3.4%	4.86	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		68	5	97	417	62	32	15	7%	1.4	14.8%	7.6%	7.1%	3.6%	4.78	4.78	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		141	10	200	863	128	66	31	7%	1.4	14.8%	7.6%	7.1%	3.6%	4.78	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		145	37	407	1657	283	111	46	26%	2.8	17.1%	6.7%	10.4%	2.8%	3.23	4.03	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	18	200	815	139	54	23	26%	2.8	17.1%	6.7%	10.4%	2.8%	3.23	4.03	-1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 35 IPFIP 3.79 → 4.19 (+0.40)K% 23.4% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.40%	—	×0.860	20.13%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.67%	—	×0.900	5.11%
HR / BF /BF	3.55%	÷1.000	×1.100	3.90%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.79 → 4.19, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 14 IPFIP 3.10 → 4.25 (+1.15)K% 35.6% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	35.59%	—	×0.810	28.83%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	1.69%	—	×1.100	1.86%
HR / BF /BF	5.08%	÷1.000	×1.200	6.10%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.10 → 4.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAWichita Wind Surge · 104 IPFIP 3.16 → 3.82 (+0.66)K% 21.7% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.67%	—	×0.810	17.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.67%	—	×1.100	7.33%
HR / BF /BF	1.90%	÷0.986	×1.200	2.32%

Result: FIP 3.16 → 3.82, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 45 IPFIP 1.56 → 2.15 (+0.59)K% 26.5% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.47%	—	×0.770	20.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	2.94%	—	×1.150	3.38%
HR / BF /BF	0.59%	÷1.191	×1.250	0.62%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 138).

Result: FIP 1.56 → 2.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAWichita Wind Surge · 19 IPFIP 3.66 → 4.31 (+0.65)K% 15.7% → 12.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.66%	—	×0.810	12.69%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.64%	—	×1.100	10.60%
HR / BF /BF	1.20%	÷0.845	×1.200	1.71%

Result: FIP 3.66 → 4.31, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 63 IPFIP 3.04 → 3.70 (+0.66)K% 22.1% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.14%	—	×0.770	17.05%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.63%	—	×1.150	8.78%
HR / BF /BF	1.53%	÷1.134	×1.250	1.68%

Result: FIP 3.04 → 3.70, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 85 IPFIP 3.91 → 4.96 (+1.05)K% 18.6% → 13.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.64%	—	×0.740	13.79%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.73%	—	×1.180	5.59%
HR / BF /BF	3.25%	÷1.000	×1.300	4.23%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.91 → 4.96, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mike Paredes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	15.6%	6.6%	3.2%	—	4.87	16.2%	9.0%	74	+0.09	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	83
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	82
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	81
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	78
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	78
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	77
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	76
Chris Sampson R 2006 · 3.78 FIP	28	SW	3.78	11.5%	3.1%	2.3%	.204	4.05	11.7%	6.8%	294	+0.27	3.19	359	76
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	76
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	75
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	74
Cory Lidle R 2000 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	14.6%	6.1%	3.1%	.313	4.06	14.2%	8.7%	573	-0.26	3.48	1,318	74
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	74
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	73
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	33	15.0%	7.4%	1.35	4.78
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Ricky Stone ('07)	1.3	64	15.2%	8.0%	1.55	4.68